Advanced MLB Lineup Optimizer for DraftKings and Fanduel

Basic foundational metrics for measuring your relative sports betting performance

Measuring Returns
Understanding how to measure your performance is a crucial element of being a successful sports bettor. With varying odds and bet allocations, it’s not as simple as just counting your wins and losses. You can win 80% of your wagers, but if those bets were made at poor odds or you had poor bankroll management, you could still have disastrous results.
What you need to measure is your return on investment (“ROI”). In the finance world, ROI is defined as a measurement of the gain or loss generated on investment, relative to the amount of money invested. For example, if you bought Amazon stock at $1,000 per share and it’s currently trading at $1,900 per share, you would say that investment has an ROI of 90% (($1900 - $1,000) / $1,000). Pretty straightforward calculation.
In sports betting, however, there is often confusion regarding how to measure ROI.
Wager ROI
In the 2019 MLB season, Aaron and I wagered around $1.39 million across approximately 800 games. When it was all said and done, we had made approximately $113 thousand. If you divide $113 thousand by $1.39 million, you get 8.1%. Is this our ROI?
If you ask the average sports bettor, they would say yes. If you ask the average finance professional, they would probably ask you “well, how much money did you start with?”
We’re going to define that 8.1% (Net Win / Wagered Amount) as our Wager ROI. For every dollar that we wagered, we made around 8.1 cents.
Wager ROI = [Net Win / Wagered Amount]
Portfolio ROI
We didn't start the 2019 season with a bankroll of $1.39 million, however.
We started with $130 thousand. And we ended with $243 thousand.
Yes, we wagered significantly more than our bankroll. But we started this endeavor with an investment of $130,000. Thus, by the financial definition of ROI, we had an ROI of approximately 87%. To avoid confusion with Wager ROI (and an unnecessary argument from sports bettors), we will define this as our Portfolio ROI. Calculations as follows:
Portfolio ROI = [Ending Investment / Starting Investment – 1]
Cash Turnover Ratio
So how did we wager $1.39 million when we only started with $130,000? Well one of the beauties of sports betting (besides futures) is that the outcome of a wager is determined quickly (~24hrs for MLB, a week for NFL). When you win a game, your sports betting account is credited, and you can then use those proceeds to bet on something else.
How efficiently we use our bankroll is something we’re going to call Cash Turnover Ratio. The Cash Turnover Ratio is the amount of wagers placed, divided by the average portfolio balance over the measurement period. For simplicity, it’s best to calculate your average portfolio balance as the average between your starting and ending bankroll.
Cash Turnover Ratio = [Wagered Amount / ((Starting Portfolio + Ending Portfolio) / 2)]
Our Cash Turnover Ratio for the 2019 baseball season was 7.4x as calculated below:
7.4x = $1.39 million / [($130k + $243k) / 2]
The Cash Turnover Ratio is a measurement of how efficiently we are using our capital. If we had an average portfolio balance of $10 million and only wagered $1.39 million, that would be a very inefficient use of our capital. The only way to increase our Cash Turnover Ratio is to 1) increase our wager size or 2) place more wagers. Of course, increasing our wager size increases our risk and methods such as at Kelly Criterion give us the framework to optimize our bet allocation.
Performance Objective
So what should be our objective? To maximize our Wager ROI? To maximize our Portfolio ROI? Each person is different, but we prioritize Portfolio ROI over Wager ROI.
There’s always going to be a tradeoff between Wager ROI and the number of wagers you play (and therefore your Cash Turnover Ratio). Let’s say you only bet the most select wagers and are able to hit 60% against -110 lines. You would be sporting a very impressive 14.5% Wager ROI, but you could likely improve your Portfolio ROI by being less selective and betting the games that you may only win at a 55% clip. Your Wager ROI would decrease, but the increased volume would increase your Portfolio ROI.
So maximizing Portfolio ROI is a better strategy than maximizing Wager ROI, but is it our performance objective?
Risk Adjusted Returns
Simply, no. What we haven’t addressed yet is the riskiness of a betting strategy.
For example – Bettor 1 has $10,000 and decides to make five $2,000 wagers at -110 over the course of a week. Bettor 1 wins three and lose two, winning a net $1,455, which is good for a Wager ROI of 14.5% and a Portfolio ROI of 14.5%.
Alternatively – Bettor 2 also has $10,000 and makes 50 wagers of $200 instead, winning 30 and losing 20 over the same one-week period. Bettor 2 also has a Wager ROI of 14.5% and a Portfolio ROI of 14.5%.
Do Bettor 1 and Bettor 2 do have equally strong betting strategies? Absolutely not. Bettor 2 was able to achieve the same returns as Bettor 1 but assumed a lot less risk in the process. We can borrow another concept from the financial realm to assess risk-adjusted performance.
The Sharpe Ratio
I’ll save you the boring history and definition of the Sharpe Ratio, but it is essentially a measurement of investment performance compared to a risk-free asset, after adjusting for risk. The Sharpe Ratio represents the additional return generated for an incremental unit of risk. Risk is generally measured as the standard deviation of returns.
For our purposes, we will assume the risk-free asset to have a return of 0.0% given that these bets are short-term securities (and Treasuries are yielding next to nothing).
We can use the Sharpe Ratio to assess the performance of each Bettor. In the table below, we’ve compared Bettor 1 with Bettor 2.
Comparison of Strategies
The big difference between the two bettors is that Bettor 1 assumed a lot more risk with 1) larger bets and therefore a higher standard deviation. As a result, Bettor 2 has a much higher Sharpe ratio than Bettor 1.
You can download a workbook with the above calculations along with a more realistic example of differing betting strategies. Simply replace the shaded cells with your own data to calculate your own Sharpe Ratio. PM me if you want the workbook, or we can migrate it to a google sheet if enough people are interested.
submitted by cleatstreet to sportsbook [link] [comments]

NFL Week 3 Breakdown - from CheatSheetPros!

Article Link for screen shots and new ALGO top 20: https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/post/nfl-week-3-breakdown-from-cheatsheetpros
NFL Week 3 Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS & NOTES:
NFL Week 3 Cheatsheet & PGA Cheatsheet for this week are posted. MLB Cheatsheets are still posted daily usually before 7:30 am. DK/FD NFL Optimizer is loaded and DK PGA Optimizer is loaded! This week for NFL we added in player targets and red zone targets to the sheet.
PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR YOUR LINEUPS:
Ezekiel Elliott (8900) – The ownership projections are going to be wrong on this as they are sitting around 10% and I think he will be more in the 20-30% range. Dallas faces Miami where the spread opened at -15 and moved out to -21.5. Dallas has a solid rushing offense (currently 8th after 2 weeks) and they are averaging 151 rushing yards per game. Miami has the 24th rated rush defense and they are dead last vs. pass catching running backs. Miami is also giving up 36.8 DK points to the RB position. Dallas should easily win this game and Zeke will be eating clock the entire 2nd half. 150 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns would not shock me in this spot. Tony Pollard (only 3800) could get some work in if they want to give their $50 million dollar man a break!
Christian McCaffrey (8700) – Arizona is 28th vs. pass catching RBs and CMC is one of the best. With Cam likely not playing they should lean on CMC for plenty of work and he should act as a safety blanket for whichever QB gets the start. With one monster game and one poor game under his belt he is averaging 26.6 FPPG through 2 weeks which is pushing about 3x his DK salary.
Austin Ekeler (7200) – He is on a 5x average and projected at 20-25% ownership, lock him in for cash games he just gets too much work. GPP I think his ownership will be high and we can go elsewhere.
Devonta Freeman (4900) – Priced way down this week is Freeman. He has struggled in his first two starts this year but that means we can get him low owned and cheap this week! IND has the 30th rated rushing defense and they are 31st against pass catching RBs. Indy is giving up 124 rushing yards per game through two weeks. Freeman also has 9 targets on the year. Take a low owned flier in what should be a close game!
Miles Sanders (3900) – DET is giving up 30.1 Dk points per game to the RB position and he only needs around 20 points for 2.5x value his salary. DET is also 23rd vs. pass catching RBs. Worth a shot with Alshon and DJax questionable this week!
David Montgomery (5200) – Projected at 1% ownership I wanted to bring him up. WAS has the 29th ranked rush defense and Montgomery got a surprising 18 carries last week compared to only 3 from Mike Davis. He also had 3 targets in that game and a touchdown. Chicago is starting to work him more into the feature role and hopefully he can have that breakthrough game this week and we can catch him at a low ownership.
Devonta Adams (7600) – DEN has struggled vs the WR-1 this year as they rank 24th. Packers projected at 25.75 points per Vegas and Adams is the go to WR.
Allen Robinson (5600) – He is projected to be low owned (<5%) and I think he could have a solid week. He is going up against WAS who is giving up 56.4 points to the WR position (32nd), they also rank 28th in pass defense and 29th vs. WR-1s. A-Rob also has 20 targets on the year which puts him in the range of Travis Kelce, JuJu & Edelman.
Dallas WRs: Cooper is projected to be the highest owned in the 10-15% range but you can pivot off and take some Randall Cobb at a sub 3% projection. With Gallup out of the lineup he could have a solid game at his price tag of only 4600 on DK.
John Brown (5500) – 18 targets already this year and facing a Cincy team that is in the bottom 3 in pass defense and coverage vs. WR-1s. He also has 21 FPPG through two weeks. Super cheap!
Mark Andrews (4600) – Dirt cheap and red hot! He is facing a KC team who has struggled to cover the TE position. KC has been solid vs. the run but gashed through the air. I’d look at Andrews to get some looks in this game and also Marquise Brown (5900). KC is giving up 42 points per game to the WRs and 15.8 to the TE position. They are 5th best right now vs. the RB giving up 16 PPG. Andrews has 18 targets on the year already.
Evan Engram (5200) – With 22 targets through two weeks and facing a team that is 23rd vs. the TE he is in play. They are also #1 rush defense through two weeks so look for Daniel Jones to check down to his RB and TE many times. Remember LeV Bell and his 10 catches on Monday night?
Worst PASS DEFENSES to pick on:
Miami – Any Cowboy WRs are fine to use this week as they should be able to put up 30+ points on the Dolphins. Cobb & Devin Smith are sneaky and cheap with no Gallup. Devin Smith has the best WR vs. CB advantage per PFF with primary coverage from Eric Rowe who grades out at a low 41.3. Randall Cobb has the 2nd best vs. Jomal Wiltz who grades out at a 29.8.
Giants – Tampa might have a field day here. Mike Evans, Godwin and possible OJ Howard, they are all in play for me. Chris Godwin has a top 10 matchup per PFF WR vs. CB grades.
PIT – Don’t mine the 49’ers but they are not my favorite.
Cincy – Josh Allen and John Brown shouldn’t have any issues hitting value.
WASH – It is a MNF game but Allen Robinson should be in your showdown captain consideration.
Worst RUSH DEFENSES to pick on:
Saints – Facing the Seahawks Chris Carson should have a positive game script and Penny took 10 carries last week he could be used as a sneaky gpp play.
Cincy – Devin Singletary has 10 carries through 2 games and 7 of them have gone for 12+ yards with 3 missed tackles. If he can grab some more carries he could be a sneaky play!
INDY – Freeman could pick it up after having two bad weeks.
WAS – Again, this is a MNF game but David Montgomery took 18 touches last week and looked really good!
JAC – Thursday Night Football and Derrick Henry should see plenty of touches.
WIDE RECEIVER FADES:
DeAndre Hopkins – Likely to see shadow coverage from Casey Hayward.
Corey Davis – Likely to see shadow coverage from Jalen Ramsey.
Tyrell Williams – Likely to see shadow coverage from Xavier Rhodes.
Robby Anderson – Likely to see shadow coverage from Stephon Gilmore.
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our Premium Cheatsheets for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

Fantasy Baseball - Buy Low & Sell High Hitters/Pitchers - from CheatSheetPros!

BUY LOW & SELL HIGH Hitters & Pitchers from CheatSheetPros!
Before we dive into looking at the players I wanted to hit on the main stats we are going to focus on. Yes there are several you could compare but today we are going to use BABIP (Batting Average for Balls in Play) and we are going to look at xFIP (this is an indicator of what a pitchers ERA “should be”) and their LOB% (Left on Base % - also known as strand rate). If I pitcher has an ERA that is far off from their xFIP we can tell if they are going to trend up or down. Also if a player has a BABIP that is really high or really low it is likely to normalize in the future and we can use that information to profit on those players or buy low on other players.
BUY LOW HITTERS:
Jesus Aguilar – Still holding a decent 11.1% walk rate with a high 22.2% strikeout rate his BABIP is one of the lowest at .173. This WILL come up in the future so he should be able to get back on track. For a guy that hit 35 bombs last night you can likely get him for nothing right now in a trade and sit on him!
Jose Ramirez – Holding a 10.3% walk rate, low 13.1% strikeout rate he has a BABIP that is only .179. He has started to heat up since Lindor came back into the lineup and he started swiping some bases so you better move fast if you are going to try to get him on the cheap. Jose Ramirez is a solid first round player that was sluggish out of the gate if you can get him BUY HIM NOW!
Joc Pederson – I’ve started to see him get dropped in some league which is shocking because he has started off hot. He has a 11.3% walk rate and 18.6% strikeout rate and his BABIP is only .185. If you see him dropped anywhere I would snatch him up and ride him!
Jesse Winker – I’m not going to spend much on him but his BABIP is .189. People were high on Winker coming into the year so if you were one then I would look at buying him on the cheap. I’m not a fan with his 8.2% walk rate and 20% strikeout rate but his BABIP will definitely come up.
Anthony Rizzo – His BABIP is at our threshold of .200, he also supports a low 16% strikeout rate and a nice 14.2% walk rate. If you can get him from the owner at a discount now is the time as the Cubs are sure to get hot this summer and you have to have a piece!
CONSIDER SELLING HIGH HITTERS:
Tim Anderson Walk rate of only 2.2%, strikeout rate is 18.9% and his BABIP is a whopping .462! This pains me to say this but if you can move him for a 1st or 2nd round pick to someone else in your league I’d consider it. I tried moving him for Lindor before he got back but the guy didn’t bite. Tim Anderson is red hot right now and one of the top SS in the game that is 5 tooling across the board. If you could move him and get a Jose Ramirez or package another player and get Lindor I’d jump on it. People go crazy for the “hot player”. I think he has a good year but he can’t keep up that BABIP number that is off the charts.
Elvis Andrus – 7.8% walk rate / 19.4% strikeout rate and a .429 BABIP. Don’t know what you could move Andrus for but if someone sends you an offer I’d consider it based on his BABIP numbers. Just wanted to put him in here because he is constantly discussed.
Christian Walker So the season long team that I’m crushing people with has Tim Anderson and Walker so this pains me to put these guys on here! Walker has a BABIP of .400 with a whopping 27.6% strikeout rate, eeekkkk! Guy is stealing bases and hitting HR and in a good spot. If you can “upgrade” let someone else ride his BABIP down and sit on that high strikeout %. (Note: I picked him up off FA so I’m likely sitting unless someone wants to pay the premium!)
Cody Bellinger Absolutely on fire right now, BABIP is .397 with a low 11.2% strikeout rate. If you can package Bellinger and another player go after YELICH! Bellinger will have a good year but if your team is lacking he is the perfect player to sell to get a couple solid players to fill in any holes you may have! If he keeps this up pitchers are going to stop throwing to him and just walking him!
BUY LOW PITCHERS: (I’m looking at ERA vs. xFIP along with some other stats to determine my buy low or sell high players.)
SONNY GRAY So before I posted this I sent a trade for Gray and he declined it, blah! Gray has a whopping 11.3 K9 rate with a low 6.1% BB rate. He has faced some tough teams and came out decent. He has a 3.65 ERA but his xFIP is a nice 2.68. He has also been allowing a .283 BABIP which is good and does hit either extreme.
JAMES PAXTON – Love this guy! I was all over him in my season long leagues and I think I own him in all of them. He has a 13.2 K9 rate, 7.1% BB rate and supports a solid 3.38 ERA and his xFIP indicates it should be closer to 2.93. His BABIP numbers allowed is a .355 so that is really high. That only means he will get better going forward and that number will come down. He has a strand rate of 73% which is in the middle of the pack.
G. COLE Whopping 13.4 K9 rate and a super low strand rate of 55% he has a 4.71 ERA. This is a little mis-leading and his xFIP indicates he should be closer to 2.59! That is a huge gap! He also has a low BB rate of 8.1% and BABIP of .299. He is going to get better as the year goes on and get stronger as a starting pitcher. If you can get someone to bite grab him now so you have him for the rest of the year and playoffs!
HIN-JIN RYU – You might be able to get him cheap as most people picked him up late in the draft or off the waiver wire. He has a microscopic 1.9% BB rate and a 10.9 K9 rate. He has a 2.96 ERA with a 2.24 xFIP number. His one red flag that came out is a 96.9% strand rate! Yikes!
CONSIDER SELLING HIGH PITCHERS:
SHANE GREENE – My word this guy was picked up in auctions for $2-$4 and he is crushing the saves category and putting up solid numbers. However if you can sell this guy then SELL – SELL – SELL! His allowed BABIP is only .138. That means his ass has been very lucky and he is going to get blasted SOON! His strand rate is a whopping 92.1% - that number is crazy high for a closer! His ERA on the surface is a whopping 1.38 and people are eating that up but his xFIP indicates he is closer to a 3.49 pitcher. DET isn’t going to win that many games if you can move him and upgrade to a better closer who is struggling I would do it in a heartbeat!
Chris Paddack – I love this guy and he is fire right now! Take note thought his BABIP allowed is only a .138 and that is going to come up. His strand rate is 80.3% and on the surface he supports a 1.67 ERA. His xFIP indicates he is closer to a 3.79 pitcher. If you can move him with another player go after COLE or one of these other studs!
Mike Minor – On fire this year he is allowing a low BABIP of .204 and has a 3.21 ERA on the surface. However his xFIP indicates that number should be closer to 4.95 and he has been “lucky” so far this year. Strand rate isn’t terrible around 78%. But if you can package him with another player and make an upgrade I’d feel good moving Minor.
Trevor Bauer – I’m sure people will lose their shit when they see him on the consider selling high. His BABIP is .222 which isn’t bad but it will definitely come up. His strand rate is 88% which is higher than average and he has a whopping 1.99 ERA on the surface. His xFIP indicates he is closer to 3.94 and that 1.99 has been on the side of “lucky”. If I could move Bauer and get Cole or Paxton/Gray I’d jump all over it.
FREE PREMIUM DFS SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Article Link: https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/blog/mlb-buy-low-sell-high-hitters-pitchers-through-april
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to fantasybaseball [link] [comments]

MLB Contrarian Stacks for GPPs - Main Slate (June 5th) - from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
Article Link to view screen shots from our MLB CheatSheets: https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/post/contrarian-cheap-stacks-for-june-5th-from-cheatsheetpros >>
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
NYY vs. Thornton – Thornton hasn’t been a terrible pitcher this year I mean only 3 ER and 10Ks vs. SD, 1 ER vs. CHW and a 2 ER start vs. SFG but vs. great hitting teams he has been destroyed. His recent start was @ TB and gave up 3 ER in 4.2, not terrible, no great and then MIN he was clobbered for 5 ER in only 2.0 innings with 1 K. He has been up and down but NYY can rack up some runs and I’d bet on that before I bet on Thorn shutting them down. NYY are expensive with their projected 1-5 hitters average price of 4820 on DK. But NYY on the road are 17-8 and hold a wRC+ of 115.77 which is 20 points higher than their home wRC+ of 95.82. They are also the 6th best road team in the entire MLB in wRC+, wOBA, K% and 7th in OBP+ISO scores. Even after Thorn leaves the game TOR has the 22nd ranked bullpen they can pound on. Fill in some hitters from NYY because it will be a fun one to watch!
I want to focus on some CHEAP stacks we can attack and not the chalky expensive stacks that anyone can look at the projected run total and find:
Giants vs. Vargas – Projected 1-5 hitters (that’s how I’m looking at stack cost today) are only an average of $3,620 on DK, that is dirt cheap and rock bottom prices! They are scoring 6.0 runs per game over the last week and Vargas isn’t exactly Chris Sale with a 5.38 xFIP to LHH and 5.52 to RHH with a 7.7 and 7.0 K9 rate and .333+ wOBA’s to both sides of the plate. NYM also have the 7th worst bullpen! The 1-4 hitters give you a ceiling in the last 14 days of around 90 DK points with an average of around $3,600 per hitter, that’s insane value! Worth a GPP dart!
Miami vs. Jimmy Nelson – Miami is scoring 6.8 runs per game over the last 7 days and that is tied for 3rd with Colorado. Miami really? Projected 1-5 hitters are at an average price of only 3420, another dirt cheap stack! They also have a top 5 hitter last 14 game ceiling of a whopping 130 DK points and that is 3.4x value (highest of any team on the slate or cheatsheet!). Miami 5-5 in their last 10 games and on a 2 game win streak. Granderson is 4 for 7 vs. Nelson with 2 HRs and have you seen this Cooper guy? 10 for his last 20 Abs with 8 runs, 2 HRs and 5 RBIs. He already has 5 HRs in only 83 Abs that is a projected pace 25-30 HRs and at $3900 sure why not!
Chicago Cubbies vs. Marquez – It’s the Cubs man come on! Top 5 projected hitters (that is 1-5 in the lineup, just FYI) are an average price of $4,300! BVP data vs. Marquez is only 42 Abs but hitting .310. Two guys with a wOBA over .400 vs. pitcher hand and another at .385. Cubs hold a wRC+ of 114.29 at home which is 15.6 points over their road number and they are also 6th in wOBA and 5th is OBP+ISO. They are cold right now scoring only 3.7 runs per game but that is why they are priced down! Give me some GPP Cubs! Marquez has been solid in 2 of his last 4 starts but those other two…..
Oakland vs. Felix Pena – Pena is a decent pitcher but Oakland is just so cheap. Top 5 projected hitters are only an average price of 3,880 on DK. Oakland got cold with 3.6 runs per game over the last week but they have it in them to explode with Krush Davis back in the lineup! BVP numbers through 42 Abs they are hitting .310 with 3 HRs and only 8 Ks. Oakland is also betting on the road as they are 18-15 vs. only 11-15 at home and their wRC+ on the road is a massive 122.91 while only 98 and change at home. They rank 3rd in road teams in wRC+, wOBA, K\ and OBP+ISO.* Let’s get Oakland back on track with a GPP dart stack that is super cheap!
TEAMS WITH THE HIGHEST PROJECTED RUN TOTALS + COST OF PROJECTED 1-5 HITTERS:
Milwaukee (5.4 runs) – Average cost of 1-5 hitters: (5140)
Tampa Bay (5.2 runs) – Average cost of 1-5 hitters: (4740)
Boston (5.1 runs) – Average cost of 1-5 hitters: (5020)
Texas (5.1 runs) – Average cost of 1-5 hitters: (5060)
St. Louis (5.1 runs) – Average cost of 1-5 hitters: (4360)
BREAKDOWN & ANALYSIS:
You can see how expensive these basic 1-5 stacks are with the highest projected totals. So we hit on some contrarian stacks that were much cheaper. Oakland (3880), Cubs (4300), Miami (3420) and Giants (3620). The difference here is if you take Milwaukee (highest projected run total team) at an average a $5,140 x 5 hitters = $25,700 and if you take Oakland $3,880 x 5 hitters = $19,400 you get a $6,300 discount that you can use to fill the other spots on your roster AND beef up your starting pitching!
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Pitcher Breakdown & Stacks for from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
FAVORITES: (These will be my 3 highest owned pitchers for the main slate!)
MARTIN PEREZ (6600) – How often can you find a 4-0 pitcher with a 3.41 ERA for only $6,600 on DK? Rare! His last start he faced a tough Houston lineup and went 8.0 innings with 0 ER and 7 Ks.
CHRIS PADDAG (9200) – Paddag has been fire this year coming out of Spring Training and supports a 1.91 ERA with a 0.70 whip. He has only allowed 2 ER in his last 13.0 innings with 14 Ks.
GERRIT COLE (10700) – My favorite of the high priced studs his underlying numbers are superb. I was even able to pull a trade for him in a season long league but lost Kluber to a broken arm so it’s a wash for me. Cole had a bad run @ TEX giving up 8 ER and 9 hits in only 4.1 innings but his last two starts he has 14.0 innings, only 2 ER and a whopping 21 strikeouts! In those two starts he also put up 28 and 39 DK points.
OTHER PITCHERS that will be in my GPP player pool:
MARCUS STROMAN (8000) – Terrible outing @LAA but that is a tough team that is striking out at a microscopic number. His prior 3 outings he has 19.0 innings given up only 1 ER and 18 strikeouts.
VINCE VELASQUEZ (8800) – Last 4 starts he has gone 20.1 innings, 6 ER and 25Ks.
COLE HAMELS (9000) – Last 4 starts he has gone 25.2 innings, 6 ERs and 28 Ks.
HIGH PRICED STUDS & MY THOUGHTS:
MAX SCHERZER (10000) – Would you believe the top SP off the board in season long leagues is 1-4 with a 4.08 ERA? People freak out to early. His starts have went from a low of 11 DK points to 34 so he is always in play for us. In his last 3 starts he has given up 3, 2 and 6 ERs with 8, 10 and 9 Ks.
JACOB DEGROM (10200) – His outings this year have been as low as -2 DK points and as high as 45 DK points so he has to be in the GPP player pool. He is coming off a great game going 7.0 with 0 ER and 6K but it was vs. a weak CIN lineup. Prior to that start he has given up 5, 3 and 6 ER which isn’t good but his strikeout upside keeps him in play. Spending $10.2k on a guy with a 3.82 ERA and 2-3 record is tough to swallow but it’s DeGrom so were doing it!
BLAKE SNELL – So this is the guy that I’m most excited to talk about! If you look at him from the outside he has a 4.31 ERA with a 2-3 record and people are like WOAH WTF! However, let’s take out his first outing of the year as that is shaking off the rust and then he has 2 outings vs. KC (where I’m from) and they always end up eating up good pitchers and they lit Kluber up also this year. So take away those two KC starts and he has 3 games in a row with 30+ DK points and a high of 44 DK points going 19.0 innings, 1 ER and 33 strikeouts. Big bounce back coming!
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
Sandy Alcantara – 16 ERs in 21.1 innings. Gobble Gobble!
Kevin Gausman – Started off solid but this he has given up 11 ER in his last 12 innings.
Jakob Junis – Two good recent starts only giving up 3 ERs in 11.1 innings but prior to that he has 3 outings giving up 14 ER in 15.2 innings. The two most recent starts were both vs. same team (TB). Houston is red hot right now and KC has a bottom 6 bullpen.
*Sneaky* - MIL vs. Max Scherzer – This would be a sneaky GPP stack that I would consider. Reason is people will be using MadMax so they don’t want to “stack against their pitcher” but Scherzer has been giving up runs – 3, 2, 6, 3, and 4 in his last 5 starts and Nationals have the 2nd worst bullpen right now on the article I wrote today. The bullpen is allowing a .270 team batting average, xFIP of 4.92, ERA of 6.18 and a low 23.2% strikeout rate. If they get to Max early and get him out of the game they could pile up some runs!
Boston vs. John Means – Means is either going to get pulled after he gets crushed OR when he gets to that 80-90 pitch mark. He has only thrown 91 and 92 pitches for a high and doesn’t have over 5.0 innings in any start. Now how is the bullpen? Well Bob it is fucking horrendous! They rank dead last in our rankings we associate for our breakdown article. So league average H9 rate is 1.26 for all the bullpens and they have a huge 2.17! League average strikeout rate is 24% and they have a 21.3% rate. Batting average allowed is .237 across all bullpens – can I stop saying “all bullpens”, you get the idea, I’m comparing the average numbers across the league vs. current teams. So batting average is .237 and they allow a .279. Add in the ERA of 6.11 with an xFIP just shy of 5 at 4.98!
*Sneaky* - SDP vs. DeGrom – NYM have the 26th ranked bullpen of the 30. Low 23.3% strikeout rate, .251 batting average allowed, ERA of 5.11 and xFIP of 4.95. I’m also factoring in that outside of his recent start vs. a weak CIN team he has only lasted 4.0, 5.0 and 4.0 innings and given up 5, 3 and 6 ERs. If DeGrom gives up 3-4 and then the bullpen takes over this could be 6-8 and low owned just as stated with Scherzer.

FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Pitchers & Stacks (May 28th) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
<
https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/blog/mlb-pitchers-stacks-may-28th-from-cheatsheetpros >>
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
Matt Boyd (10300) – I don’t mind Rich Hill on the top end if you have a little more money to spend by Boyd is likely the highest I’m going to go tonight. He is coming off 23 and 18 point outings and has a string of 23-25 point outings this year. I can’t pay 11,300 for Montas when LAA has the lowest team K% in the entire MLB that takes away all his upside. Boyd has a solid 12.1 K9, 2.73 xFIP and 0.82 whip to LHH and 10.6 K9, 3.66 xFIP and 1.04 whip to RHH. Facing a Baltimore team that is below average.
Max Fried (8100) – Coming off 20, 25 and 17 DK point starts he has found a nice little groove. He has allowing 2, 0 and 3 ER and put up 5, 5, and 7 Ks in those 3. The opponents weren’t that tough facing SF, MIL and ARI so take that with a grain of salt! Now for the good and the bad. The good is that Washington is terrible on the road as their wRC+ is only 59.29 and that ranks 29th out of 30 MLB teams. Their home numbers are a solid 103. They also have a wOBA that is 71 points lower on the road and their OBP+ISO number is 110 points lower. Now for the bad… The Nationals vs. LHP have the 5th lowest K% at 20.5%, best wRC+ of 129.1 and a .295 batting average. Yuck! So I’m banking on the road numbers being terrible and the nice sweet spot pricing of Fried to use him in my GPP lines tonight. But I won’t use him in cash due to Washington’s stats vs. LHP.
Marco Gonazales (6900) – I hate using Marco because I like Texas for the win tonight but I can’t look past the numbers. Marco has faced Texas twice already. On 5/22 he was @ TEX and went 7.0 with only 1 ER and 3 Ks for 14 DK points, I mean that is 2x value on a dirt cheap play so that isn’t terrible. He also faxed TEX at home on 4/25 and put up 34 DK points going 7.0 with 0 ER and 9 Ks and that’s a GPP play! He originally didn’t jump out at me because of some rough starts but looking at them now he was facing @NYY, @BOS and MIN. He still only gave up 2 ER to Boston and 1 to NYY but the low K numbers didn’t allow him many points. TEX vs. LHP has the highest strikeout rate at 30.9% and Marco is back home so hopefully we can shoot for a 3x game tonight for around 20 points and if we get another 34 we can be estatic! GPP play!
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
ATLANTA vs. Strausburg – Strausburg has only given up 2, 1 and 2 ER in his last 3 starts, prior to those 3 he gave up 4 and 4 ER. Nationals have the 2nd to last ranked bullpen in the entire MLB with a 5.21 xFIP, 1.71 whip, giving up a .296 batting average and 1.69 H9. The key here is getting to Straus early and getting his pitch count up to where he is coming out after 6 innings and we get to feast on that bullpen. Atlanta is hitting .331 vs. Straus through 127 Abs with 7 HRs and 29 RBIs so they might get to him early. Hitters are priced right with all but 1 guy (Freeman 4800) are 4400 and down. Austin Riley is (4000), Ozzie Albies (3800), Acuna (4400), Dansby Swanson (4200), Donaldson (3800), Nick Markakis (3600), McCann (3400). Atlanta also has a wRC+ of 105 at home vs. only 84 on the road. Their wOBA is also 35.6 poitns higher, strikeout rate is 16 points lower and OBP+ISO is 75 points higher.
PHILLIES vs. Wainwright – Phillies hitters in the projected lineup for today are hitting a nice .297 vs. Waino going 38 for 128. Waino has a horrible 5.06 xFIP / 5.9 K9 rate / 1.92 whip and .399 wOBA to LHH – Hello Bryce Harper? Harper is hitting .391 vs. Waino in 22 Abs and priced at a low 4300 on DK. Jean Segura is hitting .455 in 23 Abs are 4700.
ONE OFF HITTERS PRICED RIGHT:
Joey Votto (3400) - .636 average going 7 for 11 with 2 HR vs. Jordan Lyles.
Bryce Harper (4300) - .391 average going 9 for 23 with 2 HR vs. Waino!
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Pitchers & Stacks (May 7th) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
<
https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/blog/mlb-stacks-pitchers-for-may-7th-from-cheatsheetpros >>
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
FAVORITES:
STRASBURG (10600) – He is going to eventually bite me in the ass but gotta roll with him for now. He is coming off 30, 27 and 42 DK point starts. He has only given up 3 ER in his last 21.2 innings with 29 strikeouts. Wow! MIL strikes out 26.5% of the time vs. pitcher hand and carries a low .239 team batting average. If you’re paying up then get to Strasburg! Jose Berrios is fine as he has put up 20-25 DK point starts but I don’t think he has that 30-40 point ceiling but he is a fine cash option. TOR has a nice high strikeout rate for him at 26.9%. Syndergaard I don’t mind for cash as SD has a 27.1% strikeout rate. Outside of his last start 46 DK points vs. CIN he has given up 5, 4 and 5 ERs so I’m holding off for now. >
CALEB SMITH (9500) – Highest price of the year for Smith who has quietly put up 30, 25, 28 and 27 DK point starts. He has only given up 3 ERs in his last 25 innings and that was facing CLE, PHI, WSH and PHI again. He also has 30 Ks in that span. I think he is a solid value and could be good for GPP if he can get that “W” but that bullpen is awful!
JON LESTER (9000) – Also like Lester today as he is more likely to get the “W” at 500 cheaper. He is coming off a great game @ SEA going 7.0 with 0 ER and 8 Ks. Miami is terrible and they have the lowest wRC+ vs. pitcher hand on the slate at 62.7, lowest wOBA at .260 and 7th lowest team batting average of .223. They also don’t have a projected hitter in the starting lineup that is over 6.0 FPPG over the last week. Add in the 3.2 runs per game over the last week and 2.9 over the season and Lester makes a solid cash option or gpp play.
MAD BUM (7600) – It starts to get real dicey when you get down below this range. Yes MadBum is @ COL which is a terrible environment for a pitcher but we have to save some money and take out shots. Coming off a solid start vs. LAD he went 6.0 with 1 ER and 8 Ks for just shy of 24 DK points. The reason I like him is he did face COL outside of COL on 4/13 and put up 26 DK points going 7.0 with 2 ER and 7Ks. COL is a hotter team right now and they are at home but SFG also have the #2 ranked bullpen so if they can get a lead the pen should be able to hold it and give him the “W”.
All of the other pitches below Mad Bum have been rough. Jalen Beeks had a good start vs. KC putting up 25.5 DK points in only 4.2 innings with 7Ks. He was someone I was also looking at.
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
BOSTON vs. David Hess – David Hess has been terrible with an xFIP of 5.10 and 6.36 to LHH and RHH respectively. He is also allowing a .343+ wOBA to both sides of the plate. Boston has scored an average of 6.7 runs per game over the last week and 4.9 on the season. They are expensive as f*&k but worthwhile. What makes this even more juicy is that Baltimore is dead last in bullpen rankings giving up a 2.17 H9 (league bullpen average is 1.26), giving up a team batting average of .279 (league average .237) and has an ERA of 6.11. Even if Hess has a good game that pen is going to get crushed!
KANSAS CITY vs. McHugh – I don’t mind a KC stack tonight (if this game plays – it has been raining like crazy here and suppose to rain all day). McHugh has given up 4, 3 and 9 ER in his last 3 appearances. In his last 9.1 road innings he only has 3 Ks. He has put up games as high as 28.5 DK points and as low as -14.5. KC has scored 5.1 runs per game over the last week and 4.7 on the year. They also have a wRC+ of 105.8, .257 team batting average and .331 wOBA. Houston has the #1 bullpen so KC has to get to him early because if McHugh has a good 5 innings this stack is dead.
HOUSTON vs. Duffy – Let’s jump to the other side. Houston has scored 7.5 runs per game over the last week, have a wRC+ of 127.2 and has taken over the #1 power ranking in our custom rankings. They have the highest OBiso in the league at .837 (#1) and most HR of any team (60)! They also support a team batting average of a whopping .275 and low 19.1% strikeout rate. Duffy had a rough first start and then a solid outing at home vs. TB going 6.0 with 1 ER and 6Ks. Houston is another beast! And even if Duffy has a good game while he is getting stretched out that KC bullpen ranks 24th with a low 8.4 K9, 20.9% strikeout rate and allow a .273 batting average and 1.54 whip!
CINCY vs. Mike Fiers – I never thought I’d be writing up a Cincy stack this year, lol! Cincy has been scorching scoring 5.9 runs per game over the last week which is way above their 4.2 run per game average on the year. Fiers has given up 3, 2, 6, 6 and 6 runs over his last 5 starts. Oakland bullpen sits at 17th so right in the middle of the pack. The reason I like this stack is the pricing on Cincy hitters. Eugenio (4100) starting to pick it up with a .320 wOBA, Winker (4300) with a .381 wOBA, Dietrich has a whopping .443 wOBA and last 14 game ceiling of 44 DK points at only (4500). Senzel just hit two HRs last night at (4200). Votto has been sucking ass this year but only (3500) and Fiers gives up a 5.28 xFIP to LHH with a low 5.9 K9 and 1.83 whip and .397 wOBA. Why not?
OTHER STACKS THAT ALMOST MADE THE ARTICLE:
COLORADO – Scoring 7.3 runs per game over the last week and facing terrible pitcher they were right on the cut line. Colorado also has a wOBA that is 58 points higher at home along with a 4.2% lower K rate. SFG have the #2 bullpen was the only thing holding me back!
CUBBIES – I think this will be really low owned since Caleb Smith has been fire this year. He has a low 3.00 and 3.70 xFIP to RHH and LHH with a 9.9 K9 to LH and 12.1 to RHH. Cubs have a wRC+ of 117.6 and 3 guys in their lineup have a last 14 game ceiling of 28+ DK points. The main reason they would make the cut is the Miami bullpen ranks 28th giving up a 1.69 H9, 1.47 whip and 5.82 ERA.
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to fantasybaseball [link] [comments]

MLB Pitchers & Stacks (May 7th) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
<
https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/blog/mlb-stacks-pitchers-for-may-7th-from-cheatsheetpros >>
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
FAVORITES:
STRASBURG (10600) – He is going to eventually bite me in the ass but gotta roll with him for now. He is coming off 30, 27 and 42 DK point starts. He has only given up 3 ER in his last 21.2 innings with 29 strikeouts. Wow! MIL strikes out 26.5% of the time vs. pitcher hand and carries a low .239 team batting average. If you’re paying up then get to Strasburg! Jose Berrios is fine as he has put up 20-25 DK point starts but I don’t think he has that 30-40 point ceiling but he is a fine cash option. TOR has a nice high strikeout rate for him at 26.9%. Syndergaard I don’t mind for cash as SD has a 27.1% strikeout rate. Outside of his last start 46 DK points vs. CIN he has given up 5, 4 and 5 ERs so I’m holding off for now. >
CALEB SMITH (9500) – Highest price of the year for Smith who has quietly put up 30, 25, 28 and 27 DK point starts. He has only given up 3 ERs in his last 25 innings and that was facing CLE, PHI, WSH and PHI again. He also has 30 Ks in that span. I think he is a solid value and could be good for GPP if he can get that “W” but that bullpen is awful!
JON LESTER (9000) – Also like Lester today as he is more likely to get the “W” at 500 cheaper. He is coming off a great game @ SEA going 7.0 with 0 ER and 8 Ks. Miami is terrible and they have the lowest wRC+ vs. pitcher hand on the slate at 62.7, lowest wOBA at .260 and 7th lowest team batting average of .223. They also don’t have a projected hitter in the starting lineup that is over 6.0 FPPG over the last week. Add in the 3.2 runs per game over the last week and 2.9 over the season and Lester makes a solid cash option or gpp play.
MAD BUM (7600) – It starts to get real dicey when you get down below this range. Yes MadBum is @ COL which is a terrible environment for a pitcher but we have to save some money and take out shots. Coming off a solid start vs. LAD he went 6.0 with 1 ER and 8 Ks for just shy of 24 DK points. The reason I like him is he did face COL outside of COL on 4/13 and put up 26 DK points going 7.0 with 2 ER and 7Ks. COL is a hotter team right now and they are at home but SFG also have the #2 ranked bullpen so if they can get a lead the pen should be able to hold it and give him the “W”.
All of the other pitches below Mad Bum have been rough. Jalen Beeks had a good start vs. KC putting up 25.5 DK points in only 4.2 innings with 7Ks. He was someone I was also looking at.
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
BOSTON vs. David Hess – David Hess has been terrible with an xFIP of 5.10 and 6.36 to LHH and RHH respectively. He is also allowing a .343+ wOBA to both sides of the plate. Boston has scored an average of 6.7 runs per game over the last week and 4.9 on the season. They are expensive as f*&k but worthwhile. What makes this even more juicy is that Baltimore is dead last in bullpen rankings giving up a 2.17 H9 (league bullpen average is 1.26), giving up a team batting average of .279 (league average .237) and has an ERA of 6.11. Even if Hess has a good game that pen is going to get crushed!
KANSAS CITY vs. McHugh – I don’t mind a KC stack tonight (if this game plays – it has been raining like crazy here and suppose to rain all day). McHugh has given up 4, 3 and 9 ER in his last 3 appearances. In his last 9.1 road innings he only has 3 Ks. He has put up games as high as 28.5 DK points and as low as -14.5. KC has scored 5.1 runs per game over the last week and 4.7 on the year. They also have a wRC+ of 105.8, .257 team batting average and .331 wOBA. Houston has the #1 bullpen so KC has to get to him early because if McHugh has a good 5 innings this stack is dead.
HOUSTON vs. Duffy – Let’s jump to the other side. Houston has scored 7.5 runs per game over the last week, have a wRC+ of 127.2 and has taken over the #1 power ranking in our custom rankings. They have the highest OBiso in the league at .837 (#1) and most HR of any team (60)! They also support a team batting average of a whopping .275 and low 19.1% strikeout rate. Duffy had a rough first start and then a solid outing at home vs. TB going 6.0 with 1 ER and 6Ks. Houston is another beast! And even if Duffy has a good game while he is getting stretched out that KC bullpen ranks 24th with a low 8.4 K9, 20.9% strikeout rate and allow a .273 batting average and 1.54 whip!
CINCY vs. Mike Fiers – I never thought I’d be writing up a Cincy stack this year, lol! Cincy has been scorching scoring 5.9 runs per game over the last week which is way above their 4.2 run per game average on the year. Fiers has given up 3, 2, 6, 6 and 6 runs over his last 5 starts. Oakland bullpen sits at 17th so right in the middle of the pack. The reason I like this stack is the pricing on Cincy hitters. Eugenio (4100) starting to pick it up with a .320 wOBA, Winker (4300) with a .381 wOBA, Dietrich has a whopping .443 wOBA and last 14 game ceiling of 44 DK points at only (4500). Senzel just hit two HRs last night at (4200). Votto has been sucking ass this year but only (3500) and Fiers gives up a 5.28 xFIP to LHH with a low 5.9 K9 and 1.83 whip and .397 wOBA. Why not?
OTHER STACKS THAT ALMOST MADE THE ARTICLE:
COLORADO – Scoring 7.3 runs per game over the last week and facing terrible pitcher they were right on the cut line. Colorado also has a wOBA that is 58 points higher at home along with a 4.2% lower K rate. SFG have the #2 bullpen was the only thing holding me back!
CUBBIES – I think this will be really low owned since Caleb Smith has been fire this year. He has a low 3.00 and 3.70 xFIP to RHH and LHH with a 9.9 K9 to LH and 12.1 to RHH. Cubs have a wRC+ of 117.6 and 3 guys in their lineup have a last 14 game ceiling of 28+ DK points. The main reason they would make the cut is the Miami bullpen ranks 28th giving up a 1.69 H9, 1.47 whip and 5.82 ERA.

FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB DFS Pitchers, Hitters & Stacks (May 17th) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
The blog section is down so the screen shots an actual article won’t be posted until later today. My apologizes!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
HIGH END PITCHERS OVER $10,000 ON DK:
JACOB DEGROM (11400) – He is expensive but he is the best pitcher on the slate with the safest floor. He is coming off his last start were he also faced MIA and went 7.0, 1 ER and 8Ks for 30 DK points. He also faced MIA on April 3rd and went for his season high 45 DK points going 7.0 with 14 Ks! DeGrom is a solid 2.5x floor but should be in the 3x range and might push 4x. MIA is scoring 0.8 runs per game the last 7 days and 2.6 on the season. Their lineup is awful and they only have 1 projected starter that is averaging over 3.0 FPPG over the last week. Lock & Load!
MAX SCHERZER (11100) – He has been turning it around with his last 4 starts between 19.75-29 DK points. He also has 35 Ks across those 4 starts. He is only a GPP play for me. Although the Cubbies are only scoring 2.7 runs per game over the last 7 days. It’s a tough lineup to navigate with little offense behind him to secure the “Win”.
GERRIT COLE (10700) – Tough matchup vs. BOS who is averaging 8.8 runs per game over the last 7 days and hold a wRC+ of 124.1, team average of .285 and wOBA of .363 vs. pitcher hand. But Cole has been fire! He has a 2.85 xFIP to LHH and 2.24 to RHH and a K( rate of 13.5 / 12.7 to LH/RH. He has also pushed 40 points in 2 of his last 3 starts. He went for 27 vs. TEX going 6.0 with 12 Ks and then 39 @ MIN going 7.0 with 11 Ks. In between those two he faced KC and went 6.1 with 9Ks. High ceiling in a touch matchup!
OTHER PITCHERS TO LOOK AT:
MARTIN PEREZ (8600) – Yes I’m still riding this train! His last outing was only 15.6 DK points but he did put up 7 Ks. His last 3 starts he has 7, 9 and 7 strikeouts. Prior to his last outing he also put up 32.4 and 35.3 DK points and that was facing Houston & Toronto. The matchup looks tough on paper but Seattle is only averaging 4.0 runs per game over the last 7 and that is down from their 5.3 on the season. Seattle is also striking out at the 4th highest clip vs. pitcher hand on the slate at 27.9% and hold a wRC+ of only 76.5 with a (slate lowest) team batting average of .203. Perez has a much higher allowed whip and wOBA to LHH but the projected Seattle line only has 2-3 LHH. Jay Bruce who is averaging a whopping 1.7 FPPG over the last week and Vogelbach who has been solid but projected to bat 8th I’m sure they will go around him. Solid play on a big slate!
MILES MIKOLAS (8000) – Last 3 starts were 23.3, 28 and 18.7 DK points giving you a good floor. In those 3 starts he’s only given up 3 total ER and put up 16 Ks with only 2 walks. After struggling to start the year he has put together 3 solid outings so we are going to give him a go tonight. This doesn’t come without risk tho… The red flag that jumps at me is that he has a 6.54 xFIP to LHH with a 1.67 whip and .414 wOBA… oh god! Tex has a projected lineup of 6-7 possible LHH. Choo, Mazara, Gallo, Cabrera, Odor and Guzman are all LHH. I’m fine rolling him out but don’t lock him into all your lineups, I’m looking at using him in 20% of my GPP lines. If STL can get a lead he should lock down the “Win” which is huge for an 8,000 player. LeClerc is going to toss the first 1-2 innings before the long reliever of Adrian Sampson comes in. Sampson has given up 10 ER, 16 hits in his last 2 appearances and that only amasses 8.1 innnings. Eeeek! STL stack anyone?
COLE IRVIN (7000) – Coming off his debut he put up 24 DK points @ KC going 7.0 with only 1 ER and 5 Ks. Pretty solid for the lefty. The bonus here is that he gets Colorado outside of Colorado where they hold a team .217 batting average, 28.3% strikeout rate and a wRC+ of only 72. Now Colorado overall vs. LHP they strike out 29.4% of the time. Irvin doesn’t appear to be a big strikeout pitcher with his low swinging strike rate but it’s only 1 start so I’m willing to give him a shot. Now let’s go further – Colorado on the road vs. LHP stats: 33.5% strikeout rate (wow!), .235 team batting average (eeek), wRC+ of only 81. They have been getting hot lately but this guy is worth a shot!
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
ST.LOUIS vs. LeClerc/Sampson – Like we wrote above LeClerc is going to start the first 1-2 innings and then Sampson is going to come in as the long reliever. Sampson blows and has given up 10 ER in his last 8.1 innings so you get the point. See screen shot below, if you are reading this on Reddit click the link above to go to the actual article to see the screen shots. However, most hitters are on a decent 6-8 FPPG average over the last 7-14 days. Also 6 of the projected hitters have a ceiling of 20+ points in the last 14 days.
MINNY vs. Marco G – Stack score on our cheatsheet of 165.50, we like to stack when it is over 150 just FYI. Marco has a split xFIP of 4.2 and 4.96 with low 5.6 and 7.1 K9 rates. Minny stats vs. pitcher hand: wRC+ of 115.4, .262 team batting average and .345 wOBA. All of those are top 7 for this monster slate tonight. C.J. Cron is mashing right now with a .448 wOBA vs pitcher hand, 10.4 FPPG over the last week and a last 14 ceiling of 29.0 DK points and only $3,800! Building around him! Marwin .348 wOBA and 10.5 FPPG over the last week, Eddie Rosario also a nice .435 wOBA, 8.4 FPPG and even Buxton has been getting hot at only $4,000. Buxton is at 10.5 FPPG and a .412 wOBA. Minny also sitting on 5.9 runs per game over the last week and 5.4 on the year!
HOUSTON vs. Porcello – Stack score of a whopping 185 on the cheatsheet today! They are scoring a shit ton of runs (8.8 over the last week) with a wRC+ of 139.7. Wow! This will be obvious so not spending a lot of time on it but build around LHH as Porcello has a 7.26 xFIP and .522 wOBA to LHH. Reddick projected to his #2 is only 3900 and Brantley projected to him #4 is 5200 but has a .409 wOBA vs. pitcher hand.
ONE OFF HITTERS TO FILL OUT YOUR LINEUPS:
TOMMY LA STELLA (4900) – Projected to hit lead off he has a 13.1 FPPG average over the last week and a last 14 ceiling of a whopping 32 DK points and a .424 wOBA vs. pitcher hand he is facing. And Trout is hitting behind him which boosts everything for him if he can get on base!
AUSTIN RILEY (3900) – After someone pointed him out in our “Flick Chat” I started using him and he has been smashing! 9.7 FPPG and dirt cheap! This kid has played 2 games and went 1/3 with a HR and then ¾ last night with 2 runs and an RBI.
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Pitching Breakdown for May 13th from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
RECAP: Wow, yesterday was a nice hit getting 10x on my buy in and missing a $4,000 top place by around 8-10 points. I spent 3 minutes on my lineups and then ran out the door to another baseball game. If I would of flipped Martin Perez for Martin it would of put me in 1st! Let’s take a look at this small slate today and see what is popping!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
ROBBIE RAY (10000) –
Last Start: 30.5 DK points going 5.2, 0 ER and 11 Ks – Solid Start on the road @ TB.
DK FPPG Range: 4.9 – 30.5 over his last 5 starts.
Swinging Strike %: 13% - 3rd best on the slate today.
Matchup: PIT strikes out 5.5% more vs. LHP as it jumps from 23.0% overall to 28.5% vs. LHP. They also have a bottom 5 (for the slate) team batting average vs. LHP of .229 and .259 wOBA.
Final Thoughts: Highest priced pitcher but has a solid matchup and solid stats. It appears around 3x is his ceiling.

JOSE BERRIOS (9400) –
Last Start: 27 DK points @ TOR going 7.0 with 0 ER and only 5Ks.
DK FPPG Range: Last 5 starts have been solid with 20.5 – 27 DK points.
Swinging Strike %: 8th best on the slate at 11.8%.
Matchup: Tough LAA only strikes out a league low 15.5% of the time capping the ceiling for Berrios. Also Angels at home carry a wRC+ of a whopping 124.6 vs. only 63.1 on the road (one of the MLBs largest splits).
Final Thoughts: Due to matchup and limited K% likely fading unless you want to use for GPP. Also to note with limited data this year Berrios road xFIP to 1.40 HIGHER!

AARON NOLE (9200) –
Last Start: 26.5 DK points @ STL going 6.0, 1 ER and 7 Ks.
DK FPPG Range: 5.0 – 26.5 over his last 5.
Swinging Strike %: 5th worst at 9.6%.
Matchup: Good matchup – MIL strikes out 26.8% of the time and has a bottom 5 (for the slate) team batting average at .227 with a .314 wOBA vs. RHP.
Final Thoughts: Nola has a solid xFIP at HOME that is 3 points lower. He has a 4.57 xFIP overall with a 6.14 on the road and a whopping solid 3.14 at HOME! Solid!

MATTHEW BOYD (8800) –
Last Start: 25 DK points going 6.0 with 1 ER and 6 K vs. LAA who has a low K%.
DK FPPG Range: Lowest start of the year was 19.55 DK points and the other 6 have all been in the 20 point range. Solid Floor!
Swinging Strike %: #1 on the slate at 16.3%!
Matchup: Tough matchup vs. a sizzling hot Houston team! Houston has a low 19.1% team strikeout rate but at least it jumps to 22.1% vs. LHP which slightly helps Boyd.
Final Thoughts: Notable stat is that Houston on the road has a wRC+ that is around 30 points lower so don’t mind using Boyd tonight.

BRAD PEACOCK (8500) –
Last Start: 40.75 DK points vs. KC going 7.0, 0 ER and 12 Ks.
DK FPPG Range: -7.75 to 40.75 DK points.
Swinging Strike %: Bottom 6 at only 9.7% but I think this is going to climb!
Matchup: DET is horrible and they strike out 26% of the time vs. RHP with a .224 team batting average and .286 wOBA.
Final Thoughts: Love some Peacock tonight, priced right, solid matchup and hopefully that last game with 12 Ks was his breakout for the year putting stuff together and not a fluke game!

YUSEI KIKUCHI (7500) –
Last Start: 22.8 DK points going 7.2 innings @ NYY with 1 ER and 3 Ks.
DK FPPG Range: 6 points to 31.3 points.
Swinging Strike %: 4th worst at 9.6%.
Matchup: I’m going to consider this a tougher matchup. Oakland has a team strikeout % of 19.7% and drops even lower vs. LHP like Kuch to 17.9%. Oaklands wRC+ vs. LHP also jumps from 94.7 to 120.6.
Final Thoughts: He is super cheap so let’s see what the rookie can do! Oakland is only scoring 2.8 runs per game over the last 7 and right now don’t have a projected hitter in the lineup with over 3.5 FPPG over the last week! Kuchi!

MIKE FIERS (8000) –
Last Start: No hitter – 9.0 innings with only 6 Ks.
DK FPPG Range: -10.8 to 45 – ultimate gpp play right?
Swinging Strike %: Slate worst 8.4%.
Matchup: SEA has the 5th highest strikeout rate vs. current pitcher hand at 24.7% but Fiers doesn’t missing many bats. SEA is struggling a little scoring only 3.7 runs per game over the last 7 compared to 5.3 on the year.
Final Thoughts: I’d rather have some Kuchi. Okay I just had to stay that because it was in my head, lol. Fiers isn’t throwing a not hitter again this year so let everyone else ride that last start and go somewhere else. Lowest swinging strike rate and facing a Seattle team that could easily light him up. I’ll pass.

FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Highest Scoring Hitters and Pitchers from last night!

MLB BIG Scoring players last night from CheatSheetPros!
HITTERS THAT SCORED THE MOST POINTS:
Nelson Cruz – 42 DK points for 9.1x value – 2 HR and 3 RBIs!
Jonathan Schoop – 39 DK points for 9.1x value – 2 HR and 4 RBIs.
Mitch Garver (again) – 39 DK points for 8.9x value – 2 HR and 5 RBIs.
Renato Nunez – 35 DK points for 8.5x value – 2 HR and 3 RBIs.
Charlie Blackmon – 32 DK points for 6.4x value – 1 HR, 1 3B, 2 RBI, 2 Runs.
Yelich (surpise) – 32 DK points for 5.8x value – 2 HR (again), 2 RBI and 3 Runs. (This guy has 8 HR in his last 6 games! My god!)
PITCHERS THAT SCORED THE MOST POINTS:
Luis Castillo – 29.9 DK points – 6.0 / 1 ER / 9K
Tanaka – 27.5 DK points – 7.0 / 1 ER / 7K
Trevor Bauer – 27.2 DK points – 6.1 / 2 ER / 10Ks
PITCHER WITH HIGHEST VALUE RETURNED LAST NIGHT:
Chase Anderson – 23.4 DK points for 3.5x value – 5.0 / 0 ER / 5 Ks
FREE PREMIUM DFS SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to fantasybaseball [link] [comments]

MLB Pitching Breakdown for May 13th from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
RECAP: Wow, yesterday was a nice hit getting 10x on my buy in and missing a $4,000 top place by around 8-10 points. I spent 3 minutes on my lineups and then ran out the door to another baseball game. If I would of flipped Martin Perez for Martin it would of put me in 1st! Let’s take a look at this small slate today and see what is popping!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
ROBBIE RAY (10000) –
Last Start: 30.5 DK points going 5.2, 0 ER and 11 Ks – Solid Start on the road @ TB.
DK FPPG Range: 4.9 – 30.5 over his last 5 starts.
Swinging Strike %: 13% - 3rd best on the slate today.
Matchup: PIT strikes out 5.5% more vs. LHP as it jumps from 23.0% overall to 28.5% vs. LHP. They also have a bottom 5 (for the slate) team batting average vs. LHP of .229 and .259 wOBA.
Final Thoughts: Highest priced pitcher but has a solid matchup and solid stats. It appears around 3x is his ceiling.

JOSE BERRIOS (9400) –
Last Start: 27 DK points @ TOR going 7.0 with 0 ER and only 5Ks.
DK FPPG Range: Last 5 starts have been solid with 20.5 – 27 DK points.
Swinging Strike %: 8th best on the slate at 11.8%.
Matchup: Tough LAA only strikes out a league low 15.5% of the time capping the ceiling for Berrios. Also Angels at home carry a wRC+ of a whopping 124.6 vs. only 63.1 on the road (one of the MLBs largest splits).
Final Thoughts: Due to matchup and limited K% likely fading unless you want to use for GPP. Also to note with limited data this year Berrios road xFIP to 1.40 HIGHER!

AARON NOLE (9200) –
Last Start: 26.5 DK points @ STL going 6.0, 1 ER and 7 Ks.
DK FPPG Range: 5.0 – 26.5 over his last 5.
Swinging Strike %: 5th worst at 9.6%.
Matchup: Good matchup – MIL strikes out 26.8% of the time and has a bottom 5 (for the slate) team batting average at .227 with a .314 wOBA vs. RHP.
Final Thoughts: Nola has a solid xFIP at HOME that is 3 points lower. He has a 4.57 xFIP overall with a 6.14 on the road and a whopping solid 3.14 at HOME! Solid!

MATTHEW BOYD (8800) –
Last Start: 25 DK points going 6.0 with 1 ER and 6 K vs. LAA who has a low K%.
DK FPPG Range: Lowest start of the year was 19.55 DK points and the other 6 have all been in the 20 point range. Solid Floor!
Swinging Strike %: #1 on the slate at 16.3%!
Matchup: Tough matchup vs. a sizzling hot Houston team! Houston has a low 19.1% team strikeout rate but at least it jumps to 22.1% vs. LHP which slightly helps Boyd.
Final Thoughts: Notable stat is that Houston on the road has a wRC+ that is around 30 points lower so don’t mind using Boyd tonight.

BRAD PEACOCK (8500) –
Last Start: 40.75 DK points vs. KC going 7.0, 0 ER and 12 Ks.
DK FPPG Range: -7.75 to 40.75 DK points.
Swinging Strike %: Bottom 6 at only 9.7% but I think this is going to climb!
Matchup: DET is horrible and they strike out 26% of the time vs. RHP with a .224 team batting average and .286 wOBA.
Final Thoughts: Love some Peacock tonight, priced right, solid matchup and hopefully that last game with 12 Ks was his breakout for the year putting stuff together and not a fluke game!

YUSEI KIKUCHI (7500) –
Last Start: 22.8 DK points going 7.2 innings @ NYY with 1 ER and 3 Ks.
DK FPPG Range: 6 points to 31.3 points.
Swinging Strike %: 4th worst at 9.6%.
Matchup: I’m going to consider this a tougher matchup. Oakland has a team strikeout % of 19.7% and drops even lower vs. LHP like Kuch to 17.9%. Oaklands wRC+ vs. LHP also jumps from 94.7 to 120.6.
Final Thoughts: He is super cheap so let’s see what the rookie can do! Oakland is only scoring 2.8 runs per game over the last 7 and right now don’t have a projected hitter in the lineup with over 3.5 FPPG over the last week! Kuchi!

MIKE FIERS (8000) –
Last Start: No hitter – 9.0 innings with only 6 Ks.
DK FPPG Range: -10.8 to 45 – ultimate gpp play right?
Swinging Strike %: Slate worst 8.4%.
Matchup: SEA has the 5th highest strikeout rate vs. current pitcher hand at 24.7% but Fiers doesn’t missing many bats. SEA is struggling a little scoring only 3.7 runs per game over the last 7 compared to 5.3 on the year.
Final Thoughts: I’d rather have some Kuchi. Okay I just had to stay that because it was in my head, lol. Fiers isn’t throwing a not hitter again this year so let everyone else ride that last start and go somewhere else. Lowest swinging strike rate and facing a Seattle team that could easily light him up. I’ll pass.

FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to fantasybaseball [link] [comments]

MLB Pitchers & Stacks for Sunday, April 28th from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
Article contains several screen shots that Reddit doesn’t post if you want to see the screen shots in the article the link is here: https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/blog/mlb-pitchers-stacks-for-sunday-april-28th
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
JACK FLAHERTY (10,300) – I’m likely not “paying up” today for any pitcher but if you want to get into the 5 digits then I love Flaherty. He also had some poor BABIP numbers early in the year so people were off him. He is coming off 6.0 at MIL with 4 ER but managed a whopping 10 strikeouts for 27 DK points. He has been boom or bust so GPP only for me but 2 of his last 3 starts have been just shy of 30 DK points.
JOSE QUINTANA (8800) – His last 3 starts he is just exploding. He just faced the tough LA Dodgers and went 7.0 with only 2 ER and 7 Ks for 26 DK points. Prior to that he faced a weak MIA team and put up 30 DK points with 7.0 innings, 0 ER and 7 Ks. Prior to that he faced PIT and went 7.0, 0 ER and 11 strikeouts!
SONNY GRAY (8800) – If you read my season long article you know I love this guy. He has right around 20+ DK points in his last 4 starts and has 18 Ks across his last two starts! He was the unlucky bearer of some poor BABIP numbers early in the season but he is getting back on track.
STEVEN MATZ (8000) – 3 starts in a row with 23.6+ DK points and he has faced PHI, ATL and WAS in those 3 starts. He has also put up 6, 8 and 8 Ks and only allowed 3 ER total across the 3. Solid cash or GPP play.
CHRIS BASSITT (7300) – He has 1 start on the year vs. TEX and went 5.0 with 7 Ks and only allowed 2 hits and 0 ER. He did walk 4 batters though. He is a good GPP dart!
HOMER BAILEY (6800) – Bailey was off to the races after a run of good starts and then went to TB and got lit up for 4 ER in 1 inning. Prior to that he put up 29 DK points vs. CLE and 25 @ NYY. He is a good GPP dart as he has shown upside vs. tough teams.
REYNALDO LOPEZ (6200) – After getting blasted in his first 3 starts he has came back down to earth with 2 solid starts vs. KC and DET going 6.0 in both games with 8Ks and 5Ks and only allowed 3 ER total in those two starts. He is facing DET again and just put up 21.3 DK points vs. them on 4/21. Solid GPP play!
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
ATLANTA – Tyler Anderson has an xFIP at almost 9 vs. LHH. He also has 3 starts on the year and has allowed 5 ER, 6 ER and 5 ER. So he doesn’t have a start where he allowed under 5 ER. His Ks are down with 4, 2 and 3 and his walks are up with 6 in the last two games. Miami even tagged him for 9 hits and 5 ER in 5.0 innings. Eeeek!
KANSAS CITY – Matt Harvey has an xFIP of 5.47 vs. LHH and 4.86 vs. RHH. Also allowing a 1.89 / 1.31 whip and a .410/.353 wOBA. Harvey only allowed 2 ER vs. NYY in 6.0 on his last time out but prior to that he gave up 4, 6 and 8 ERs. He also only have 5 Ks in his last two games.
DODGERS – Dodgers have been fire scoring over 5 runs a game on the year. They also have 48 HRs on the year, 444 total bases and a whopping 150 RBIs. Trevor Williams hasn’t been terrible but does have an xFIP of 4.97, K9 of only 4.1 and whip of 1.55 to LHH. Dodgers have several stud LHH he will have to face such as Joc, Seager and Bellinger. If they are smart they will walk Bellinger since he has been on fire so if you want to get sneaky and stack the top 5-6 hitters and leave off Bellinger at (5800) and he does get walked that could be enough to differentiate your line.
PADRES – This is a CHEAP GPP stack for the day. Yes the Padres are only scoring 3.6 runs per game on the year and no one has been tearing the cover off the ball but these guys are cheap. Hosmer (3600), Machado (3900), Reyes (3800), Kinsler (3100) and with those you can mix in Tatis (4400) and Wil Myers (4300) and have an average cost per play around 4,000. Hellickson isn’t terrible but isn’t great. He has a 5.88 xFIP to LHH and 5.76 to RHH. His highest K9 is 5.1 and his whip is over 1.40 on both sides of the play. The .380 wOBA allowed to LHH is disturbing. Sneaky stack!
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Favorite Pitchers for Friday (May 10th) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Pitcher Breakdown from CheatSheetPros!
Hello everyone! Sorry I’ve been away for a couple days but hopefully we are back on track. My mother-in-law went into the hospital AND my dog ate a Barbie outfit that clogged his small intestines and required him to almost have surgery but stay in the dog ER for a day and a half. Work also had me hopping and popping this week! I’m looking forward to the weekend. My son has a baseball game Friday night, Saturday morning, Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning. Going to be a long weekend!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
HIGH END STUDS: (For this category I’m going to first list their range over their last 5-7 starts and then look at the opponent team’s wRC+ on home or road.)
VERLANDER (11000) – 20.7 to 36.3 DK points. Giving us a solid 2x floor with some upside. Texas on the road has a solid wRC+ of 113.4 but they also have a 26.9% team strikeout rate which makes Verlander worthwhile!
CASTILLO (10600) – 15.3 to 34.0 DK points. Facing SFG they are currently holding one of the worst wRC+ scores of 58.5 and add in a team .207 batting average. Castillo is viable if you want to spend up.
GLASNOW (10400) – 14.4 to 37.7 DK points. Facing NYY on the road they have a solid 120.1 wRC+. Likely not going to play any Glasnow at this price in the matchup.
ZACK GREINKE (9800) – 11.9 to 32.0 DK points. We see a good middle from him but not to many starts in the 30 point range. Arizona is also prone to blowing the same and costing him the “Win”. What do I like about Greinke is that if you remove his last start @COL he has 3 starts with 20.2 innings, only 1 ER and 18 strikeouts. Facing ATL they hold a wRC+ of 102.2 on the road. Look for him to get back on track!
WHEELER (9700) – This is my favorite play of the upper group. I wanted to give you some stats on each pitcher so you could decide for yourself. Wheeler has a range from -6.1 points to 38.8. He has the lowest range of all the pitchers and the highest upper end range and he is the cheapest! His Last 3 starts have been 27.6, 7.5 and 38.8 DK points. Those combine for 20.0 innings with 6 ERs and 25 strikeouts! Now he gets to face a Miami team that has a terrible wRC+ of 73.8 but on the road they drop to a terrible 61.6 which is the lowest wRC+ score of any team!
FAVORITE MID-TIER PLAY:
ODORIZZI (8800) – Coming in with a solid 2.78 ERA and 1.09 whip he holds a solid 4-2 record. His last two starts were 29.9 DK points @ NYY and then 30.8 points vs. HOU! Those two combined for 13.0 innings – 15 strikeouts and 0 ERs. Now he is facing a DET team that has a team strikeout rate jump from 21.9% at home to a massive 30.4% on the road! Gotta play some Odorizzi!
LOW END CHEAP PUNT PLAY:
HOMER BAILEY (5800) – He is the cheapest play on the board and we like him as our “punt play” if you have to go that low for a SP2 on DK. He has a range from -10 to 29.4 DK points so obviously GPP only. His last start he went 6.0 innings with 2 ERs and 4 Ks for 16.1 DK points. Not too shabby for a min priced guy. Facing Philly who has a crazy good lineup they hold a wRC+ of 112.2 at home but they are on the road (Yes I double checked this time! LoL) and they have a wRC+ that falls all the way down to 85.1, their wOBA also drops from .340 down to .300 and their OBiso score is 100 points lower. So if you are going to dip down Homer is the guy!
<< HOPE TO BE BACK WITH SOME STACKS IN THE MORNING! >>
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to fantasybaseball [link] [comments]

MLB DFS: Top Stacks, Favorite Hitters, BVP Data & Full Pitcher Analysis (April 15th) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>

TOP TEAM STACKS / PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
NYM vs. Aaron Nola – I think most of the industry is going to see Nola and not consider stacking the NYM. These guys are hot as you can see from the hot hitters listed below Alonzo, Conforto and Nimmo are popping up on the value chart and mashing right now. Nola was a rockstar last year and he is just off to a slow start so hold him if you own him in a season long league. Now this year he has been smashed by LHH giving up a 4.94 xFIP and a low 6.8 K9 ratio which is down from is 11.8 K9 he held vs. LHH last year. He also has a 1.65 whip vs. LHH. So if you are stacking NYM then build around the lefties. You can look at Nimmo who is only $3,600 and on a tear right now putting up 26, 4, 11 and 23 point games, Robinson Cano only $3,500, Michael Conforto is at $4,500 but holds a .491 wOBA vs. pitcher handedness with an .844 OBiso which is the highest in the NYM lineup and averages 10.9 FPPG. Jeff McNeil is also a lefty with a .388 wOBA averaging 8.2 FPPG at $3,900. This stack is CHEAP AS FK! Peter Alonzo is mashing everyone right now and priced at $4,800 you can easily fit him into this stack because everyone else is cheap!
STL vs. Peralta – So Peralta had a nice 42.8 point start vs. a terrible CIN team but then his other two starts were -1.25 and -1.9 points vs. STL and @ LAA. Vs. STL he was at home and only lasted 3.0 innings and gave up 4 ERs, 3 BB and only 3 Ks. 6 of the 8 actuall hitters in the projected starting lineup have a wOBA over .340 vs. pitcher handed. They are all priced very reasonable too. Wong $4,000 – 10.6 fppg with a .448 wOBA and .819 OBiso, Ozuna at $4,000 with a .397 wOBA and .730 OBiso and just shy of 10 fppg, DeJong is $4,400 with a .387 wOBA and 10.5 fppg and even Paul Goldschmidt is only $4,300 with a .368 wOBa and 9.5 fppg. On our daily stack sheet they pop as the highest value of 2.42.
My Kansas City Royals vs. Ervin Santana – Anyone who has been with me the last two years knows that I live in KC and follow the Royals/Chiefs, etc. KC comes in as a 2.27 value stack and I recommend only stacking teams with a 2.1 or higher. KC is expensive on the top end but you can mix in some lower end guys and lighten the pricing load. The top 3 guys: Whit .378 wOBA and 11.3 fppg, Mondesi .350 wOBA and 11.5 fppg, Alex Gordon .423 wOBA at 11.2 fppg are all averaging double digit fantasy points. Mondesi is a nose bleeding $5,100! Can you believe that? He is $800 more than Paul Goldschmidt? WTF DK! I’m fine leaving him out of the stack if you need to save money and running the Whit/Alex Gordon and down through Soler (4200), O’Hearn (3700) and Dozier (3600).

FAVORITE ONE-OFF HITTERS:
Brian Anderson - $2,900 – Dirt cheap and has been on fire as of late. Facing Darvish he has been all over the place. He is coming off 25 and 21 point games.
Heyward/Rizzo (if game plays) – I like Trevor Richards but he struggles vs. LHH and these two guys are mashers. Rizzo only (4200) and averaging 8.6 fppg and Heyward is only (4300) and averaging 12.9 fppg and holds an eye popping .506 wOBA and .906 OBiso!

PITCHERS TALK AND BREAKDOWN:
Wow this is a shit show for starting pitching and value. I think today you have to pick a mid-tier pitcher and pair him with a stud. The studs are your Syndergaard / Bauer and possibly Nola.
SYNDERGAARD – Priced at $10k on DK that seems fair since they priced up Joey Lucchesi at $9,000 and a struggling Aaron Nola at $9,600. He has a tough matchup vs. PHI but he will get the Ks to rack up some points giving you a solid floor. He has put up 14.7, 19.7 and 22.75 DK points in his last 3 starts.
NOLA – I’m likely going to be off Nola tonight due to the hot hitting NYM. While doing my “Hot Hitters” NYM were popping up like Midwest mushrooms with Peter Alonzo, Conforto and Nimmo just to name a few. Nola started off hot with a 27.3 point outing vs. ATL going 6.0 innings for 8Ks but then hit a wall. In his last two starts he has -5.45 DK points vs. WASH where he only lasted 3.0 innings an d then 7.45 DK points (again vs WASH but this time at home) where he went 6.1 but only managed 3 Ks. Fade for me at this price tag!
SHOEMAKER – He is my favorite pitcher on the slate right now for his price point. He is sitting at $8,000 on DK and has “positive” outings in all 3 starts this year which is a rarity for most of these guys. His first 3 starts were 31.3 DK points vs. DET going 7 innings with 7 Ks and 0 ER, then 33.3 DK points vs. BAL going 7 innings with 8 Ks and 0 ER. Then his most recent start was 16.55 DK points @ BOS going 5.2 with 4 Ks and 2 ER. Now he is facing Perez who has been awful so Shoemaker should be in line for an easy win if he can go the distance.
LUIS CASTILLO – Here is your GPP pitcher. He is coming off 23.75, 28 and 33.95 DK point outings and now he gets a solid LAD team to put him to the test. His first 3 starts vs. PIT, MIL and MIA aren’t the best indicators as all of those teams are shit but he did manage 8, 9 and 8 Ks in those 3 starts. I’d much rather fire up a Castillo over Lucchesi since the industry is on Joey L. GPP play for sure to see if he is dominant. LAD have the highest custom power ranking at CheatSheetPros right now. They hold a team batting average of .284, low 18.6% strikeout rate and average 6.4 runs per game with 35 HRs on the year already and over 300 total bases!
TREVOR BAUER – Priced up at $10,400 he has a tough matchup vs. a red hot Seattle team. He has put up 30, 31.5 and 12 DK point outings in his last 3 contents. He also put up 9, 8 and 7Ks in those 3 games giving us a good floor. I definitely think he is viable tonight even though he is in a tough spot.
JOEY LUCCHESI – Industry is all over him as he is projected as the top value pitcher on several sites this am. He put up nice 27 and 24 point outings in his first two and then went to SFG against a terrible Giants team and got hammered for 7 runs in only 4 innings. COL ranks as the worst team on the road in our custom power rankings as they hold a team batting average of only .201 with a 26.4% strikeout rate and average a whopping 2.9 runs per game. He is viable but I’m off him as there are other places I want to plant my flag.
YU DARVISH – Love this guy but have to fade him right now. He is all over the place. His last 3 starts were good for 2.6, 1.6 and 8.4 DK points. Strikeout numbers are way down, walks are way up. Fade for now.
TREVOR RICHARDS – Don’t mind him at $8,200 if you want to pivot off Shoemaker. He is coming off 16, 16.7 and 24 point starts. He went 6.0 innings in all 3 starts and put up 7, 7 and 4 Ks and only 0, 3 and 1 ER. Facing the Cubs and Darvish has been terrible if they can get some offense he could pick up the win which would be huge. But again no faith in Miami offense.
TREVOR CAHILL – I was looking at him as a pickup this week in season long so I don’t mind using him either as he is priced down to $7,100 on DK and has 19.7 and 25.3 DK points starts in his last two. Those two starts were tough vs. Seattle @ SEA going 6.0 innings with 5 Ks and only 1 ER. That’s pretty impressive considering the team he was facing and how red hot they are right now! Now he is facing a TEX team that holds a .241 batting average with a high 26.7% strikeout rate and average 5.1 runs per game. He could have a 3x+ game tonight, he will definitely be in my player pool!
DAKOTA HUDSON – This is the ultimate GPP play priced at only $6,200 on DK. Yes his control and command is all over the place and he can walk guys like crazy but I think he could return solid value if things click for him. He is going to get a massive start and we want to have a piece of it when he does. Now I’m not saying “lock him in” but if you are doing 20 lines then put him in 2-3 with your favorite stacks because he is super cheap! Now his last outing he faced the LAD and lasted 4.2 innings with 0 ERs and 4 Ks, that is great, however he did manage to walk 4 batters. He went 4.1 vs. MIL and gave up 3 ER, 2 BB and 6 Ks. So he has some K upside and he could last longer if he can get his pitch count under control.
PITCHER RECAP – So my breakdown I love using Shoemaker, Trevor Richards and Trevor Cahill tonight for my mid-tier pitchers. I like mixing in some Dakota Hudson and Castillo for GPPs. I like Syndergaard and Bauer for anchors if you can afford them.

HOT HITTERS: (Hitters with the highest value over the last 10 days using DK salaries!)
  1. Mitch Garver (MIN: C) – His last 4 games he has 14, 19, 36 and 19 DK points!
  2. Dan Vogelbach (SEA: 1B) – 17.3 DK PPG over L10 days good for 4x value! He has put up 6, 16, 2, 15, 22 and 43 points over his last 6 games.
  3. Peter Alonzo (NYM: 1B) – 19.0 DK PPG over L10 days good for 3.9x value! He has put up 9, 21, 8, 30, 27 and 19 over his last 6 games.
  4. Michael Conforto (NYM: OF) – 16.1 DK PPG over L10 days for 3.6x value. Coming off 7, 14, 6, 11, 27, 27 and 21 point runs!
  5. Brandon Nimmo (NYM: OF) – 12.8 DK PPG good for 3.6x value while coming off 26, 4, 11 and 23 point games!
OTHER NOTABLE HITTERS: Jesse Winker is finally catching some fire with a 4 game run of 14, 11, 16 and 23 DK points and only priced at $3,400. Grab him in season long leagues as he was dropped all over the place! Mitch Haniger has been solid but is starting to get hot coming off a 4 game run of 14, 12, 21 and 18 DK points!

BVP MONSTERS: (Hitters with at least 10 Abs with solid BVP numbers vs. current pitcher!)
  1. Justin Smoak - .438 avg / .503 wOBA / 7 for 16.
  2. Shin-Soo Choo - .400 avg / .450 wOBA / 6 for 15.
  3. Cesar Hernandez - .400 avg / .391 wOBA / 8 for 20.
  4. Nelson Cruz - .308 avg / .370 wOBA / 8 for 26 with 2 HRs.
  5. Bryce Harper - .286 avg / .333 wOBA / 6 for 21.
  6. Whit Merrifield - .357 avg / .333 wOBA / 5 for 14 only 1 K.

Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Pitching Breakdown (May 14th) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
CHRIS SALE (10800) –
Last Start: His last 2 starts have both been phenominal. 41 DK points and 33.9 DK points. Both of those starts were on the road and he amassed 24 Ks in only 14.0 innings and only allowed 1 ER total!
FPPG Range: 0.80 – 41 DK points – ultimate GPP range, lol!
Swinging Strike %: 14.1% which is 4th for the 12 game main slate tonight!
Matchup: Facing COL outside of COL is always a better matchup. COL is also striking out 25.7% of the time vs. LHP. COL also has a low 71.5% wRC+ outside of Coors and a wOBa that is 57 points lower and batting average that is 42 points lower. Solid matchup!
Cliff Notes & Thoughts: Sale has been on fire in his last 2 starts pushing 4x value. You can use for Cash or GPP with confidence.

CHRIS PADDACK (10000) –
Last Start: 40 DK points going 7.2 innings with 0 ER and 11 strikeouts – Wow!
FPPG Range: 15 – 40 DK points in last 5.
Swinging Strike %: 14.2% which is 3rd for the 12 game main slate tonight!
Matchup: Matchup is tough vs. LAD who is only striking out 19.5% of the time vs. RHP and holding a wRC+ of around 119.
Cliff Notes & Thoughts: He is putting up elite numbers so I don’t mind the matchup. He has allowed a total wOBA of only .178 with a 0.69 whip and .130 batting average.

CALEB SMITH (9500) –
Last Start: 28.2 DK points going 6.2 innings with 2 ER and 11 Ks vs. a tough Cubs team.
FPPG Range: 25.1 – 30 DK points in his last 5, solid floor!
Swinging Strike %: 18.2% which is 1st for the 12 game main slate tonight!
Matchup: Facing a TB team with a slate high 30.4% vs. LHP is going to be a boom opportunity for Caleb Smith who has a massive swinging strike rate.
Cliff Notes & Thoughts: TB has a drop vs. LHP this year of 18 points in team batting average down to (.238), 23 point drop in wOBA down to (.309) and 16 point drop in wRC+ down to (95.6). Tampa has been ice cold scoring 3.8 runs per game over the last week. Most of the projected starting hitters are averaging less than 4 FPPG over the last 7 and last 14 days. He is likely my favorite pitcher for the price tag! Cash + GPP viable!

WADE MILEY (7900) –
Last Start: 25 DK points going 6.0 / 2 ER / 7 Ks.
FPPG Range: 2.9 – 25.1 in his last 6 starts.
Swinging Strike %: 9.7%
Matchup: Facing DET who has a 27.6% strikeout rate vs. PH and scoring only 3.3 runs per game over the last 7 days and 3.5 on the season is considered a great matchup.
Cliff Notes & Thoughts: Miley should lock down the “W” with the red hot Houston offense right now and facing a weak DET team gives him a great floor for GPP or cash.

DANNY DUFFY (7700) –
Last Start: 19 DK points @ HOU (tough matchup) going 6.2 / 2 ER and 5 Ks.
FPPG Range: Only 3 starts, 2.5 points in the first one and then 19.3 and 19.0 in last 2.
Swinging Strike %: 11.9%
Matchup: Facing TEX they are striking out 28.2% of the time vs. LHP and that is the 2nd highest team strikeout rate behind Caleb Smiths matchup.
Cliff Notes & Thoughts: Duffy is a GPP only option as a pivot off Miley if the ownership is going to be too high. TEX is scoring 4.0 runs per per game over the last 7 which is way under their 5.6 runs per game on the year. Choo, Mazara, Gallo, Odor and Cabrera are all averaging less than 4 FPPG over the last week so they are cold right now. Duffy also has the 2nd lowest team batting average vs. PH and facing one of the highest team strikeout rates on the slate (2nd).

FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Stacks & Pitchers (June 15th) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
Back from Vegas and I’ve been posting in the paragraph form in our Facebook group and Flick chat group since time has been tight and I’ve been exhausted! I’m ready to hammer on the main slate today and give you my thoughts! I have also tweaked my sports betting sheet and the daily fantasy sheet together so all my stuff is in a single spot! Feel free to join us on FLICK (link below) as we have topics for various DFS sports such as wNBA, MLB, NBA, NFL, etc. and also hit on Sports Betting, etc.
<
https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/post/mlb-stacks-pitchers-for-june-15th-from-cheatsheetpros >>
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
Washington vs. Taylor Clarke – With a low 9.9% swinging strike rate, and a 6.93 xFIP vs. LHH he may get beat up on today. Arizona has a decent bullpen but still ranks 17th with an xFIP of 4.15 and whip of 1.40. No BVP data to report on. Rendon is a whopping 5,800 but if you skip him you can get a 5 man stack with a mid to upper 4k range. Turner has a 16.2 FPPG over the last week and 12.9 over the last 14 days at 5400 and he has to be included due to his base stealing ability. Clarke has given up 4, 2 and 5 ER in his last 3 starts and only lasted 3.1, 5.0 and 2.0 innings.
Cleveland vs. Gregory Soto – Cleveland is single handedly killing one of my season long leagues this year, lol. Soto has been terrible and he was sent down to AAA and now back up for another start. He gave up 5 ER in 3.2 on May 24th and then 3 ER in 4.0 on May 19th and 2 ER in 2.0 prior to that. He has a 9.0% swinging strike rate and an xFIP vs. LHH over just shy of 9.00 and DET also has the dead last ranked bullpen since May 1st. Cleveland has been terrible and if they get put a 7 spot on the board today I’m done with them! Luplow (4300) has a .509 wOBA vs. pitcher hand and a OBP+ ISO score of 1.074 and a L14 game ceiling of 28! They have great ceilings just have to get them on the right day. (Added note: Kipnis is 3,000 and I’m fading him, 3.3 FPPG last 7 and 2.5 over L14 and a L14 game ceiling of only 10, no thanks! Also Jose Ramirez at 3700 is decent to squeeze in there.)
NYY vs. Reynaldo Lopez – Lopez just tossed a great game with 6.0 innings and only 1 ER but that was vs. the Royals who are terrible this year. Prior to that he gave up 6, 5, 12, 7 and 4 ERs and only made it to the 6 inning mark once in those starts. NYY is a powerhouse offense even without Judge and Stanton. However, they have lost 3 straight and 3-7 in their last 10 games so hopefully they will be lower owned… maybe??? But it’s the Yankees no maybe not… Stack anyone except Aaron Hicks he has been ice cold with 3.3 FPPG over the last week and he is priced way up at 4400, yuck! He is also only 1 for 7 vs. Lopez. If you skip Sanchez (only to save money) at 5200 you can take the 5 hitters around Sanchez and Hicks for a 4400 average which is nice for a NYY stack.
Texas vs. Tanner Roark – I can’t believe Texas is a dog in this game but anyways… Roark has given up 4 ER in both of his last two starts and Texas has solid BVP numbers vs. him hitting a whopping .341 with 41 Abs and only striking out 20% of the time. Priced in the mid to upper tier the top 5 hitters will cost you 4,860 on average but you can kick one of those guys out and slide down the list and take a Cabrera or Odor for 4100 or 3900 and lower that average. Cabrera is 6 for 17 vs. Roark and Odor is 2 for 4. For a team that is 20-10 in their last 30 games and 12-8 on the road I’ll take that facing a Cincy team scoring an average of only 2.8 runs per game the last 7 days! Yes Please!
White Sox vs. Chad Green – Chad Green has been solid with a 14.3% swinging strike rate but does hold a 5.13 xFIP vs. LHH and has the 4th best bullpen behind him. However White Sox are CHEAP! You can stack the 1-5 hitters for an average of only 4100 and if you skip Moncada you can get that number down to around 3900 average. That’s pretty decent for a team that has won 3 straight and 12-8 at home since May 1st. Cheap GPP stack only.
FAVORITE ONE OFF HITTERS:
Brock Holt (3900) He is 9 for 14 vs. Bundy and coming off a big game but this isn’t for the main slate but wanted to toss him out there!
Eloy Jimenez (3800) – He has 41, 27, 21 and 16 point games in 4 of his last 6 and he is 1 for 2 vs. Green. Very cheap with upside hitting 5th in the White Sox lineup.
Jose Ramirez (3700) – Ice cold Jose coming off a 21 point game is dirt cheap if you need a 3B. Cleveland should put up a decent amount of runs today and he has a shot to get his!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
FRAMER VALDEZ (7700) – Yes please! He has 2 starts and has only given up 1 ER in 11.0 innings across those two starts with 10Ks. Should be a good shot for the win facing a horrible Toronto team that ranks 27th in their last 10 game power rankings and scoring 3.9 runs per game on the year.
SEAN NEWCOMB (7700) – I think this is worth a shot vs. a decent Philly team. He is coming off a 25.9 DK point start vs. a bad PIT team going 4.2 with 0 ER and 6Ks. Philly has BVP history of only 38 Abs but in those they are only hitting .184 vs. Newcomb with a 26% strikeout rate. There is some risk here but worth a shot for GPPs.
NOTES ON THE HIGH END PITCHERS:
I can’t find much I like on pitching below the mid 7K range. As always if you can fit into the studs they are find today. Walker Buehler is (10,200) but coming off 34 and 40.8 DK point starts and has 20 Ks in his last 15.0 innings. Strausburg (10,700) I won’t be on because I never use him but he is having a solid season and has 12 Ks in his last 12 innings. He always manages a blow up game from time to time and I don’t want to be apart of it especially with the terrible bullpen behind him. I need a lock at a “Win” for a 5 digit price tag. Odorizzi (10,900) blew my mind when I saw his price tag but it is vs. the Royals and Minny should be in line for an easy “Win” and he is coming off 27, 33 and 32.8 point starts putting up 8, 9 and 9 strikeouts and only allowing 1 ER across all 3 of those starts, now that is impressive! Finally, top dog Chris Sale (11,600) comes in at that nose bleed price tag coming off 33 and 51 DK point starts with 22 Ks in his last 16 innings. He faced Baltimore on May 8th and putting up 41 DK points going 8.0 innings with 1 ER and 14 Ks so I think that is a good indicator of how this game may go. I’d give up a 30 DK point floor right now if you can fit him in he is my favorite “SAFE” pitcher on the slate but he is expensive!
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Deep Look (Pitchers/Stacks/Cheap Stacks) for Friday, June 7th from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
Good morning everyone! How about that last article with the low cost GPP stacks? We crushed it that night and I went 5x on my money. Tonight I’m flying to Vegas for the WSOP and some relax time but I’ll still be posting sheets and discussing some plays from the hotel room. Since DK is not allowed in the LV I won’t be posting screen shots and will spend more time sports betting and playing poker. So let’s get a good article in today for this big night slate!
PITCHER BREAKDOWN:
I think tonight is the night to pay down on pitching and stack up your hitters. 4 pitchers are over $10K and I’m not impressed with any of them. So let’s take a quick peak at what I’m thinking:
Cole (12,200) – His last 4 starts are 13.9, 35, 8 and 21 DK points. Not what I want to see for a $12k SP! CHW (8.45) and OAK (13.9) aren’t exactly power house teams. Baltimore is terrible but they are 19 points better on the road (wRC+ rating) and they have a few hot hitters. Too expensive for me!
Soroka (11,600) – Seriously? He has only topped 30 DK points one time this year vs. a terrible SF team. His is likely a 20-24 DK point start tonight. Plus Miami is scorching hot right now averaging 7.5 runs per game over the last week. No thanks!
Kershaw (11,200) – Also going to pass here, he should get an easy win but at this price point I want 9-12 strikeout upside and his last few starts he has only put up 6, 5, 8, 5, 4, and 6 strikeouts. Price is too high for me!
Matt Boyd (10,400) – Of all the guys he is the most likely person I’d squeeze in over $10k. He is coming off 20, 29, 23 and 18 DK point starts giving us a good floor and has 9, 8, 7 and 8 strikeouts on those contents. Facing a tough MIN team but through 117 at bats they are only hitting .179 vs. him with 38 strikeouts (32%), that is great!
Jacob DeGrom (9,400) – Pricing is coming down due to recent performances so I don’t mind him facing COL outside of COL. He has 23.4, 6, 24.5 and 0 DK points in his last 4 starts so a bit of a roller coaster. He has a ceiling game of 45 DK points from April 3rd vs. Miami. Colorado hitters have a .222 average vs. DeGrom through 72 Abs with a 28% strikeout rate. GPP play only but love the price tag!
PITCHERS I LOVE TONIGHT:
Andrew Heaney (9,200) – So if ownership goes to DeGrom I may slide down here to Heaney if he is substantially less owned. He has 2 starts on the year 21.45 and 24.5 DK points and put up 8Ks and 10Ks in those two starts. Actually I’m just now seeing that he just faced SEA on the road and went 6.0 with 3 ER and 10 strikeouts. So he gives us a good floor.
Zach Eflin (8,700) – GPP dart here. He is a little expensive but has a solid ceiling. He has a 39.65 point game on May 11th then he struggled with 11, 9.5 and 6 DK point starts before going on the IL. Now he is returning to face a weak CIN team. CIN is only 1 of 17 vs. Eflin (.059) and they are ice cold and also only scoring 3.4 runs per game over the last week. They have a 15-15 road record and an 84.87 wRC+.
Brandon Woodruff (7,800) – I think Woody is priced low today. He is coming off a horrible start @ PIT putting up -0.80 DK points giving up 6 ER and facing them again so that is a fear for me. Prior to that he put up 39, 23, 24, 31 and 22 DK point starts and only gave up 1, 2, 0, 1 and 1 ERs and even had a game hitting 10 Ks. MIL is a -260 favorite and should get the win while they pound Rookie Davis on the other side so that gives us a god floor. Woodruff struggles vs. LHH and PIT has a ton of them so that might be his downfall but I’m sure he wants some revenge after they tore him up last start! GPP!
Jose Urena (7,500) – Consistency here, 19.9, 21 and 18 DK points in his last 3 starts and those are all slightly under 3x and well over 2x. ATL has lost 2 in a row and 4-6 in their last 10 games.
Tyler Mahle (7,300) – Most consistent floor numbers here. 21, 2.6, 23.3, 18, 25 and 20 DK points and in those contest he faced Nationals, Cubs and Dodgers. He also has the #3 best bullpen behind him. Philly vs. pitcher hand has a 24.1% strikeout rate (7th), wRC+ of 80.1 (7th), batting average of .230 (5th) and wOBA .294 (7th). Decent matchup if he can avoid Harper and Jay Bruce who are red hot LHH right now. Mahle is dominant vs. RHH with a 2.56 xFIP, 11.1 K9, low 1.09 whip and .284 wOBA – those numbers are solid! Now vs. LHH he struggles with a 4.71 xFIP (yuck), 1.48 whip (eeeeek!) and massive .374 wOBA (throw up in my mouth). Philly has Harper and Jay Bruce, if he can get around them and then he should have a good game, if not then he could get rocked!
PUNT Plays: Ivan Nova (5,000) – If you love your hitters and need a punt to give you positive points then Nova is your guy. Coming off 11, 9.6 and 12 DK points he is a good 2x punt option for tonight. He does have a ceiling game of 22 which is good for 4x value so there is a tiny bit of upside. Through 46 Abs KC is only hitting .239 vs. Nova and most of the team is ice cold right now. KC is scoring only 2.2 runs per game over the last 7 days and 4.3 on the year. They have an 8-23 record at home and a wRC+ of 86.13 which ranks 22nd of 30 MLB teams at home. Nova isn’t great but punting he is the best shot!
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
LAA vs. Marco Gonzales – Marco has given up 10 ER and 6 ER in this last two starts. Actually those 10 ER was when he just faced this same LAA team on 6/02. Yeah load them up!
LAD vs. Pomeranz – He has given up 8 ER and 5 ER to a terrible Baltimore and Arizona team. LAD will crush him!
Nationals vs. Margevicius – He has given up 4 ER, 6 ER and 5 ER in his last 3 starts. Ummm… Go Nationals! Projected at only 4.5 runs they should be less chalky, they are expensive but should pound Margevicius. No BVP data but 4 guys in the Nationals lineup have a wOBA over .400 vs. pitcher hand. Can’t ignore that and the 5.2 runs per game over the last week. Nats!
Milwaukee vs. Rookie Davis – Who? Who the fuck is Rookie Davis? Well he owns a career 7.96 ERA in 31.2 innings at the major league level. He is coming off a 1.0 inning appearance vs. ATL and gave up 3 ER. Projected at 5.7 runs this will be chalky, MIL is 7 for 11 facing Davis and 0 strikeouts in those 11 Abs.
CHEAP STACKS: Tonight I’m paying down at pitching and paying up for hitters. When we are wanting stud pitchers we will focus more on cheap stacks. So I’m briefly going to hit on a few teams with a projected 1-5 hitters with an average price in the low $4k’s and down to consider.
LAA – Average price of 1-5 projected hitters $4,440 vs. a struggling Marco G!
HOU – Average price of 1-5 projected hitters $4,080 as a -330 favorite.
MIAMI – Average price of 1-5 projected hitters $3,160 and they are scoring 7.5 runs per game over the last week! Prices are dirt cheap still!
BOS – Average of 1-5 only $4,720, that is higher than we normally hit on but on the other side Tampa Bay is $5,060. So I can get Mookie, Benintendi, J.D. Martinez, Devers and Bogaerts at an average around $4.7k? Heck yes!
CLE – Struggling team but even with Lindor priced at a whopping 5,400 you can get the 1-5 hitters at an average of only $3,860 vs. a struggling German.
PHI – If you don’t like Tyler Mahle and are worred about this stats vs. LHH then you can get the Phillies top 5 for only $4,140.
FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB Stacks & Pitchers (May 5th) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
<
https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/blog/mlb-stacks-pitchers-for-may-5th >>
Quick Notes - Good morning everyone! Last week was crazy busy at work so I didn't get as many articles out as I had hoped. I did get a sheet update done (see screen shots) as I brought in a players fantasy points per game for last 7 days, last 14 days and their ceiling game in the last 14. I also brought in the teams runs per game over the last week and included it next to the season long runs per game. We also bought in team stats next to the pitcher for a quick look along with how those numbers rank vs. other pitchers on the slate.
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
TEXAS vs. Clay Buchholz – Texas is hot right now scoring 6.2 runs per game in their last 7 games (new add to our cheatsheet) and 5.8 runs per game on the season. They have 4 guys with a last 14 game ceiling over 26 DK points (Odor, Andrus, Mazara & Pence). See screen shot below on breakdown and our new adds to the cheatsheet. (If you are reading this on Reddit then they don’t allow screen shots so see the link above for full article.) Buchholz has an xFIP of 4.73 vs. LHH and 5.36 to RHH and a wOBA over .327 to both sides of the plate. He has one of the worst pitching matchups on the slate as TEX is one of the top teams vs. current pitcher hand in wRC+ (117.1), batting average (.273) and wOBA (.359). Odor is the only hitter that is cold (blue color) last 7 and last 14 days. Everyone else is in play!
KANSAS CITY vs. Spencer Turnbull – KC isn’t as terrible as they were projected to be this year. Living in KC I get a lot of KC talk on the local sports radio stations. The top 4 hitters have solid wOBA’s and Last 14 FPPG and ceiling games. It is going to be an expensive stack but we are looking at using at least 3 of: Whit Merrifield wOBA (.377), Last 14 FPPG (10.4) and L14 Ceiling (27.0), Adalberto Mondesi wOBA (.361), Last 14 FPPG (12.3) and L14 Ceiling (29.0), Alex Gordon wOBA (.395), Last 14 FPPG (10.1) and L14 Ceiling (30.0) and finally Hunter Dozier wOBA (.507), Last 14 FPPG (11.6) and L14 Ceiling (32.0). Soler is only (4100) so you can mix him in and eat up some of the high cost hitters. Turnbull has an xFIP of 4.85 to LHH and 4.01 to RHH. KC only projected at 4.1 runs today but Last 7 games they are on a 5.4 average per game.
PHILLIES vs. Anibal Sanchez – Sanchez holding a terrible 7.24 xFIP to LHH and 5.09 to RHH and a .436 wOBA to LHH and .304 to RHH. This is the least favorite of the 3 stacks but Phillies have such a strong lineup. They are semi-cold right now outside of Hoskins and Segura. Harper is only 5.2-5.8 FPPG over last 7 and last 14 days, McCutchen is 6.0 FPPG over last 14, Muto 7.3, Cesar at 5.5. But somehow they are managing 5.0 runs per game over the last 7 days and 5.2 on the year. They get a struggling pitcher so can they breakout?

PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
Luis Castillo (9500) – He has been solid this year with 15+ DK points in all of his starts (so no duds!). He has 30 point upside with his high strikeouts and should push a 2x floor. He is facing SFG who have a bottom 5 team batting average vs. pitcher hand (.204) and wOBA (.269) and wRC+ of (65.6).
ZACH GREINKE (8400) – Priced down for tossing in Colorado Greinke has been solid outside of his first start of the year. He has 22+ DK points in every start (minus his opener) and he has faced some tough teams. In his last 3 starts he has tossed 20.2 innings with allowing only 1 ER and 18 Ks. The last time he threw in Colorado was on 9/11/2018 and he went 6.2 innings with 5 Ks, 3 ER and 0 BB for 19.4 DK points.
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER FOR GPP PLAYS IN GOOD SPOTS (5 highest team K% vs. PH):
JULIO TEHERAN – Facing MIA who has a 28.3% team strikeout rate vs. pitcher hand
NICK MARGEVICIUS – LAD striking out 26.8% of the time vs. LHP.
KENTA MAEDA – SDP striking out 26.9% vs. RHP.
ZACH EFLIN – Washington striking out 26.0% of the time.
JOHN MEANS – TB striking out a high 30.2% of the time vs. LHP.

FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB DFS - Team Stacks & Pitchers (4/20) from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
RECAP: Yesterday we have you 3 solid stacks. White Sox/Houston which both scored 7 runs and they were the two highest scoring teams on the slate along with the Cardinals who scored 4 runs. Lyles was our favorite pitcher on the slate for value and was the 4th most valuable pitcher. StatWise MLB Sheet goes 9-5 on picks for +4.30 units. It’s hard to turn a profit across an entire slate of MLB games with all the juicy in the lines but we managed it!
<< This article contains several screen shots that won't show on Reddit, to see the actual screen shots in the article the link is here: https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/blog/team-stacks-pitchers-from-cheatsheetpros >>
TEAM STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST!
WHITE SOX vs. NORRIS – Norris has not been a terrible pitcher tossing out of the pen. He has limited innings this year but so far a 7.33 xFIP to LHH and 5.79 xFIP to RHH and his K9 rate is below 5.0. He is also giving up a massive wOBA with .383 to LH and .436 to RH. But those are limited stats so take them with a grain of salt. The main reason I like this stack is the price. Yes Tim Anderson (4800) and Moncada (4700) are high but you can package guys around them for 3800-4100 and lower that average price point. Garcia (4100) .341 wOBA vs. pitcher hand and 8.4 FPPG. Jose Abreu (3800) is struggling this year but could breakout at anytime. Alonso (3800) is starting to warm up with a .387 wOBA vs. PH. Sneaky Pick is Jose Rondon (3500) with a .618 wOBA vs. PH and OBiso of 1.000 which is 400 points higher than anyone else on the team.
📷📷
ST LOUIS vs. FLEXEN – Flexen is getting his first start this year and last year had a torn meniscus. He posted a 4.40 ERA and 1.52 WHIP is AAA. That’s horrible. Cardinals again are cheap and their top 4 wOBA hitters on our stack sheet have a 10.25 FPPG with an average price of (4425) and 2.32x value. We recommend having at least a 2.0x value for a stack. Goldy (4400) .398 wOBA, DeJong (4500) .426 wOBA, Ozuna (4600) .428 wOBA. Those wOBA numbers are vs the current pitcher handedness so build around those guys.
📷📷
NYM vs. Mikolas – Mikolas is a solid pitcher. In his last 15 innings to the 2018 season he only allowed 1 ER with 14 Ks. This year he is not there yet. He has given up 3, 3, 3 and 5 runs in his 4 starts and failed to strikeout more than 3 hitters in any outing. He has also only lasted 5.0, 6.0, 5.0 and 5.0 innings. (For the record I’m trying to buy him in season long leagues while his numbers are down.) NYM average 5.7 runs per game. Mikolas has a 7.38 xFIP, 1.82 whip and .445 wOBA to LHH. Building around Cano (3600), Conforto (5000) and even McNeil (4200).
📷📷
ARIZONA vs. Yu Darvish – Don’t like this as a full stack but a mini-stack for sure. ARI scoring 5.2 runs per game. Christian Walker (4200) is a freaking beast! He has a .503 wOBA vs. PH and .989 OBiso and 9.7 FPPG average. Love him if he is in the lineup! Also build around RHH. Adam Jones (4100) is another solid hitter .424 wOBA and .693 OBiso vs. pitcher hand. Right now Jones is projected as the #4 and Walker #6.
📷📷
TAMPA BAY vs. Porcello – Ricky is struggling this year as is most BOS pitchers. He started off the year giving up 4 runs and 4 walks in 2.2 innings, then came back to 10 hits and 7 ER in 4.2 innings. Most recently vs. BAL he gave up 3 ER in 4 innings with only 2 Ks. Yuck! TB scoring 5.0 runs per game and you can stack 4 guys here for about the mid 4k price tag. Austin Meadows (5300) is smashing and has a .465 wOBA vs. PH, Yandy .393, Lowe (.386), Garcia .415. Porcello is giving up a 7.16 xFIP to LHH and 6.48 to RHH. His wOBA numbers are also insane with a .541 to LHH and .421 to RHH. Mix in some Rays!
📷📷
PITCHERS: Poker game ran late last night so I need to get this posted for everyone so I’m jumping right over to pitchers.
STUD: MAX SCHERZER – Nose bleed pricing at 12,000 on DK but worth whilte. He is facing a terrible MIA team striking out over 30% of the time to RHP and hold a horrible .205 batting average. Scherzer could toss a complete game and have 10-12 Ks and I would not be shocked! Best pitcher on the slate vs. worst team, no brainer let’s move on.
FAVORITE PLAY: TOUKI TOUSSAINT – Wrote the article yesterday and then the game was PPD, fuck! Copied from yesterday: Getting the start today this guy has swing and miss stuff. He started on 4/13 and went 6.0 innings and only gave up 4 hits, 0 ER and 7 Ks. Wow! Looking back into last year he also posted solid numbers with about a K per inning or slightly higher. I’m assuming he is going to be lower owned because most people don’t know who he is and Fantasy Cruncher has him as their 12th value pitcher on the slate which isn’t good. Facing Cleveland they are getting better after starting the year off terribly. They have a 26.5% team strikeout rate and team .207 batting average. This gives our Touki, I just love saying “Touki” in my head a solid floor. You can pair Touki and Lyles and have plenty of money over to stack any hitters you want. Let’s go Touki!
GPP PLAY: AARON NOLA – EEEK! A pitcher I was targeting all over has given up 5 ER to NYM, 4 ER to WAS and 6 ER to WASH again. He is a solid pitcher and he will come around. I don’t mind using him as a great GPP play today. Ownership should be down due to recent performance but so is his price tag at (8100). COL is striking about 26% of the time as a team and hold a low .214 team batting average. GPP play with some upside if we can get on him when he breaks out of his funk!
DISCOUNT STUD: CASTILLO – He has 24, 28 and 34 point games this year and most recently slid down to 15.25 vs. LAD. He also has strikeouts of 7, 8, 9 and 8 giving you a solid floor. SDP are striking out 25.6% of the time as a team and hold a low .221 batting average. He is priced up to 9600 but if you can’t afford some of the other high priced guys he gives you a little bit of a discount with K upside.
(FADE) KLUBER – Fade for me as he has went from 0.90 DK points to 26.7 down to -4.6 facing the likes of the White Sox, Tigers and Royals. He gave up 6 ER in 2.2 to KC and gave up 4 ER in 3.1 to CHW. ATL is a tougher matchup than any of those opponents so I’m going to shy away at his recent struggles and 9400 price tag. It is notable that Fantasy Cruncher has him as the most valuable DFS pitcher today.
(FADE) MILES MIKOLAS – Read above on NYM stack for Mikolas stats.

FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>

Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

MLB DFS (April 25th) Team Stacks & Breakdown from CheatSheetPros!

MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
Wow this is a terrible slate for today but let’s hit on some players! There are screen shots in this article that Reddit doesn’t allow so if you would like to see them the direct link is here: https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/blog/mlb-breakdown-april-25th
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
AARON NOLA (9100) – Love the price tag coming down 1,100 off Cole and he has a dream matchup facing a weak MIA team who is striking out 29.8% of the time vs. RHP. Nola has struggled so far to start the year but managed a 22 DK point outing @ COL last time out going 5.2 with 3 ER and 9 Ks. His K upside gives up a solid floor and the matchup is a good rebound opportunity.
LUIS CASTILLO (10000) – Early slate play he has put up 28+ DK points in 3 of his last 4 starts. He also had 7+ Ks in all of those starts with 9, 7, 8 and 9. ATL is a tougher matchup but they still strikeout 24.4% of the time vs. RHP.
MASAHIRO TANKA (9300) – Careful rolling him out today vs. LAA they only strikeout 15.9% of the time as a team vs. RHP and have a wRC+ of 105.2. I don’t mind his price tag but wouldn’t expect the 30-35 DK point game with the lower strikeout numbers.
ZACH GREINKE (9700) – He has 22 DK points in his last 4 starts. He has been heating up and last time out vs. the Cubbies went 6.0 and only allowed 3 hits, 0 ER and 4 Ks for 22.5 DK points. He has a high of 10Ks @ SD on 4/02. Facing PIT today on the early slate they have a 22.7% team strikeout rate with a .231 team batting average and wRC+ of 78.8.
MARCO GONZALES (8400) – This could be a sneaky play for GPPs. He has only given up 3, 2, 2 and 1 ER in his last 4 starts with 6, 3, 5, and 3 Ks in those starts. He is facing a hot TEX team but they are striking out 25.1% of the time vs. LHP and hold a team batting average that is 39 points lower than their overall at .213 vs. LHP. Their wOBA is also 35 points lower at .303. Their overwall wRC+ is 104.0 which is just above average of (100.0) but vs. LHP they drop down to 80.7.

STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
BOSTON vs. ZIMMERMAN – Zimmerman started the year with 2 road starts and allowed 0 and 1 ER and then fell off a cliff. His last 3 starts he has given up 5, 5 and 4 ER and only put up 4, 1 and 4 strikeouts. Now he gets to face BOS who is sluggish right now with a 4.4 run per game average but projected at 5.5 runs tonight. Pricing isn’t terrible see screen shot below. Mooreland (4200) .389 wOBA w/ .782 OBiso vs. PH and then Mookie is picking it up with 12.2 DK points per game over the last week, Devers only (3800) with 8.2 FPPG L7. On a shit slate gotta take a shot here.
SEATTLE vs. Taylor Hearn – I’m assuming this is going to be chalky as f*&K! Hearn has 4 starts in AAA this year with a 4.05 ERA and 1.20 whip. Now he comes up to start vs. a hot Seattle team that is averaging 6.0 runs per game vs. real major league pitchers. Seattle should knock him out of the game early. Seattle vs. LHP has a .282 team batting average which is 25 points higher than their overall. They also have a .402 wOBA which is 50 points higher than their overwall and their wRC+ is off the charts at 159.9 vs. LHP which is 35 points over their overall. I may just stack this game for 50 lines and enter them all over. See screen shot below but only 3 projected starting hitters have a wOBA under .300 (Mallex .233, Domingo .291 and Healy .288). Then you have the monster middle of Edwin .492 wOBA, Jay Bruce .562 wOBA and Tim Beckham .683 wOBA. Wow!

NO OTHER TEAMS HAVE A STACK SCORE OVER 160 SO I’M GOING TO FOCUS ON MINI STACKS AROUND THESE HITTERS. YOU CAN BUILD AROUND THESE MATCHUPS SO LET’S HIT ON SOME OF THEM:
SEATTLE: Edwin, Jay Bruce, Tim Beckham – all have .492 or higher wOBA vs. LHP and priced under 5k. Heck Tim is only 4100 and E5 4500.
TEXAS: Nomar hit 2 HR last night I believe – he is only 3300 and has a .323 wOBA vs. his PH. Marco is also struggling vs. LHH with a 5.17 xFIP, 3.9 K9 and 1.57 whip. Other TEX hitters are also cheap as the highest priced projected hitter is 4200 with Elvis Andrus. Could be a cheap stack if you want to go high on pitching.
TIGERS: If you are stacking BoSox look at Nick Castellanos (.316 wOBA only 4100), Niko (.376 only 4300) and Candelario (.300 only 3600).
NYY: Brett Gardner only 4200 is one of the hottest hitters over the last week. He has 21, 4, 11, 25, 20 and 13 DK point games this week. Also has a .373 wOBA vs. pitcher hand and .651 OBiso. Mike Tauchman is also in the same boat with a .361 wOBA at only 3700. Over the last week or so he has 4, 7, 14, 22, 14, 4 and 25 DK point games.
OTHER SIZZLING HOT HITTERS OVER THE LAST WEEK I WANT TO MENTION:
Eduardo Escobar (4000) – 24, 13, 28, 0 and 17 DK points games.
Josh Reddick (3800) – 23, 12, 11, 24, 5, 8, and 24 point games.
Michael Brantley (4200) – 23, 5, 19, 16, 8 and 14 point games.
Brett Gardner (4200) – 21, 4, 11, 25, 20 and 13 point games.

FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}

FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

Bullpen Breakdown from CheatSheetPros!

MLB BULLPEN Breakdown through May 5th from CheatSheetPros!
TEAM BULLPEN BREAKDOWNS: Whether you are playing daily fantasy sports, season long or sports betting it helps to know the team bullpen data. If you are wanting to stream a SP in a season long league find someone with a solid pen behind them to help keep the win. If you are looking for a contrarian stack for DFS look at a team with a terrible pen that will get lit up when the start comes out of game. And if you are betting MLB totals the pen is the key to oveunder bets.
Article Link for Screen Shots: https://www.cheatsheetpros.com/blog/bullpen-update-up-to-may-5th-from-cheatsheetpros >>
ROCKSTAR BULLPEN SITUATIONS:
1st – Houston Astros: Coming in atop the custom rankings we put together for this report is the Houston Astros! They have the lowest H9 score at 0.75 (league bullpen average is 1.26), they have a 26.8% strikeout rate and allow a low batting average of .198.
2nd – San Fran Giants: Less than a point behind the Astros is the Giants. They have a H9 number of 0.82 with a 24.2% K% and allow a .222 batting average.
3rd – Tampa Bay Rays: Rays come in at #3 with a 0.87 H9, 25.4% strikeout rate and .226 batting average.
4th – Cleveland Indians: Indians are climbing up the charts since the last report and have a 0.97 H9, 23.5% strikeout rate and allow a .232 batting average. The notable red flag is that their xFIP is 1.1 higher than their ERA of 3.21 so they could start dropping. Just something to keep an eye on.
5th – Cincinnati Reds: Reds have a solid 0.79 H9, 24.4% K rate and .242 batting average.
6th – Toronto Blue Jays: 1.13 H9, 25.5% strikeout rate and micro-scopic .188 team batting average. ERA of 3.16 and xFIP is a much higher 4.42 so watch as they may start to slide down in the rankings.
TERRIBLE BULLPEN SITUATIONS:
30th – Baltimore Orioles: They support a horrible H9 of 2.17! Add in the lower 21.3% strikeout rate (league bullpen average is 24%), monster .279 batting average and an ERA of 6.11 with an xFIP of 4.98. Yuck!
29th – Washington Nationals: 1.24 H9, 23.2% strikeout rate and .270 allowed batting average with an ERA of 6.18 and xFIP of 4.92. Awful!
28th – Miami Marlins: They support a solid 10.46 K9 rate which equates to a 25.7% strikeout rate which is awesome, however, a monsterous 1.69 H9 number, .252 batting average, ERA of 5.82 and xFIP of 4.48.
27th – Detroit Tigers: The little tiggers slide down near the bottom with a 1.48 H9 ratio, 22.3% strikeout rate, high .274 allowed batting average, 1.55 whip and an ERA of 5.47!
26th – New York Mets: Slightly above league average H9 of 1.31, 23.3% strikeout rate, .251 team batting average with an ERA of 5.11 and xFIP of 4.95.
25th – Seattle Mariners: Was shocked to see them down here. 1.66 H9 ratio, 23.9% strikeout rate, 1.50 whip with an ERA just over 5.
24th – Kansas City Royals: Climbing out of a bottom two spot they have a 1.29 H9 rate (league average is 1.26), horrible 20.9% strikeout rate (3rd lowest), .273 average allowed with a 1.54 whip and 4.87 xFIP.
23rd – Texas Rangers: Ok I was going to stop at KC but Texas is so bad I have to add one more team in. They have the lowest strikeout rate in the league at 19.6%, a 1.51 H9 ratio and .262 average with a 4.88 ERA and 4.89 xFIP.
BULLPEN LEAGUE AVERAGE NUMBERS FOR COMPARISON:
H9 Rate – 1.26
Strikeout % - 24.0%
Average – .237
Whip – 1.36
ERA – 4.35
xFIP – 4.39

FREE PREMIUM SHEET THURSDAYS! (Free group here and you get some premium member benefits just by being in the group!) {Remember we post our NBA Premium Cheatsheets & Excel Lineup Optimizers for FREE on Thursdays in our Facebook group: http://www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/}
FREE FLICK GROUP CHAT -> https://flickchat.page.link/VnJBhbF75TtAjN1J8
< Join us on flick as it is a free app for your phone so we can chat about daily fantasy sports, season long sports and sport betting picks.>
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
submitted by CheatSheetProscom to dfsports [link] [comments]

That’s why The Sports Geek is committed to offering high quality MLB betting picks for free! Our expert MLB handicappers are here to help you find the most betting value in each daily lineup. So, whether you’re new to the game or a seasoned betting pro you should make our free MLB betting picks a part of your 2020 MLB Season. Our MLB DFS tools are not yet open for the 2020 season. To comply with DraftKings’ guidelines, you must lock in at least two players from the Player Pool before optimizing a lineup. Go To Player Access to our daily lineup optimizer for for the sport(s) you choose. Access to our daily value report for for the sport(s) you choose. Access to draft kits, player news, injury updates, depth charts, lineups, rankings, cheat sheets, auction values, projections, articles and everything else on our site - for the sport(s) you choose. The legal landscape of sports gambling in the United States changed forever in May 2018. The doors opened for US sports betting to be legalized nationwide. The Supreme Court overturned a 1992 law in favor of New Jersey that prevented states from legalizing sports betting in the US. In recent years, polling showed that US citizens believe this was the correct decision. MLB Optimizer. Use our free MLB lineup generator to build optimized DraftKings and Fanduel lineups. This tool takes our top rated DFS projections and adds on the ability to lock, filter, and exclude players and teams. Lock in your core players and then hit 'Optimize' to build multiple lineups instantly. All-in-one tool for DFS research

[index] [103] [10143] [14087] [7074] [13269] [5540] [5040] [901] [13775] [11237]