Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Betting Odds and Stats

2019 r/basbeall Power Rankings -- Week 15: The A's Attack Continues and Washington Celebrates July 4th by Winning, the Rockies Crumble and the Brewers Slide, a Midseason Shake-Up of the Ranks -- We're Halfway There, Who is Living on a Prayer?

Hey Sportsfans--it's time for Week 15 of baseball's Power Rankings--The world is very different now. For man holds in his mortal hands, the power to abolish all forms of bias and all forms of fairness. And yet, the same revolutionary beliefs for which our forerankers fought are still at issue around the internet: the belief that the ranks of teams come not from the generosity of the voters but from the hand of God.
Every voter has their own style / system and the only voting instructions are these:
"To an extent determined individually, you must take into account how strong a team is right now and likely to be going forward. You must, to some degree, give weight to the events and games of the previous week."
The 7th/8th place tie and the 18th/19th tie were both broken by our second tie-breaker: run differential.
TRANSPARENCY: this link will show you who voted each team where and has added neat statistics!
If something is a little messed up, feel free to pester me let me know.
Total Votes: 27 of 30. So close.
# Team Δ Comment Record
1 Dodgers 0 I feel like this team is in a very, very good place when a .500 week makes me feellike we had a really tough one. The Dodgers feel like they lose in bunches, then go back to winning, which can make being a fan a relatively volatile experience (that and the whole "Can't win a World Series" thing). I am ready for the break, get ready to see Joc Pederson smack some Joc Pops/Joc Jams all across Ohio, and hopefully the boys get some good rest going into the second hald 60-32
2 Yankees 0 Yankees in the ASG: Gary Sanchez, DJ LeMahieu, Gleyber Torres, Aroldis Chapman. Yankees at the halfway point: 4th wRC+, 6th in pitching fWAR, 2nd in rDiff. I do wish that one of those last two games against the Rays had bounced in our favor, and while Boone's bullpen usage continues to baffle me, I'm overall very pleased with the team. 57-31
3 Astros +1 7-3 in our last 10, reaching the All-Star Break at 57-33 with a 7.5 game lead on the Athletics. Yuli Gurriel has been phenomenal with the bat, and I'm not sure if he knows how to do anything other than style his hair like a pineapple and hit home runs. Wishing Alex Bregman the best in the Home Run Derby and let's get an AL win on Tuesday night! 57-33
4 Twins -1 The Twins enter the All-Star break with a 5.5 game lead over the Indians. The team desperately needs a rest, with the last couple weeks being a perfect storm of several key players gettiing injured, multiple marathon extra-inning games, and Cleveland going on a hot streak to close the gap. That being said, it's been a stellar first half for the Twins, breaking multiple team and MLB records. My favorite stat though is the one that shows just how resiliant we've been: The Twins' longest losing streak is still only two games, and are currently 24-8 the day after a loss. 56-33
5 Rays 0 The Rays had a winning record on the week, but it might be hard to tell with the 3 brutal extra-inning losses in a row. The good take is that it's good experience for a young team; even after coming back only to fail (in eerily similar fashions) two nights in a row against the Yanks, they were able to close out the series with a split in 2 more extremely close games. With the All-Star Break nigh, flappy fans ask: Team, I hope you're gonna buy. Also CFM leads AL ERA :) 52-39
6 Braves 0 A couple of questions after an excellent first half for the Braves. 1. Who is the real second contender in the division? Phillies have plenty of starpower but the Nationals have surged ahead. 2. Important decisions will have to be made about this roster very soon. Inciarte is coming back from his injury and there's no obvious odd-man out in the outfield. This doesn't even include Adam Duvall, who has 26 homers in AAA. Will a trade rectify it, or something else? Regardless, it's a good problem to have. 54-37
7 Atléticos +2 We gave the Twins their first series loss of the year at the start of the week and took 2 of 3 from the Mariners in Seattle. Olson has 19 HR's in 58 games. The Matt's both ended the first half at 137 OPS+. Chapman and Hendricks are our ASG reps, and Chapman was named to the HR Derby. Anderson and Fiers deserved spots in the ASG too, but alas. The trade deadline looms. 50-41
8 Red Sox 0 While not playing against the best competition, taking 5 of the last 6 is a great way to head into the all star break. The wildcard race is shaping up to be an absolute bloodbath, and with the division all but out of reach the Sox really needed this hot stretch. The offense is playing up to snuff, but we're not going to make ground without the pitching picking up some slack. I'll miss baseball, but at least the break will give me time to construct my shrine to Devers. 49-41
9 Indians +3 The surging Tribe swept the Royals and Reds for a perfect 5-0 week. Starting pitching, bullpen, batting, defense - all excellent. They've also halved the Twins' AL Central lead from 11 on June 14 to 5.5 headed into the break, and have the fewest losses among non-division leaders. Watch out, Twinkies, here we come! 50-38
10 Cubs -3 It was another strange week for this strange team and division. The Cubs reach the break in first place, but they're only up half a game on the Brewers and 4.5 games on the last place Reds. This first half was underwhelming, but I think any Cubs fan would have happily accepted first place at the All Star Break when this season began. Hopefully Hamels makes a quick recovery and the rest of the team can step up until he's back. 47-43
11 Nacionales +5 Most people rejected yousmelllikebiscuits message. They hated yousmelllikebiscuits because he told them the truth. The Nationals have been the best team in MLB since May 24 whey they were 12 games under 500. They currently hold an NL Wild Card spot and will try to reel in the Braves like Cole Trickle chasing down Russ Wheeler. 47-42
12 Rangers -1 48-42
13 D-Backs +2 The D-backs lost two heartbreakers against the Dodgeres before sweeping the Rockies at home. The bullpen is too bad to consider us serious contenders, but sitting a game above .500 at the All-Star break is a much better position than many envisioned for the Snakes coming into this year. 46-45
14 Brewers -4 oh no we suck again Currently Milwaukee has the second worst record in the NL over the last 20 games (7-13). The starting pitching has continued to perform poorly, the bats are rather inconsistent, but at least Jesus Aguilar is on a bit of a hot stretch this month (.500/.538/1.333) 47-44
15 Phillies -1 The team finished the first half with a series win vs the Mets. The key to this team has and will be the pitching, and they might have faced another blow to the rotation with Arrieta having bone spurs in his elbow with no clear cut depth to fill his spot. Both the SP and RP are in flux with injuries and lack of depth and must find stability to contend in a competitive NL Wild Card race in the 2nd half. 47-43
16 Cardenales +1 Pretty, prettttty, prettttttty close to burning it down. Tweaks aren't going to help this team, throwing everything into the air might. 44-44
17 Padres +1 It's disappointing to not have any representation in the home run derby, when 2 of our guys are in the top 10 in homers for all the MLB to this point. We got swept by the Giants this week, but beat LA 3/4 up there, putting us at .500 at the break for the first time since 2010 45-45
18 Reds +2 I turned 21 this weekend, so admittedly I didn't watch a whole bunch of baseball. But it seems the entire offense has decided to disappear at the same time except for Yasiel Puig. After a fun series win against Milwaukee, the Reds were absolutely annihilated by Cleveland. Luckily, the rest of the NL Central is as confusing as we are, so they can really make it interesting if they get hot after the break. 41-46
19 Angels 0 Yadier Molina's Instagram is basically me every time I watch Cam Bedrosian pitch. 45-46
20 Rockies -7 44-45
21 Pirates +1 What is it about the Pirates and the week before the All-Star break? Once again, the Bucs are red-hot coming into the Midsummer Classic, winning 5 of 7 this week against the top teams in the NL Central. Suddenly, a team that seemed DOA in early June is only 2.5 games out of first, the closest the Bucs have been to the top at the All-Star break since 2015. In years past, the Pirates have seemed to lose their momentum in the off week, but they'll need to keep things going this weekend against the Cubs to stay in the 5-team race. 44-45
22 Mets -1 First half over. We've got three quite deserving All-Stars, and about as many wins. The Díaz/Canó deal sure looks like a disappointment at the midway mark, as do the signings of Familia and Lowrie (the latter of whom will play one game for the Mets, a David Wright-style comeback in 2020). Our midseason LVP award goes to the entire bullpen. Our midseason MVP, on the other hand, probably goes to Jeff McNeil, who has proven himself to be an absolute beast of a pure hitter. Love you, Squirrel. 40-50
23 White Sox 0 Everyone keeps talking about Giolito, but Yoan Moncada is currently the 16th best player in baseball by fWAR with a ro-bust 3.2. Also, I could watch Eloy beat the Cubs for the rest of my life. 42-44
24 Gigantes +1 The Giants amazingly surged to a 5-1 week going into the break, outscoring their opponents 43-23 in the process. A sweep of the Padres marked the team's first 3-game sweep of anybody in over a year. Will Smith is a perfect 23-for-23 in save opportunities, and should net a nice return at the trade deadline. Madison Bumgarner almost got his elbow exploded by a line drive and is hopefully healthy by the trade deadline. Heliot Ramos and Joey Bart are both in the Futures Game. At the very least, Giants baseball has somehow been interesting over the last coule weeks. 41-48
25 Mariners -1 Danny V was snubbed for the Home Run Derby. That is All. 39-55
26 Blue Jays +1 Since May 24th, only Mike Trout and Pete Alonso have hit the ball better than Lourdes "Pina Power" Gurriel Jr. Cavan Biggio has a better O-Swing% than anyone in baseball, including Joey Votto. Danny Jansen had an OPS of .982 over the past 30 days. With Vladito in the HR Derby, Nate Pearson throwing 102mph in the Futures Game, and Bo Bichette on the horizon, Blue Jays fans have plenty to look forward to. 34-57
27 Marlins -1 Seeing the fish be this useless against the nats and barves sucks a mean one. On the positive side, sandy will pitch in the all star game and caleb smith looks back to normal after his first start back. Im just counting the days until Isan Diaz gets called up. 33-55
28 Royals 0 THis would be a great time for the Royals to overhaul their roster, cutting veteran players that will not be part of the future while bringing up the likes of Bubba Starling, Richard Lovelady, Jake Kalish, and Gabe Speier. Instead, Lucas Duda, Wily Peralta, and Kevin McCarthy will continue to wang chung. 30-61
29 Tigres 0 Jack Morris is making dumb comments about Miggy, Al Avila got an extension, and the team is crawling to the All Star break, having won a total of six games since the start of June. Scratch that, they are in a wheelchair headed into the All Star break. Oof. After the break, the Tigers open with a three game set at Kansas City. It'll be a barn burner. 28-57
30 Orioles 0 I am in Vegas this week so the only thing I will say is I made a huge bet on the Orioles as World Series champs in 2023. Woooooooo. 27-62
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bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for April 7th, 2019 (MLB)

Hello, everyone!! bathrobeDFS is here with your Daily MLB Analysis. First, I will go over any weather concerns. Then, we will take a look at the Vegas lines. Next, I will take a look at Pitchers. Then I will look at the Hitters. All of this will be discussed as someone who plays on DraftKings. If you have any additional questions or want to see guaranteed updates in regards to breaking news- I provide additional updates, information, and stats on my twitter @bathrobeDFS. Feel free to throw me a follow cause it’s much easier and more timely to provide updates over that medium. I also have a Venmo and Patreon for those that would like to donate
I also strongly suggest joining us on Flick. It’s a live chat app that allows me, and a wonderful group of people, to deal with news as it happens, talk about the slate, share lineups, and break things down in a way I simply can’t on any other medium. It is also invite only, so there are no trolls and only good, helpful people talking all different sports, all day, every day.. If you want to join us there, Download the Flick App and send me a message so I can get you an invite. That’s it! Free and easy!
With that being said, let’s get into it!
Main Slate
Game Notes (SPs, Vegas Lines, Weather)
Twins vs Phillies - 105pm
Yankees vs Orioles - 105pm
Nationals vs Mets - 110pm
Royals vs Tigers - 110pm
Blue Jays vs Indians - 110pm
Marlins vs Braves - 120pm
Reds vs Pirates - 135pm
A’s vs Astros - 210pm
Mariners vs White Sox - 210pm
Cubs vs Brewers - 210pm
Padres vs Cardinals - 215pm
Pitchers
Great Pitchers (w/ Ownership Projections)
Jose Berrios (10100, RHP) at PHI - Berrios is an amazing pitcher. Even last game, when he looked about as bad as he could, he still got you 7 IP with 7 H, 0 BB and 3 ER. While you don’t want to pay 10k for that, it also isn’t bad enough it will eliminate you from cashing (like a negative score from an ace would). I would expect him to have a better time of it in much better weather, going against a Phillies team that has some strikeouts in it. This would get even better if the Phillies play a “Sunday lineup” where they rest a couple of their big stars.
Max Scherzer (11900, RHP) at NYM - Remember like 4 days ago when one of the aces was 10400 and I said “soon they will be 12k-13k and we will fondly look back on those halcyon days”? Well that came a lot faster than I thought. While you can play Scherzer any time he pitches, playing him means you either have to punt a pitcher, or play some weak ass bats. It’s going to take some real value to open up tomorrow morning when the lineups come out for us to put together a really fantastic lineup with Scherzer without punting. Still, he’s one of the best pitchers in the game, consistently, and you have to pay a premium for premium quality.
Zack Wheeler (9000, RHP) vs WAS - I will keep fighting for how good Zack Wheeler is. He was the 2nd best pitcher in baseball after the all star break last season. He has incredible talent and, against a Nats lineup without, at least, Trea, I expect him to far exceed his previous outing, There’s a reason this game has an O/U of 6.5. There aren’t going to be a ton of runs score. You can get a great pitcher for pretty cheap, especially considering he’s the 6th most expensive SP on this slate and the odds are pretty good he’s not the 6th highest scoring.
Mike Clevinger (9900, RHP) vs TOR - This might be one of the last times this season we can get Clevinger under 10k. It’s not MUCH under 10k, sure. But technically correct is the best type of correct after all. In my preview, I talked about how he is a dominant pitcher that strikes out a ton of people. Well in 7 IP in his first start, he only gave up 1 hit and struck out 12. Hot damn. He might have the highest score on the slate when all is said and done, and he’s 2k cheaper than Scherzer.
Brad Peacock (8800, RHP) vs OAK - While he didn’t show it in his first start, Peacock is a dominant, high strikeout pitcher. While this is a powerful As lineup, it also strikes out the 2nd least in the MLB this season. I’m sure that’s going to slightly lower his upside but then you realize that he only got 5 K in 6.2 IP last start and he still got you 26 DKP. Peacock may not be the safest of the great pitchers, but he has just as high a ceiling, at the cheapest price.
Good Pitchers
Marcus Stroman (7100, RHP) at CLE - I am not prepared to put Stroman in the Great tier, but he sure has looked it so far. Even with a relatively poor outing last game against the O’s, he pitched around not having his best stuff and still managed to put his team in a position to win. So far he has been putting up about a K an inning, and he gets to take on a floundering Indians offense. At this price, I will take a chance he gets you the 20 DKP you would be really happy with, knowing he really has the upside for 30 DKP. Something you really won’t find in a lot of people at this price.
Chris Archer (9300, RHP) vs CIN - I will start this off by saying that Archer would be a much, much better play if he was cheaper. On this slate, there are a lot of other plays that could really hit, and Archer is priced more than a LOT of them. Sure he had a great first start against STL, giving up only 2 hits, with 3 BB in 5 IP striking out 8. But I can get 20 DKP from someone priced 7k. Still, that being said, Archer is a good pitcher against a poor lineup that has some strikeouts in it. So if you want to go there, or make sure you get some in your MME, I am all for it. I just think there’s better options for the price.
Great Spots
Domingo German (9400, RHP) at BAL - In my Preview, I talked about how German is a high strikeout pitcher that has a hard time keeping people off base otherwise. He gives up a bunch of walks, especially, inflating his WHIP. We saw this exact thing in his first start when he went 5 IP and walked 5, striking out 7, but only giving up 1 hit and 0 ER. While this may pose a larger issue against more seasoned lineups, he should have no problem with a poor Orioles team that isn’t exactly lighting the world on fire. He’s expensive, but he has incredible upside. If he could not walk everyone, we could see him get 7 IP and 10+ K here.
Sean Newcomb (8700, LHP) vs MIA - I don’t like Newcomb that much. I WILL like him in the future, but he just isn’t there yet. If you read my article on the 1st, when he got his first start of the year, I talked about how he just gives up too many walks and hits. He gets Ks, sure, but he can’t get out of his own way, and he has a ton of trouble finding his control. Well, against the Cubs that day, it took Newcomb 91 pitches to get through 4 IP. He walked 4, gave up 4 hits, and struck out only 3. He somehow didn’t allow a run, though. And that was against the Cubs. If he could find slightly more control, imagine what he could do against this Marlins team??
GPP Plays
Brad Keller (7200, RHP) at DET - Keller is someone who will strikeout less than 9 per 9, but he has incredible ground ball stuff. He showed that on both opening day and in his last start when he induced 10 ground ball outs with 5 Ks. The difference was, in his 2nd start, he couldn’t find his control and he walked 4 batters, which, as is often the case, led to runs. If he can work the strike zone and keep his pitches down in the zone again, he could have another 25+ DKP day against a decent-but-not-great Tigers squad. It’s not the safest play by any means, but it is certainly worth a GPP chance given the price, and what playing him will open up (even though he is more expensive than Stroman somehow).
Caleb Smith (7900, LHP) at ATL - The Braves are a good offense. I can’t deny that. But Caleb Smith is a really good pitcher. If you watched his start against the Mets (which I did), you saw someone with just easy strike out stuff that is murder on LHB and isn’t too much easier against RHB when his breaking stuff is on. This will help to somewhat neutralize Freeman and Markakis, and it pushes McCann and Inciarte out of the lineup. While there are some cheaper folks I like a little better, he is still a hell of a GPP play with incredible K upside no one else will be on.
Matthew Strahm (6400, LHP) at STL - I was all over Strahm in his first start. If you go back and read, you can see why. Dude was dominant coming up, has killer stuff, and was in a fantastic matchup. Of course, the first start is always a tough one and he got flamed. I mean 5 ER in 2.2 IP with 3 BB and 8 Hits. It was HORRIBLE. But, that being said, I will go right back there today as a GPP play. Nothing I wrote last time is any less true, he just had a horrible go of it last time. I will bet on him living up to his talent level a little more. I mean, when someone that was 9200 is 6400 the next start, there is some ability to really get yourself over the field in GPPs by riding the wave of recency bias.
No Thanks
Kyle Hendricks (7000, RHP) at MIL - Hendricks is a great real-life pitcher, but he doesn’t strike anyone out. While we may be able to use him on other, smaller slates, we don’t want to go there on a slate with this many games, even at this price, especially against a tough Brewers offense.
Batters
Stacking Opportunities (in no particular order)
Yankees vs David Hess (RHP, @BAL) - I don’t really care that the Blue Jays made David Hess look like a Cy Young winner his last time out. They did that against a lot of bad pitchers to start the season off. Last year Hess had a WHIP of 1.38 and a H9 of 1.9 with a K/9 of 6. He should get eaten up here.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 9
Chalk Level (1-10): 9
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: After Judge (OF - 5600), start at the top and work your way down.
Twins vs Zach Eflin (RHP, @PHI) - Zach Eflin is a very underrated pitcher. He showed what he could do to a righty heavy lineup last game against the Nats when he struck out 9 in 5 IP, giving up 0 runs. The problem is the Twins are projected to have 5 lefties tomorrow, some of which can do real damage. While I expect Eflin to be relatively popular at this price, the smarter play is to take the LHB against him in a smaller stack.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 8
Chalk Level (1-10): 4
Preferred Stack: Mini - LHB
Preferred Players: Kepler (OF - 4200), Polanco (SS - 4000), Rosario (OF - 4300), Marwin Gonzalez (3B - 4100), Castro (C - 3400)
Royals vs Tyson Ross (RHP, @DET) - The last time Tyson Ross was in the AL, he was a member of the Texas Rangers in 2017 where he was so horrible at the beginning of the year, he only got 10 starts before they pulled him altogether. He had a 6.18 FIP and 1.837 WHIP. His BB/9 was 6.8. While last season he got that down, it was down to 3.7 which is still awful. And pitching in SD and STL are going to be a lot different than moving back to the AL. It’s also worth noting that his bread and butter is his slider, which makes him devastating to RHB, but also makes him an extreme splits pitcher, giving up a BA/OPS of .176/.565 to RHB and .294/848 to LHB last season. And that was a good year. If you play RHB, you are counting on some bullpen runs.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 10
Chalk Level (1-10): 8
Preferred Stack: Full or Mini - LHP ONLY
Preferred Players: Mondesi (SS - 4600), O'Hearn (1B - 3700)... Gordon (OF - 3500), Hamilton (OF - 3900). Check the lineup in the morning and play all the LHB
Pirates vs Anthony DeSclafani (RHP, CIN) - Regardless of him relative success against the Brewers in his first start, I find it exceedingly hard to trust DeSclafani. After missing his age 27 season, he came back in 2018 with 21 GS, putting up a 4.83 FIP with a 1.287 WHIP. He gave up a 9.2 H/9, 1.9 H9 (holy SHIT), 2.3 BB/9, and a decent 8.5 K/9, though that was far an away his career high, and almost a full K over his career average. I mean, he gave up 24 HR and 30 BB. That is insane. Now, let’s get even crazier- his OPS to RHB was .676. That means that, against LHB his OPS was a stunning .917. 30 of the 233 PAs by lefties resulted in an XBH. That is really astounding. So, unless he turns it around completely, make sure you don’t play him and you do everything you can to target any and all LHB you can against him until he loses his job.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 8
Chalk Level (1-10): 4
Preferred Stack: Mini - LHB only
Preferred Players: Frazier (2B - 3900), Bell (1B - 3900), Melky (OF - 3800), Shuck (OF - 3400)
White Sox vs Wade LeBlanc (LHP, SEA) - Sometimes I will want to go against LeBlanc. Sometimes I will just want go avoid him. This is one of those times I will go against him LeBlanc doesn’t strike anyone out. While he normally is fine at limiting baserunners, against an underrated White Sox offense against LHB, I think we can find a sneaky stack here that a lot of people will not be on
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 9
Chalk Level (1-10): 3
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Start with Abreu (1B - 4200), Moncada (3B - 4500), and Eloy (OF - 4300), then start at the top and work your way down
Mariners vs Ivan Nova (RHP, @CHW) - Some things are just pretty damn simple. Ivan Nova is a terrible pitcher who can’t keep people off the bases and then gives up a ton of HRs. You can stack against him any time he pitches, regardless of who he is playing.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 8
Chalk Level (1-10): 6
Preferred Stack: Full or Mini - LHB
*Preferred Players: Smith (OF - 4200), Bruce (OF - 4100), Narvaez (C - 3400), then start at the top and work down. *
Cubs vs Zach Davies (RHP, @MIL) - Zach Davies is another pitcher that we are generally going to stack against every time he pitches, especially when his opponent is a legitimately good offense. He gives up a TON of baserunners and his career best H9 was 1.1. In Miller Park, the ball should be flying here, and the Cubs are one of the best stacks on the slate.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 9
Chalk Level (1-10): 9
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Start at the top and work your way down
Astros vs Mike Fiers (RHP, OAK) - Man, just when I was getting super tired, things get super easy. Fiers is horrible. He lets a TON of people on base. And he gives up an absolute fuckload of HR. The Astros are the best stack on the slate, as far as I’m concerned.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 10
Chalk Level (1-10): 10
Preferred Stack: Full
*Preferred Players: Start at the top and go down in order. *
Padres vs The Ghost of Adam Wainwright (RHP, @STL) - Wainwright is not who he was. He is one of the worst pitchers in baseball right now, and it’s sad to see. In his last start against the Pirates, he only got through 4 IP, giving up 4 hits, 4 ER, 4 walks and, of course, 3 K. for 2.2 DKP and 1 happy bathrobe cause I stacked the Pirates. Tonight I will do the same against Waino with the Padres.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 10
Chalk Level (1-10): 4
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Everyone that is breathing for the Padres
One-Off Batters
Goldschmidt (1B - 4700) - While I do have faith that Strahm rebounds, he is also a LHP going against Goldie, which means Goldie should be 5500 and the fact he’s not means we are going to make some money playing him tonight, even as a one off
HR CALL OF THE SLATE: Fernando Tatis, Jr.
While I would normally go into both the 3 game afternoon slate and the showdown for tonight, I also have a 14 game slate for the NBA that I have to have done by about 1pm tomorrow, so I have to get to work on that ASAP. Best of luck everyone!!
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bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for March 29 (MLB)

Hello, everyone!! bathrobeDFS is here with your Daily MLB Analysis. First, I will go over any weather concerns. Then, we will take a look at the Vegas lines. Next, I will take a look at Pitchers. Then I will look at the Hitters. All of this will be discussed as someone who plays on DraftKings. If you have any additional questions or want to see guaranteed updates in regards to breaking news- I provide additional updates, information, and stats on my twitter @bathrobeDFS. Feel free to throw me a follow cause it’s much easier and more timely to provide updates over that medium. I also have a Venmo and Patreon for those that would like to donate
I also strongly suggest joining us on Flick. It’s a live chat app that allows me, and a wonderful group of people, to deal with news as it happens, talk about the slate, share lineups, and break things down in a way I simply can’t on any other medium. It is also invite only, so there are no trolls and only good, helpful people talking all different sports, all day, every day.. If you want to join us there, Download the Flick App and send me a message so I can get you an invite. That’s it! Free and easy!
With that being said, let’s get into it!
Daily Weather
This is a section where I will talk about weather, something you may not ever think about. But the weather really is the “questionable” tag of MLB. It’s the thing we will wait all day for, that could ruin absolutely everything for you. So let’s see if any of that will be coming today.
None!!
Vegas Lines
Today’s Slate
Pitchers
Great Pitchers
Gerrit Cole (11200) at TB - I love the easy ones. The Rays are an annoying team, but they are not a great team. And Cole is my pick for the Cy Young. He gets more K/9 than any pitcher in baseball. He should get more points than anyone else today. I know he’s chalk, but that doesn’t matter when Cole is this good at pitching.
German Marquez (9200) at MIA - While it might be tempting to put Marquez in the “Great Spots” category, he’s actually a really fantastic pitcher. He’s still a kid with time to mature. He struck out 10.6 K/9 last year. He had massive home/road splits, and he’s on the road. He’s dominant against RHB and the Marlins have very few LHB that are worth anything (Granderson, Neil Walker, and JT Riddle). On top of the Marlins being a free square, Marquez is too cheap for this level of talent. He is probably my favorite pitching play on the day.
Robbie Ray (10100) at LAD - Ray is a Strikeout machine that can’t be touched by LHB at all. Even a little. This means that Muncy, Bellinger, and Seager are completely neutralized. It also means that Joc Pederson will give way to Enrique Hernandez, who isn’t as good as Joc. Also Austin Barnes is terrible. So we have Chris Taylor and AJ Pollock, who are reverse splits hitters (meaning they are better against RHP), and Justin Turner, who is awesome. That’s it. He is going to be able to dismantle this team. And he will be underowned due to people being scared off of the Dodgers.
Great Pitchers, Bad Spots
Charlie Morton (8700) vs HOU - Morton is grossly underpriced for the way he pitched last season. A fantastic FIP. Limiting hits and walks. A K/9 of almost ELEVEN. The only problem is he will be facing his old team, the Astros. They are one of the best offenses in the MLB, and they are a terrible matchup for any pitcher. The one benefit I give to Morton is that the Astros are built much more for punishing LHP. Springer, Bregman, Correa, White, and Marisnick, at least, are significantly worse against RHP. He will have trouble with Altuve, Brantley, Reddick, and Gurriel. But that’s not nearly as bad as it could be. And, like I said, he is grossly underpriced and, with how hard the matchup is, he will be largely ignored tonight.
Jack Flaherty (9000) at MIL - Flaherty is a fantastic pitcher. He is going overlooked this year, but, if last season was any indication, he is someone we are going to use a whole lot. He had a FIP of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.106 with a K/9 of 10.8. He kept this up in ST, with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 0.824 and a K/9 of 11.6. The only problem here is the Brewers are a fantastic offense. The only real benefit I’d see is that Flaherty has proven himself a reverse splits pitcher, meaning he’s worse against RHB. Meaning he should be able to avoid Yelich, Cain, Moustakas, and Grandal, which is a huge deal, since that only leaves Cain, Braun, and Aguilar that he would need to worry about. Given the fact that Ks are King, I would definitely see to giving Flaherty a real chance, even though the matchup could be much better.
Great Pitcher???
Nate Eovaldi (8500) at SEA - If you watched the World Series last season, you saw Nate Eovaldi take the jump from decent pitcher to superstar. From someone who does ok to an absolute stud. I don’t know if he will be able to maintain that, or if he will fall back to normal, but I want to take that chance. He should be able to strike out well over 9 people per 9, given his stuff. RHB can’t touch him, meaning the only batters who will really have much of a shot against him will be Mallex Smith, Jay Bruce, Omar Narvaez, and Dee Gordon. Not exactly a Murderers Row, huh?
Great Spots
Joey Lucchesi (7900) vs SF - Lucchesi, like a lot of these young Padres starters, are going to fly under the radar. But, if you watched Lauer take apart this Giants team, you know that Lucchesi, who is even better, should have significantly better results. He is nasty against LHB, meaning Duggar, Belt, Crawford, and Panik are already eliminated. That leaves 5 people. One is a pitcher. That leaves 4. Two are Connor Joe and Michael Reed, so that leaves, really, only 2 people he needs to worry about. And he should be able to get a bunch of Ks against the people he doesn’t.
Ross Stripling (9500) vs ARI - One of the major mistakes that teams still make is to ignore when someone shows reverse splits. You see it all the time - if a bullpen pitcher shows reverse splits, they still only bring him in for opposite handed bats. Even though that’s not his forte. If you look at the proposed lineup for tomorrow for the D’Backs, you have Dyson, Escobar, Peralta, Lamb, Marte, and Avila who will bat lefty. And a pitcher. And Nick Ahmed. That leaves one batter Stripling would have to worry about. I’ll take those odds.
GPP Plays
Matt Boyd (6600) at TOR - Matt Boyd is a very underrated LHP. He strikes out a bunch of people, and limits baserunners. At that price, he is cheap enough to pay off if he just has a decent day and, if you look at the bottom of this Blue Jays lineup, he will have some easy outs coming his way. Plus Smoak is better against RHP, which makes a massive piece of the Blue Jays lineup he can somewhat mitigate.
Freddy Peralta (9100) vs STL - Freddy Peralta is an extreme splits pitcher. It’s pretty incredible when you take a look at the numbers. Last season he faced nearly as many RHP and LHP. Against LHP he did fine, but could be attacked - his .BA/OBP/SLG was .252/.376/.489. Against RHP it was an INSANE .111/.209/.188. The Cards will have Goldie, DeJong, Ozuna, Yady, and Bader as RHB tomorrow. That’s a ton of outs and Ks that he will get. Plus, with how expensive he is, no one is going to be on him. That could be a huge mistake.
Batters
Stacking Opportunities (in no particular order)
Detroit Tigers vs Shoemaker (@TOR) - The thing about Matt Shoemaker is he is an extreme reverse splits pitcher. Meaning that, unlike most RHP, he is much worse against RHB. And this is a Tigers team with a bunch of RHB that can really punish him. They are going to go overlooked, as well.
Chalk Level (1-10): 3
Preferred Stack: Mini (2-4)
Preferred Players: Castellanos (4300), Miggy (3700), Harrison (3400), Mahtook (3300)
Rockies vs Richards (@MIA) - The free square of the day, the Rockies get to take on the Marlins. Richards is a decent pitcher, with a decent strikeout rate. But he gives up a ton of runs and hits, the kind of thing that lets rallies go on, letting batters build up points together. They are going to be popular. And they are expensive. But you can’t argue with the opponent.
Chalk Level (1-10): 8
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Blackmon (4800), Murphy (4600), Dahl (4700), Arenado (5000), Story (4900)
Angels vs Estrada (@OAK) - There are two main things to know about Marco Estrada. First, he gives up a TON of HR. Second, he has EXTREME reverse splits. Meaning RHB are going to hit a ton of HR here tonight. I have to imagine this spot will go overlooked as well, especially considering who is pitching for the Halos.
Chalk Level (1-10): 6
Preferred Stack: Full (RHB)
Preferred Players: Trout (5700), Simmons (3800), Cozart (3700), Pujols (3400), Lucroy (3000), Bour (3600), Fletcher (3100)
Athletics vs Matt Harvey (LAA) - Matt Harvey is terrible. Just terrible. He can’t get anyone out. He gives up a ton of HRs and walks. Rallies will happen and then they will get to face the bullpen for several innings. But they will get a bunch of DKP as long as Harvey is in the game.
Chalk Level (1-10): 10
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Everyone. Literally.
Padres vs Holland (SF) - You know who is almost as terrible as Harvey?? Holland. He’s awful. He shouldn’t have a job. But he does. He gives up a ton of HR. He gets absolutely DESTROYED by RHB. And this isn’t a Padres team that lacks in RH power. This could be one of the highest scoring stacks on the slate, and it should go under the radar.
Chalk Level (1-10): 4
Preferred Stack: Full (RHB)
Preferred Players: Machado (4900), Myers (4800), Renfroe (4400), Kinsler (4000), Reyes (4200), Tatis (3900)
Red Sox vs Kikuchi (@SEA) - If you watched his debut start, you saw a pitcher with a unique delivery, who will keep hitters off balance. He has decent stuff, but he’s not stretched out and, even if he starts strong, he looks to get tired easily. The Mariners are going to be cautious with him this year anyway. Plus, he’s a LHP going against the Red Sox, which is a terrible thing, considering that Mookie Betts and JD Martinez exist, and they are 2 of the best lefty mashers in the game. That being said - Kikuchi has good stuff. And his delivery is going to make him hard to pick up. There’s definitely a path to the Red Sox being the most owned stack on this slate, and they get shut down.
Chalk Level (1-10): 9
Preferred Stack: Mini
Preferred Players: Betts (5500), JD (5100), Bogaerts (4300), Nunez (3600), Vazquez (3100)
One-Off Batters
Matt Carpenter (4500) - Matt Carpenter can basically be used anytime they face a RHP. Anytime. Without exception. Peralta is going to be able to take apart most of this lineup, but Carpenter is as good a bet as any for a stand alone HR.
Drury (2900) - While I like Boyd a lot today, someone who is batting leadoff, who can take advantage of LHP, at only 2900 is someone you have to consider. I imagine he will be somewhat chalky, but it shouldn’t matter. 2900. I’ll take it.
Brantley (3500) and Altuve (4400) - As much as I like Morton today, and I do really like Morton today, Brantley is a LHB that does significantly better against RHP, and Altuve is a RHB that does the same. At those prices, I can’t imagine not having a bunch of interest in both of these guys. If they were more expensive, I could understand being more cautious. But these prices are absolutely insane. Especially when you realize every one of these Astros are going to be over 5k in every matchup within a month.
Longoria (3500) and Posey (4000) - As I mentioned yesterday, this SF team is pretty awful looking. But whenever they face a lefty, you have to consider Longoria and Posey, who both show big splits and do most of their damage in a year against southpaws. Lucchesi is a tough LHP, but those are pretty low prices for the upside both these guys show.
Justin Turner (4200) - As I explained above, Robbie Ray can’t be touched by LHB. So that eliminates 3 of the 9. One is the pitcher. So that’s 5 left. Barnes is terrible. Taylor and Pollock are reverse splits. So that leaves Turner and Hernandez (3700) as the only people who are threats. Turner, who will bat 3rd and has an OPS over 1.000 against LHP, will be who I take a chance on. I would have way more interest in Hernandez if he was 1000 cheaper, like he was last season.
Alright! This should be a fun 8 game slate. It’s got some great spots and some tricky spots. But, all in all, I can’t wait!!!
submitted by bathrobeDFS to dfsports [link] [comments]

2018 r/baseball Power Rankings -- Week 20: Phillies Phlirt with Top 10 at Mariners Expense, A's Continue Assault, Rockies / Brewers Go Cold While Cardinals Heat up, Orioles Pushing Closer to #30

Hey Sportsfans--it's time for Week 20 of baseball's Power Rankings--Once again we rank your favorite teams and the Yankees, compiling statistics, tabulating results, orchestrating hidden biases, punishing our rivals, accusing others of secret agendas, talking in tautologies, and hoping that our mistakes go unnoticed.
Every voter has their own style / system and the only voting instructions are these:
"To an extent determined individually, you must take into account how strong a team is likely to be going forward. You must, to some degree, give weight to the events and games of the previous week."
TRANSPARENCY: this link will show you who voted each team where and has added neat statistics!
If something is a little messed up, feel free to pester me let me know.
Total Votes: 29 of 30.
# Team Δ Comment Record
1 Red Sox 0 The Red Sox look incredible. They pull out the sweep. Everything seems to be working out, and even with injuries or underperformances, there seems to be someone to step up for a time to help carry this team on its historic pace. Hard to bet against them, but with so many games against contenders still to come and almost 2 months left in the regular season, this idiot will not be counting chickens except for when his fatass orders Wings Over. 79-34
2 Astros 0 Brian McTaggart said it best about the Astros' injuries. On the bright side, the Astros enjoyed taking 2 of 3 games from the Dodgers in a wonderful reminder of their last series win at Dodger Stadium. Moving forward, they'll take on the Giants and Mariners, the latter back home in Houston. 71-42
3 Yankees 0 Anatomy of a 5 game losing streak: -17 rDiff. Holder with Two losses. Severino at 8.28 ERA over his last 5 games. The Yankees are now 8-18 at Fenway since 2016. Andujar has the worst UZR of all qualified 3B at -17.8. Suffice to say, it's been a frustrating week. 68-42
4 Cubs 0 Considering injuries, the Cubs are having a decent second half. With Bryant, Darivsh, and Morrow all spending significant time on the DL, the rest of the team has really picked up the slack (especially Javy Baez). Last week, they split a four-game series with the Padres and a two-game series with the Pirates. Up next are the Royals and Nationals. The Cubs and Brewers have been neck and neck for a while now with neither team easing up. 64-47
5 Athleticos +3 Winners of our last 6, the A's are knocking on the door of the upper class of baseball: scilently snooping on the Yankees for the Wild Card top spot (2.5 games back ) and even within reach of the second best team in baseball, the Astros, only 4 games up on the surging A's. Our pitching rotation is trending toward regaining strengh. Matt Olson/Chapman. 67-46
6 Dodgers -1 The Dodgers split four with Milwaukee and dropped 2 of 3 to Houston last week, and are 9-8 since the All Star break. They are in the midst of their toughest stretch of the season, as they are about to play their 18th of 32 straight games against teams above .500. Several bats are slumping (not counting Thursday's 21-5 demolition), but pitching has been very good (Saturday's 14-0 drubbing notwithstanding). It gets easier though; the Dodgers have the easiest remaining schedule out of the three NL West contenders. Two @ Oakland and four @ Colorado this week. 62-51
7 Indians 0 Coming off a 4-2 week with both losses being (surprise!) the bullpen's fault, the Tribe is riding high in the saddle atop the Comedy Central. All four other teams have given up, so we're in this weird position where we don't really have to try, just kind of be ourselves and make sure nobody gets hurt until the playoffs. Wake me up when September ends. 61-49
8 Brewers -2 Christian Yelich is hitting like a serious MVP candidate with only a few people noticing. This season the outfileder is slashing .326/.387/.542 while also perhaps finishing with a 30/30 season. The addition of Moose is already paying dividends. Over half of the Brewers starting squad has the potential for 30+ homers. 65-50
9 D-Backs 0 The Diamondbacks split a 2-game series with the Rangers before splitting a 4-game series with the Giants at Chase. Mostly everyone is playing alright, but timely hitting has evaded the D-backs which has led to some annoying losses, but dis shit still don 62-51
10 Phillies +2 63-48
11 Braves 0 Huggeeee series starting today with the Nationals in D.C. Atlanta, Philly and Washington are all doing well right now, meaning any series involving two of these teams will have huge implications for the NL East race. Braves managed to eke out a couple of close wins over the Mets, but the offense will really need to find a spark to keep up with the Nats. 60-48
12 Mariners -2 Those Athletics, man. 64-48
13 Nationals +1 57-54
14 Cardenales +2 58-54
15 Rockies -2 Wadebot needs to be rebooted badly, and it couldn't be happening at a worse time. The Rockies got walked off on 3 times last week, all in games they were leading going into the ninth, twice by 3 runs. Bullpen needs to get its shit together, cuz the starters are dominating and the offense is doing about all we can hope for 59-52
16 Piratos +1 The Chris Archer trade invigorated the fanbase but not the Pirates. They split a series with the Cubs this week an dropped one against the Cardinals. The lone win in the latter series was Archer's Pittsburgh debut, but he only last 4.1 innings and the tired bullpen came back to bite them on Saturday. The Pirates now have to pass 6 teams to get into the playoffs and are essentially back to needing another winning streak to get into the race again. 57-55
17 Angels -2 19 years of Mike Scioscia has probably been about 7 too many, but it is a bit odd to think about the team and him parting ways at the end of the season, as has been reported. I tend to be skeptical about the impact managers really have over the course of a season, but a change in voice seems like it would do a lot more good than not. 55-58
18 Rays 0 The Rays retooled after the trade deadline with a new look major league team featuring pitchers Glasnow and Beeks and OFs Meadows and Pham that should help out in 2019. The Rays also shaved a ton of money in the future as well. With another starter off the team, the team will continue the bullpen experiment and look for gems to emerge such as Yonny Chirinos this year. 56-56
19 Gigantes 0 In the span of a couple days the Giants lost Johnny Cueto until 2020 with Tommy John surgery, lost Pablo Sandoval until 2019 with a torn hamstring, and nearly lost Buster Posey following a concussion scare in Arizona. Forget the postseason, at this point I just want the rest of the team to make it through the rest of the year healthy. 57-56
20 Twins 0 At about this time last year the Twins went on a great run to get above .500 and force themselves into wild card consideration. Unfortunately, this year that isn't going to be enough. We've got four against the Tribe and three against the Tigers. We've got an easy schedule the rest of the way, and I could see us finishing above .500, but we probably won't because the team won't be playing for anything at that point since the wild card is so far out of reach. 52-58
21 Blue Jays 0 With J.A. Happ gone, the current fWAR leader for the Jays rotation is rookie callup Ryan Borucki. He's pitched 43 innings in 7 starts. 2018 ladies and gentlemen. 51-60
22 Reds 0 The Reds are 49-63
23 Rangers 0 That Rougned Odor is so hot now. 49-64
24 Tigres +1 Scoring one run total across a three game set in Oakland really demonstrates the punchless lineups that the Tigers are running out there these days. When players such as Ronny Rodriguez, Victor Reyes, and Mike Gerber are receiving semi-regular PAs, you know you are in trouble. We'll see if OF Christin Stewart (.256/.344/.466 in AAA Toledo) gets a September cup of coffee. This week: 3 at LAA, 3 vs. MIN. 47-65
25 Mets -1 45-64
26 Padres +1 Either by choice or by luck, the Pads kept all of their prospects through the deadline. Now we can relax, and enjoy some kinda meaningless baseball in August and September. Splitting a road series against the Cubs is pretty good start though. 44-70
27 Marlins -1 Last week: 0-2 against the Braves, 0-4 against the Phillies. Spin: There was also a postponed game with Atlanta, pushed back to August 13. Braves fans liked us a lot early in the week, but not so much after the weekend! They'll have to catch the Phillies on their own. Brad Ziegler & Cameron Maybin ended up being the only players off-loaded before the non-waiver Trade Deadline, which is somehow both more and less than expected. Up next: 3 vs. STL, 3 vs. NYM. 46-67
28 White Sox 0 The Sox played spoiler this weekend sweeping the Rays, who were looking to make up ground in the AL Wild Card race. All three of the team's wins at The Trop came by one run. 41-70
29 Orioles 0 This whole "have a terrible season but somehow have a .500 record against the Yankees" is hilarious and easily my favorite part of this season. Actually, finally entering the international market might be my favorite part. But that's in a "good for the future of the team" sort of thing. Beating the Yankees like this is a "good for my soul" sort of thing. Now if the Royals could get hot for a bit to put us in a better spot for the #1 pick, I'd be even happier. 34-78
30 Royals 0 Why, exactly, is Jason Hammel still a part of this team? Who does he have compromising pictures of? Bite the bullet, release Hammel, and call up some of the prospects. How much more does Hammel have to wang chung before he can be sent on his way and Rich Lovelady can be brought up? 34-77
submitted by kasutori_Jack to baseball [link] [comments]

bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for April 12th, 2019 (MLB)

Hello, everyone!! bathrobeDFS is here with your Daily MLB Analysis. First, I will go over any weather concerns. Then, we will take a look at the Vegas lines. Next, I will take a look at Pitchers. Then I will look at the Hitters. All of this will be discussed as someone who plays on DraftKings. If you have any additional questions or want to see guaranteed updates in regards to breaking news- I provide additional updates, information, and stats on my twitter @bathrobeDFS. Feel free to throw me a follow cause it’s much easier and more timely to provide updates over that medium. I also have a Venmo and Patreon for those that would like to donate
I also strongly suggest joining us on Flick. It’s a live chat app that allows me, and a wonderful group of people, to deal with news as it happens, talk about the slate, share lineups, and break things down in a way I simply can’t on any other medium. It is also invite only, so there are no trolls and only good, helpful people talking all different sports, all day, every day.. If you want to join us there, Download the Flick App and send me a message so I can get you an invite. That’s it! Free and easy!
With that being said, let’s get into it!
Game Notes (SPs, Vegas Lines, Weather)
With the advent of my website, I will be handling this a little differently. It’s MUCH MUCH easier for me to just do all this on a spreadsheet to display on the site, so I am going to do that for baseball. I will be adding more information onto this. This is the simplest rough template I put together. But it will evolve. I will put stats in for batters, etc… It’s gonna be a one stop location for everything you need to know about a lineup
This is the google docs link (until the website is launched this weekend
Today’s Slate
Weather Games
Tigers vs Twins - PPD.
Pirates vs Nations - I don’t think this game will play out. The rain is already starting to dot the DC area and it’s just supposed to worsen as the night goes on. If this does play, I would avoid the SPs since I imagine there is a HUGE risk of a rain delay. And I like Williams and Corbin as pitchers. I guess the best case scenario is the game starts, Corbin goes 1 IP, they rain delay, and then they try to finish with the worst bullpen in the NL meaning having exposure to the Pirates may not be the worst thing. Though, again, the rain.
Pitchers (w/ Ownership Projections)
Great Pitchers
Trent Thornton (7800, RHP - 12% owned) vs TB - I have told you to play Thornton so far both times he has pitched. He has gotten you 26.1 and 19.8 DKP in both starts, amassing 15 K in 10.2 IP. Dude isn’t priced nearly high enough for his upside, and people don’t know who he is so he isn’t getting that ownership. Count me in as someone who is going to play extra lineups today so I can get Thornton in over the field. Not to mention this is a Rays team that has stuck out the 3rd most on the season.
Carlos Carrasco (11000, RHP - 23% owned) at KC - As far as I am concerned, there are 2 ways to approach this slate if you are a single entry player, as I normally am - First, you go Carrasco/Thornton and work in some medium priced bats. Or an expensive stack with some cheaper fill-ins. Or second, you go Thornton/Another cheap SP and try to go expensive with hitters. Cause, as of right now, the 3 most popular plays are E-Rod, Happ, and Carrasco, and I think that leaves the expensive bats (like Boston and NYY) underowned. Still, all of this ignores that Carrasco has the stuff to win the Cy and he is the best pitcher on this slate. And no one is really close. We assume that will translate into a good score, because it should.
Christopher Paddack (9700, RHP - 6%) at ARI - I guess I was wrong a second ago when I said there were two ways of approaching this slate. You can also pivot off of Carrasco and take Paddack who is priced significantly lower, will go significantly lower owned, and has just as much upside. The only problem with the kid is his leash. But how can you complain about a kid that has 11 K in 8.2 IP? He has a WHIP of 0.92 so far. He doesn’t give up runs, he doesn’t give up hits (though a few too many walks), and he has dominant, high-K stuff. People aren’t paying for him cause they don’t know who he is. But I do. And now you do too. And he is someone you should be playing almost every time he takes the mound. Especially against an Arizona team that has at least 3 guaranteed Ks every time through the order.
Great Pitcher???
JA Happ (9200, LHP - 28% owned) vs CWS - Happ is a good pitcher. I mean, he was. That’s kind of the point of this section. I have talked about how some pitchers fall off a cliff and some just give in to the inevitable decline that comes with aging. Happ is 36 years old and got to start off the year with 2 starts against the hapless Orioles (thank you). He didn’t make it out of the 4th inning either time and, if you check the lineup page, you will see that he has not had the greatest success. This is a tough White Sox team. I mean, they aren’t going to win a lot of games, but Abreu, Anderson, and Moncada especially should be able to give him fits, and that’s ignoring the talent of the young kids Eloy and Rondon. You can take a chance on Happ if you want. He certainly has the talent and the K upside. But, as the 2nd highest owned pitcher tonight, who has been unable to find his stuff this year, I would rather bet on age rearing its ugly head than Happ pitching like a 25 year old.
Eduardo Rodriguez (9000, LHP - 32% owned) vs BAL - Rodriguez clocks in as the most popular play of the day. And I get it. I’ve been playing E-Rod in advantageous opportunities for a couple years now. The problems here are several fold: First, BAL has proven they are annoying, especially against LHP. Just ask the aforementioned JA Happ or his teammate James Paxton, both of who are significantly better then Rodriguez. Second, E-Rod has looked AWFUL so far this year. A 2.75 WHIP with 6 BB and 7 K in 8 IP?? I know the A’s and Mariners are better than the O’s by light years, but that doesn’t mean E-Rod will magically have a good start. I know Vegas and everything else would tell you to play E-Rod. Given the ownership, how bad he’s looked, and how annoying this unknown O’s team is, I would rather stay away and hope he implodes, letting us get a huge edge over a plurality of the field.
Great Spots
Jake Arrieta (8800, RHP - 14% owned) at MIA - I know Arrieta is a long way away from the Cy Young pitcher we saw a couple years back, and I know that this year he has looked pretty awful (which is why you can’t look at just ERA for people). When you have 13 IP and 9 BB and 7 K there is something wrong. But I also know that the Marlins, who can’t stop being shut out, are as good a spot to get right as any in baseball. I don’t think there’s an offense nearly as bad, having seen them all now for a couple weeks. Plus, there is no way he should be the 6th highest owned pitcher here. Not against the Marlins. I know he hasn’t looked good, but neither have the Marlins.
Brad Keller (7100, RHP - 3% owned) vs CLE - We know a lot here- First, Keller is an extreme ground ball pitcher. What he lacks in any other facet is made up for by that fact. He has 19 IP and only 13 K which isn’t ideal for DFS, but this is an Indians team that will boost that projected K total. On top of that, he has really limited hits on the season - the fact that, over 19 IP he has 8 walks and an WHIP of almost 1 should tell you that, even when his control isn’t all there, he’s missing down (in his case). He’s not wild, leaving things over the plate. He’s intelligently working to people based on his strengths. Given how swing happy some of these Indians are, I would expect Keller to be one of the best starters of the day, and easily someone to pair with Thornton. I don’t understand how he is this low owned.
GPP Plays
Sandy Alcantara (7300, RHP - 3% owned) vs PHI - Sandy Alcantara had about as different a two starts as you could have. In his first go round, at home against the Rockies, he went 8 IP giving up 4 hits, 0 walks, 0 ER and striking out 6. Good for 31.6 DKP. His second start, on the road in Atlanta, he got through 4 innings, again giving up 4 hits, but this time he also gave up 2 ER because he walked 5 and struck out 0. Now the Braves are a really hard team to strikeout. And so far, the Phillies have been as well. But, in his home park (which is a massive pitcher’s park), at almost no ownership, I will take a GPPs chance in an MME situation on Alcantara being able to get 20+ DKP today. He is still a kid, and he was a pretty decent prospect so it’s really not crazy for him to be serviceable and completely under the radar. Especially considering, with a nasty sinker and changeup that break away from LHB, he could really make it hard on people like Bryce that people will be all over.
Corbin Burnes (8500, RHP - 1% owned) at LAD - I know Burnes has had a tough go of it to start off his rookie season. He starts his career against the Cards, Cubs and Dodgers. He also can’t stop giving up HR, which comes from a wild pitcher with dynamite stuff. As I pointed out yesterday, wild means you are just as likely to leave it over the plate. And he has given up SIX HOMERUNS IN 10 INNINGS. That is nuts. But what’s also nuts is he also also stuck out EIGHTEEN. This is a dude with the talent to be rookie of the year. If he could find his control for one start, you have someone with 40 DKP upside that, literally, no one will be on. He is currently the lowest projected owned pitcher. Which I TOTALLY get. But, at the same time, 18 K in 10 IP. How do you not take some kind of chance there.
Wade Miley (7000, LHP - 3% owned) at SEA - Oh boy. This is a tough one. I mean, Miley is a good pitcher. He’s not great. But he’s definitely better than 7k and 3% ownership. He has decent strikeout stuff, has good upside, and is going against a Mariners offense I am unsure about when it comes to LHB. I mean, Smith and Bruce should be useless. Gordon and Murphy should be useless. That’s 4/9ths right there. If he can work around the bigger bats, there’s plenty of outs and plenty of Ks here for Miley. And he’s going overlooked at that price.
Drew Pomeranz (8100, LHP - 5% owned) vs COL - Talk about overpriced. That is why no one wants to roster Pomeranz today. But we are ignoring the fact that the Rockies are awful away from home and, even though he’s had a lot of trouble finding the plate this season, he has still been able to strike out 11 in 9 IP. Apart from the middle of this lineup, there’s just not a lot that worries me here. I don’t like the price, but I do like the spot for him. And I think i’ll have to go there, at least a little bit.
No Thanks
TB Rays Opener Situation - I don’t want to play any of them, nor the long relievers that should take over. And they proved last year how insanely effective this is against hitters. So count me out for any TOR batters tonight, at all. Period. Especially with that AAA lineup the Blue Jays have rolled out.
Julio Urias (8700, LHP - 3%) vs MIL - If you want to pay almost 9k for a pitcher that, at most, will get you 5 IP today, and could easily get pulled in the 4th again, go right ahead. There are very few things in sports that get me as angry as the way the Dodgers manage their rotation. But nothing we can do about it, but ignore it completely.
Batters
Stacking Opportunities (in no particular order)
Yankees vs Giolito (RHP, CWS) - Giolito is someone I have recommended before. He was the #1 prospect in all of baseball before he needed another Tommy John. Now he’s getting back into the swing of things. I certainly think it’s feasible to take a DEEP GPP flier on him given how low owned he will be, but odds are much better the Yankees are going to be able to make consistent contact and but a hammerin’ on young Luke.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 8
Chalk Level (1-10): 8
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Judge (OF - 5100), Sanchez (C - 4900), Bird (1B - 3900), then go back to the top and work down
Boston Red Sox vs David Hess (RHP, BAL) - The Boston Red Sox are projected to score as many runs today as a team would normally be projected to score in Coors Field. It’s not often you get a 10 total outside of Coors, especially when one of the teams is projected for under 4, but here we are. Hess has looked good his first 2 starts but let’s not kid ourselves. He’s not a good pitcher and his luck is going to run out sooner or later. I would take the chance that it is today, against one of the best lineups in baseball.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 10
Chalk Level (1-10): 10
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Start at the top and work down
Mets vs Kyle Wright (RHP, @ATL) - As I pointed out yesterday, the Mets hit a LOT better outside of Citi Field. So I am going to bump their projections when they aren’t there, and I am going to relish in the fact they are going to be consistently underpriced due to that fact. I think that, with Alonso out, people might be less on this stack as it is, but McNeil moving to the leadoff spot is a HUGE deal, and he should be a huge priority for you here. He’s a pure hitter, and Atlanta’s new stadium was made for LHB. Kyle Wright has looked fine and should find some Ks, but a lot less with Nimmo batting 8s and the lineup looking like it is.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 9
Chalk Level (1-10): 3
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Get McNeil (3B/OF - 4100) and Conforto (OF - 4700) in there, for sure, then I do love Rosario in the 2 hole and Dom Smith will go completely overlooked (especially on FD where he is only 2200 and could hit you a couple doubles or a HR today) You can play anyone though, except Nimmo.
Braves vs Zack Wheeler (RHP, NYM) - While I may not like this stack as much as some of the others (given the fact Wheeler could be an ace for some teams), given how poor Wheeler has looked I think this is completely viable. If he continues to be unable to find the plate, this patient Braves team is going to draw 6 BB of him and force him from the start early, before getting to the weak part of the Mets bullpen. The Braves are also a tougher team to strikeout than the league average, meaning Wheeler is even worse off here than normal. I worry about his upside, but I can’t deny the Braves stack looks really nice tonight
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 7
Chalk Level (1-10): 6
Preferred Stack: Full
*Preferred Players: Freeman and Inciarte first. Then Markakis. If you wanna do a mini stack and stop there that’s fine. Otherwise you can add in whoever else you want that is cheap enough. *
A’s vs Drew Smyly (LHP, @TEX) - This one is pretty simple. It’s math, right? You take one offense that has been smashing lately. You add the fact that they can murder LHP. You add one LHP that’s been underperforming and can’t stop letting people on base. You add a guarantee of 9 times AB. You add the fact they are underpriced. You add a positive weather environment. And you have a lot of runs scored for the A’s, somewhat under the radar. Well, yes please!
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 9
Chalk Level (1-10): 7
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Khris Davis has to be the lynchpin of any stack, or, if you want, any one-off you play from here. Given the way the lineup looks, I would also love to take Semien, Canha, and Phegley as well. There is also nothing wrong with Pinder, Profar, and then Chapman. But that’s the order I like em in.
Rangers vs Mike Fiers (RHP, OAK) - Mike Fiers is a terrible pitcher that walks everyone and gives up a ton of hits and HR and doesn’t strike people out. Looks like a hell of a good day to stack an underpriced and underowned group of Rangers hitters that can really hurt him here.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 9
Chalk Level (1-10): 6
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Get Gallo in, who is a good bet for a HR today, then start at the top and work your way down. I also like Asdrubal a lot, but that’s just me
Padres vs Luke Weaver (RHP, @ARI) - The Padres get a huge park upgrade against a bad pitcher that people think is good. That means they are underowned and, if you look at the spreadsheet, they are also underpriced. I mean Luke Weaver is projected to be 18% owned, the 4th highest on the slate. Why the hell wouldn’t you want to stack against that, to increase your leverage on the field. Especially when, again, Luke Weaver is not good. Maybe he will be someday. But now is not the day.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 9
Chalk Level (1-10): 2
Preferred Stack: Full
Preferred Players: Start with Hosmer, who has a great chance for a HR as well, then start at the top and work down.
Dodgers vs Corbin Burnes (RHP, MIL) - I am more likely to pitch Burnes than stack against him. If anything, his HR stuff is more prone to one-offs than a stack but, given the fact he has given up 3 HR each start, you can still take a chance that more than one of these guys is going to get you a HR. It’s a tough MIL bullpen, and the only get 8 innings to hit if they are in the lead, but that doesn’t mean they can’t hit you a bunch of HR in that time.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 5
Chalk Level (1-10): 10
Preferred Stack: Mini
Preferred Players: Pederson, Bellinger, Seager are the most preferred. In that order, considering price. Independent of price, Bellinger is in a great spot if he doesn’t K
Astros vs Wade LeBlanc (LHP, @SEA) - Wade LeBlanc is not a good pitcher. He’s 2-0 and that might make people think he’s better than he is, but it’s more a function of luck and run support. Right now, he’s going to be tested and it’s going to go poorly for someone that gives up a lot of HR, walks a ton of people, doesn’t K enough folks, and is going against a lineup of lefty killers
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 9
Chalk Level (1-10): 9
Preferred Stack: Full
*Preferred Players: Springer, Altube, Correa, Gurriel, Chirinos, and Tyler White, in that order. *
Giants vs Bettis (RHP, COL) - While I was going to recommend Bettis as a GPP play, he is 16% owned and how would that be a GPP play when he’s one of the most popular plays on the slate. And the reason he was a GPP play is because he has looked TERRIBLE to start the year. Even in TB, which is almost as good a pitcher’s park as SF, he got shelled. Just cause Bettis is on the road going against a poor team doesn’t mean he won’t get shelled again. There are still bats on this Giants team and no one is going to be on them at all.
How much do I love this stack? (1-10): 4
Chalk Level (1-10): 1
Preferred Stack: Mini or Full
Preferred Players: Start with Belt, who could get a HR today, followed by Panik, Crawford, Parra and Duggar.
One-Off Batters
White Sox RHB - While I don’t like these guys enough to stack them, Anderson, Abreu, Moncada, Eloy, and Rondon make for very, very interesting one offs. I would rank them in that order, as well. Anderson shouldn’t be more expensive than Abreu, but he has been hot and he has a much harder position to fill.
Jesus Sucre (C - 2800) - While there are certainly more flashy plays, odds are you are going to want to punt C most of the time. It lets you fit in better bats and better pitchers. Since, generally, the worst production comes from the Cs (which is why FanDuel eliminated it, essentially) it makes sense to take one as cheap as you can get it some days. Well here you have someone not batting last, at 2800, who has extreme splits that should give him as good a chance as any C to produce today, especially against a wild pitcher like E-Rod who is prone to leave one over the plate. This isn’t a safe play, mind you, but I will have some Sucre today for sure.
Rhys Hoskins (1B - 5000) - Rhys Hoskins is an extreme reverse splits hitter going against a righty whose stuff breaks in to him?? Oh my god, he could hit 2 HR today, even if Alcantara can take down the rest of the team.
HR CALL OF THE SLATE: Rhys Hoskins and Mookie Betts
Sorry this was so late! Hope you have enough time to dig into everything!
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Biggest MLB upsets of 2017

Baseball upsets never get the attention that upsets in other sports get. Partly because there are approximately 2,400+ regular season baseball games every year, so the impact of one upset isn’t extremely notable. Also, in my opinion, the gap between the best and worst baseball teams may not be as huge as the gap between the best and worst teams in other sports. The Tigers beating the Dodgers on a random Tuesday in 2017 may not blow you away. But the Browns beating the Patriots? That would be a huge freaking deal. The Hawks beating the Warriors? Shocking.
Anyway, I think baseball upsets do deserve some attention, so I’ve made this post compiling the 20 biggest upsets of the 2017 season. While there are likely statistical formulae to figure out the odds of the 2,400+ games, that would’ve taken forever to compile, so I simply used some Vegas numbers. Vegas knows what it’s doing. And when people talk about sports “upsets,” they’re usually talking about Vegas odds anyway.
For this exercise, I used historical odds from Bovada (and in case of a tie from BookMaker), as compiled by Sports Book Review. I used the plus/minus money line for each game from before the game began. A minus (-) indicates the team is the favorite, while a plus (+) indicates the team is an underdog.
For example, the Bovada betting line for Game 7 of the World Series was +138 (HOU) and -158 (LAD). The Astros were the underdog, and the Dodgers were the favorite. If you had put $100 on Houston, you would’ve won $138, plus your initial bet, for a total of $238. If you had put $100 on Los Angeles (and they had won the game), you would’ve won $63.29, plus your initial bet, for a total of $163.29.
(Note: I’m not advocating gambling. Please be responsible.)
Without further ado, here are the 20 biggest MLB upsets of 2017.
 
20. September 20 - Phillies (+220) beat the Dodgers 7-5
Box score. The Dodgers’ Alex Wood entered the game with a 2.69 ERA, while his counterpart Jake Thompson was sporting a 4.46 ERA in limited time (he spent most of the season in AAA). Things went as expected initially as the Dodgers had a 4-2 lead in the 7th inning. But their usually reliable bullpen coughed it up, with Ross Stripling allowing home runs to Aaron Altherr and Tommy Joseph in the bottom of the 7th and Luis Avilan and Brandon Morrow teaming up to allow two sloppy runs in the 8th. The game capped off a brutal 5-19 slump for the Dodgers that was among the weirdest things to happen in 2017.
19. June 22 – Angels (+225) beat the Yankees 10-5
Box score. The Angels were playing their third game in a tough eight-game road trip (Yankees, Red Sox, Dodgers) in late June, when they sent Jesse Chavez (4.85 ERA) to the mound against a good Yankees lineup at Yankee Stadium. New York was struggling, but played well at home in 2017 and had Luis Severino (2.99 ERA) on the mound. The Yankees jumped out to a 5-1 lead in the second inning, but the Angels rallied late, scoring seven runs in the innings 6-8. Starlin Castro’s error opened the floodgates.
18. September 30 – Pirates (+225) beat the Nationals 4-1
Box score. James Taillon (4.62 ERA) vs. Max Scherzer (2.55 ERA) was a lopsided matchup, but Scherzer had to leave the game with a hamstring cramp and the Nationals didn’t have much to play for at that point in the season. Still, Washington carried a 1-0 lead into the 9th when trade-deadline acquisition Brandon Kintzler decided to poop on the mound.
17. August 18 – White Sox (+230) beat the Rangers 4-3
Box score. In his previous nine games, James Shields was sporting a 7.58 ERA. And he was coming into Globe Life Park in Arlington. In August. Shockingly, he pitched well and Nick Delmonico went deep twice (including an inside-the-parker) and the ChiSox pulled it out. It was the only game they would win that week.
16. June 11 – Rangers (+230) beat the Nationals 5-1
Box score. A 53-year-old rookie by the name of Austin Bibens-Dirkx, whose previous career high in innings-pitched was 4.2, faced off against eventual Cy Young Award winner Max Scherzer at Nats Park. Somehow this turned into a pitcher’s duel with Bilbo-Dirts (7 IP, 1 ER, 2 K) and Scherzer (7.1 IP, 2 ER, 10 K) dominating until the Nats bullpen came in and did its thing.
15. August 2 - Tigers (+230) beat the Yankees 2-0
Box score. The Tigers were limping along (nine games under .500) when they came to Yankee Stadium in early August for a three-game set. The Wednesday afternoon game featured an underperforming Jordan Zimmermann (5.69 ERA) vs. an underperforming Masahiro Tanaka (5.09 ERA). For the first and only time all year long, Zimmermann allowed zero runs. Justin Upton’s RBI-double was all the Tigers needed.
14. June 15 – Phillies (+230) beat the Red Sox 1-0
Box score. Nick Pivetta (5.52 ERA) faced off against some scrub named Chris Sale (2.97 ERA). The Phillies had lost eight in a row. The Red Sox had won five of their last six. But because baseball is dumb, Chris Sale dominated (8 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 10 K), had a double at the plate (Boston’s only XBH), and still got the loss.
13. August 19 – Yankees (+235) beat the Red Sox 4-3
Box score. Even though both teams were good in 2017, Vegas went all in with Boston on August 19, as they were playing at home and had a favorable pitching matchup (Sale vs. Sabathia). But Tyler Austin’s 3-run home run off Chris Sale proved to be the deciding blow of the game.
12. July 24 - White Sox (+235) beat the Cubs 3-1
Box score. Vegas had trouble with the Cubs this year. With Chicago’s dominate 2016 regular season and World Series championship fresh in their minds, oddmakers almost always picked the Cubs, especially in matchups against bad teams. And on paper, Miguel Gonzalez (4.89 ERA) vs. Kyle Hendricks (4.09 ERA) at Wrigley Field was a good matchup for the Cubs. But Adam Engel’s solo HR off Justin Grimm in the 6th broke a 1-1 tie and led the ChiSox to victory.
11. July 21 - Braves (+245) beat the Dodgers 12-3
Box score. The Dodgers came into this game on an incredible 31-5 (.861) run. They were 38-12 (.760) at home so far on the season. Through 16 starts, Alex Wood had a 1.56 ERA. He had allowed eight total runs at home in nine starts. Things could not have been more stacked for LA. But Jaime Garcia, in his final start for the Braves, pitched very well (7 IP, 3 R, 4 K) and hit a grand slam!
10. June 20 - Angels (+245) beat the Yankees 8-3
Box score. The second game in this LAA/NYY series to make the list. Parker Bridwell made the start for LA, only his second career start, vs. the enigmatic Michael Pineda. The starters matched up evenly and the game was tied into the 7th inning, when future World Series champion Tyler Clippard took the mound. This is how things went for him: home run, booming double, deep flyout, triple.
9. June 24 - Twins (+245) beat the Indians 4-2
Box score. Only three games on this list featured matchups between playoff teams. This was one of them. Kyle Gibson (6.56 ERA) faced off against Corey Kluber (3.58 ERA) on a Saturday afternoon at Progressive Field. Kluber was amazing (7 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 13 K) and the game was tied through seven innings, but Brian Dozier (off Cody Allen) and Chris Gimenez (off Zach McAllister) went deep late to win the game.
8. August 11 - Padres (+255) beat the Dodgers 4-3
Box score. The Dodgers entered this matchup stupidly hot, having won 15 of 17 games. The game was at Dodger Stadium and featured a Clayton Richard (5.17 ERA) vs. Rich Hill (3.47 ERA) matchup. The Dodgers led 3-2 heading into the 7th inning, but Ross Stripling coughed up solo HRs to Manuel Margot (his second of the day) and Jose Pirela to blow the game. The Dodgers would go on to win 10 of their next 12 games.
7. September 7 - Rockies (+265) beat the Dodgers 9-1
Box score. The final game on this list between two playoff teams featured the reeling Dodgers (losers of 11 of 12 games) vs. the cold Rockies (losers of 11 of 17 games). The Thursday night game was at Dodger Stadium, and Clayton Kershaw (1.95 ERA) was on the mound against Jon Gray (4.26 ERA). Kershaw had lost just one game at home all season long, yet the Rockies knocked him out in the 4th inning and pounded away at the underbelly of the LA bullpen. CarGo had three hits and Arenado hit a 3-run HR off Kershaw.
6. September 21 - White Sox (+265) beat the Astros 3-1
Box score. The White Sox (8-11 to this point in September) faced off against the Astros (13-5 in September) at Minute Maid Park. Carson Fulmer was making his third career start opposite Dallas Keuchel (2.96 ERA). Fulmer threw just 20 pitches before leaving the game with a blister. Things looked bleak for Chicago, but Chris Volstad came in to settle things down, and six more Chicago relievers after him combined to shutout the Astros over 4.1 innings. The Houston broadcast of this game featured a weird segment on Brian McCann and Alex Bregman cuddling.
5. September 13 - Braves (+265) beat the Nationals 8-2
Box score. Luiz Gohara, making his second career start (his first - 4 IP, 6 ER), vs. the future Cy Young Award winner Max Scherzer at Nats Park. But Scherzer got rocked in his worst start of the year (6 IP, 7 H, 7 ER, 6 BB, 7 K) and Matt Kemp hit a grand slam off Brandon Kintzler. Annoyingly for the Nationals, they only went 10-9 vs. the very bad Braves in 2017 and were outscored by 15 runs in those games.
4. July 4- Padres (+275) beat the Indians 1-0
Box score. The “Fourth of July Miracle,” as no one calls it. The Indians entered the game as the AL Central leaders, while the Padres were 20 games back of the Dodgers in the NL West. Trevor Cahill (3.27 ERA) faced off against Corey Kluber (3.02 ERA) at Progressive Field. Kluber was coming off an insane June -- 43 IP, 6 ER, 7 BB, 64 K, 1.26 ERA. But the Padres scratched out one run against the future Cy Young Award winner (on a thrilling RBI groundout), while Cahill and an army of San Diego relievers mowed down the Cleveland lineup. The Indians’ best chance to score, after a one-out triple by Jose Ramirez in the second, was erased on a 1-3-2 double play.
3. September 18 - Phillies (+280) beat the Dodgers 4-3
Box score. Clayton Kershaw is so good that his team is an overwhelming favorite even on the road. The Monday night matchup of Clayton Kershaw (2.12 ERA) vs. Nick Pivetta (6.75 ERA) was as lopsided as it gets. But with the Dodgers clinging to a 2-0 lead and two outs in the bottom of the 6th, Aaron Altherr hit the first ever grand slam off Clayton Kershaw.
2. September 2 - Padres (+280) beat the Dodgers 7-2
Box score. The Dodgers had just entered their bizarre late-season swoon, but Vegas, like the rest of us, didn’t understand just how bad things would get for LA. The Dodgers had lost six of their last seven games, but were the heavy favorite in game two of this Saturday day-night doubleheader. Jordan Lyles (6.94 ERA), recently acquired from Colorado, was on the mound for the Padres, while Yu Darvish (3.88 ERA) faced off against him at Petco Park. Darvish lasted only three innings and the Dodgers went 1-7 with RISP. Matt Szczur had the big hit for the dads. LA would lose its next nine games.
1. September 30 - White Sox (+295) beat the Indians 2-1
Box score. As evidenced by all these September upsets, oddmakers had a little trouble gauging teams in the final month of the regular season. Rosters are expanded up to 40 players. Some teams have nothing to play for. Some teams rest their best players for the postseason. So wonky things can happen. And a very wonky thing happened on the last Saturday of the regular season. The White Sox (66-94) went into Progressive Field and beat the Indians (101-59), despite a matchup of Carson Fulmer (4.42 ERA) vs. Corey Kluber (2.27 ERA). The Indians still had something to play for (AL homefield advantage), so they trotted out their mostly A lineup and let Kluber throw 81 pitches. But Fulmer pitched well (5 IP, 1 R) and the Chicago bullpen pitched four no-hit innings after him. Kevan Smith’s RBI double in the 6th inning off Mike Clevinger proved to be the game-winner.
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Week 12 Power Rankings -- AL West edges out NL West, Top 10 movement, and overall low standard deviation among voters.

BEEP BEEP -- Around the Horn
More information is in the AUXILIARY POST.
Some content is being omitted this week because I have been forced to work on a Windows 8 machine and I want to run screaming into the hills after I get Windows permission to do so.
All errors are attributed to Bill Gates this week.
Are you a fan of the Pirates? We are currently (STILL!) recruiting a new voter for the Pirates. Check in thread for more info.
Total Votes: 27
# Team Δ Comment Record
1. A's just when we got Reddick back, he left us. But we got Too Tall Freiman! The A's had a NL east week, taking 1 from the Mets and sweeping the Marlins in some crazy games. The new stadium saga got a new chapter this week when the city we play in screwed us in their own selfish quest. But whatever, we are the first AL team to 50 wins!! 51-30 (+0)
2. Brewers Even after running into the buzzsaw that is the Nationals rotation (and somehow having their way with Strasburg) Milwaukee still managed to average over 4.5 runs scored per game this week. Scooter Gennet, who has possibly the best baseball name, has literally been on fire lately. First to 50 wins, things are good in Milwaukee. 51-33 (+1)
3. Angels (of Anaheim) Most of the buzz about the Angels this week was centered around their challenge trade with the Pirates - Ernesto Frieri for Jason Grilli. Though I'm not sure this move really improves the bullpen much, an argument can be made that simply riding Mike Scioscia of the option of putting Frieri in a game is worth a fair amount of value. I'm not really sure what Jerry DiPoto, the Angels GM, saw in Grilli other than perhaps a marketing opportunity with the new grilled cheese stand at Angel Stadium. I doubt this is the last trade the Angels make to try and shore up the bullpen, and DiPoto has admitted as much, but I'd still love to see the team acquire Huston Street and/or Joe Thatcher. Perhaps Kevin Towers would take the Essence of Grit himself, JB Shuck, for Goldschmidt and Thatcher, but I digress.... On an encouraging note, David Freese may have finally found his place in a pretty potent Angels offense. He was hitting an abysmal .175 in the top five spots in the batting order but that average has jumped to .315 when hitting in the bottom four spots. 45-35 (+1)
4. Dodgers The Dodgers have now moved into first place and cemented their legacy as the best team to ever play the game in 2014 named the Dodgers. By the sheer willpower of key players Jamie Romak and Tim Federowicz, this team is on fire. 47-37 (+3)
5. Tigers Going on the road has put the Tigers back into first place as they took seven out of nine games from the Indians, Rangers, and Astros. Now back at home, the Tigers will play the A’s and Rays this week. JD Martinez is still on fire.... so hot that Brad Ausmus has continued to play him every day even with Torii Hunter now healthy. Rick Porcello has also now tossed his first CGSO (remember that Max Scherzer also got his first on 6/12). I know wins (as a statistic) doesn’t matter, but I find it interesting that Ricky P is the third pitcher since 1900 to win 10 or more games in each of his first six seasons before age 26. Also, his 71 career wins is 59th among active pitchers. Again, this dude is 25 and has put together a sparkling season. 44-34 (+0)
6. Giants Remember when the Giants had the best record in baseball? Remember when Jim Johnson was the worst closer in the Bay Area? Remember when Bruce Bochy made good decisions?! Oh wait, that one almost never happens anyway. YOU BIG-HEADED OAF, ARIAS IS A MUCH WORSE HITTER THAN CRAWFORD, AND BLANCO ISN’T A GOOD LEADOFF HITTER. Anyway, other than Timmy pitching another no-hitter, this week sucked. In fact, this whole month sucked. With Belt due back for the upcoming Cardinals series and Pagan on pace to possibly join him, hopefully the June Swoon doesn’t carry over into the July of Why. 46-36 (-4)
7. Blue Jays This week started off with a lot of promise, with two consecutive wins versus the always tough Yankees. (The final win was of the walk-off variety). However, the Blue Jays couldn't complete the sweep. Toronto then began a series against the White Sox, winning the opening game of the series, before losing the next three. For those tabulating at home, that's a 3-4 week. Slugger Jose Bautista has recovered enough from injury to pinch-hit, a role he took on Sunday. 45-39 (-1)
8. Nationals Bryce Harper is back tonight, and the Nationals will field their opening day roster for the first time since opening day. This team has proven that they can hold their ground through injuries, now let's see if they can pull ahead when at full strength. 43-38 (+1)
9. Braves Bust out the brooms boys! The Braves are trying to get back to their 2013 form (aka non-stop sweeps) after wiping out the Phillies in a 4-game series. I'm not ready to call the Braves ʺbetterʺ than the Nationals yet, especially with Bryce Harper coming back possibly just hours after I'm writing this, but the lineup finally showed a little bit of consistency over the last week. What was the change? BJ Upton has been batting leadoff. You couldn't make this shit up if you tried. 44-38 (+3)
10. Cardinals 44-39 (-2)
11. Mariners As it stands right now, the Mariners have the second Wild Card spot firmly in hand. Firmly. With Taijuan Walker entering the rotation this Monday (against the formerly resurgent Astros) we're beginning to enter dangerous territory - a little land I like to call ʺHope.ʺ Kyle Seager's play can't help but go highly praised. The Hot Stove is starting to simmer, and I'm looking forward to seeing who of Stubbs, Denorfia, Byrd, Ruggiano, Trumbo, or Quentin the Mariners nab. If I were a betting man, I'd say Marlon Byrd ends up out here. I'd prefer Stubbs and Quentin. 44-38 (+0)
12. Reds The Reds are a freight train from hell, going straight up the asses of the competition. After a 6-1 week with a straight up silly 4-game sweep of the Giants, the Reds are 5 games above .500. Perhaps you're asking yourself, ʺIs this the real Reds team? Is this another flash in the pan win streak much like the Royals that scares the shit out of the division but ultimately leads to disappointment?ʺ Maybe. And maybe they played some struggling teams in the Cubs and Giants, but right now this Reds team is hot, hot, Red hot (sorry). I don't think this team is a joke and I don't think this hot streak will end when they roll into San Diego tonight. 43-38 (+3)
13. Orioles Looking to build upon handing Tanaka his second loss of the season, the O's drew the White Sox and Rays for seven games at home. Well, we needed late inning heroics to top the Sox, in the form of a Chris Davis walk off homer and a Nelson Cruz 8th inning grand slam, barely taking 2/3. Then we promptly lost 3/4 to the Rays in spectacular fashion. The pitching reverted to being horrible as Gausman, Chen, and Gonzalez all struggled throughout the week. Interestingly, the two best looking pitchers were Tillman and Jimenez, who each lasted more than 6 innings in their starts. 42-39 (-3)
14. Royals Facing the white hot Angels and both Kershaw and Greinke in their series with the Dodgers? A .500 record for the week is pretty good. Now the Royals need to get some consistency on offense. 42-39 (-1)
15. Yankees I'm sure we know it by now, but the offense is mostly anemic. The Yankeess have the 11th best wRC+ in the AL, and we still lost 2/3 to the only team in the AL East with a worse lineup (BOS at 14th). It feels odd that we won Nuno's start but lost Tanaka's start. Whitley looked completely poor in his last two starts, and Sabathia is throwing in minor league games. His arrival cannot come soon enough. 41-39 (-1)
16. Pirates 43-38 (+2)
17. Indians Three lethargic weeks in a row. Indians ran out of Pitching on Tuesday vs Arizona after their bats worked hard to give them the lead. While some batters are finally contributing its still not leading to as many runs as you would hope for. Tomlin had a near perfect outing which definitely helped his case and leads the question of whoare we going to send to AAA when McAllister is ready to make a return? The Indians take on the Dodgers this week before finally coming home for some 4th of July home cooking against the Royals. 39-42 (+0)
18. Marlins GIANCARLO IS GOING TO BE IN THE HOME RUN DERBY, HALLELUJAH! Ahem. The Marlins went 2-5 last week, splitting a 4-game series with the Phillies before getting swept in a well-fought series with our reigning Power Rankings champions, the Oakland A’s. Friday and Saturday both included taking the lead from the A’s after being down 4-0, only to give it back in the final innings. That Saturday game – as well as our Thursday finale vs. the Phils – both lasted 14 innings. Although both games were losses, the bullpen kept it close and either game could have easily turned out differently. 39-43 (-2)
19. Red Sox 38-44 (+1)
20. Twins Rough rough week, losing five straight to the Angels and the Rangers, but we did pull out a win yesterday to prevent me from dropping us to the bottom of the rankings. We face a tough series in the Royals before taking on the better-than-us-but-maybe-not-that-much Yankees. If we can claw our way back within three games of .500 before the ASB then I will be happy. 37-43 (-1)
21. Mets The week started out great for the Mets, with an 11-5 win against the Marlins and then a 10-1 win against the best team in baseball, the A's, which featured a dominant pitching performance by Bartolo Colon, a 3 run homer from d'Arnaud in his first game back from the minors, and two homers from Chris freaking Young, who even hit one the next game in the Mets near-comeback against the A's pen. Even though the offense has slowed down in the series against the Pirates, the 37 runs in 6 games is still a huge step up for a team that has only a -1 run differential (and was as high as +7 this week) and an offense that seems to finally be on an upward trend. 37-45 (+2)
22. White Sox After a horrid 1-6 record to start off their road trip the Sox swept the AL East leading Blue Jays to finish with a respectible 4-6 record on the trip. Jose Quintana recorded two of those wins allowing only one earned run over fourteen innings in his final two starts of the trip. 39-44 (+2)
23. Rockies The Rockies' starters ERA for June is 7.09. The starting rotation that has had twelve, TWELVE starting pitchers before the all star break. Every other replacement pitcher also gets injured and now we're just asking fans to bring their gloves in case the starter sighs heavily and breaks his neck. They've won just 2 of their last 13 games, having one of the worst Junes we can remember, and it's not all on the offense. The bullpen is overtaxed and ineffective, but we should be getting 4-5 people off the dl in 2 weeks. Hoping to win one game a week is pretty messed up. 36-46 (-2)
24. Rangers The Rangers went 2-4 this week, which isn't very good, but as a Rangers fan I will take solace in what I can. The starting pitching is in a pretty good stretch. They got two solid starts from Colby Lewis who continues to get stronger after missing a year and a half with hip and elbow trouble. Nick Tepesch and Yu Darvish were also very good this week. But the offense continues to struggle, barely averaging three runs a game, and when that happens it's hard to win. 37-44 (-2)
25. Astros After taking 2 out of 3 from the tigers over the weekend, the astros 4-6 in their last 10 games played. with decent starting pitching and the offense struggling a bit but managin to score enough runs for a few wins, the bullpen is still the weakest part of the team, but improving a little bot in the recent weeks. 36-47 (+0)
26. Phillies A 4 game sweep at home to the Braves is God's punishment on the Phillies for still allowing RAJ to have a job. Right now this team can't hit for power, can't hit with RISP, and can't walk. Turns out that isn't good enough when your rotation includes Burnett, Hernandez, Kendrick, and Buchanan. And don't look down to the minors, as the closest thing we had to a prospect, Jesse Biddle, has struggled to the point of taking a leave from playing. But hey, Chase Utley reached 1,500 hits, so..... 36-46 (+0)
27. Rays The Rays went yard this weekend at Camden Yards, hitting 9 HRs in the past week alone powering to their first series win in a very, very long time. The climb up is still long; however, the Rays enter a road trip that continues to battle the mediocre AL East. A climb to the top seems improbable at this point, but there’s a chance (until the Rays find the right deal that parts with Daivd Price). Right? 35-49 (+2)
28. Cubs Castro and Rizzo continue to hit well, starting pitching remains a strong point. The Cubs pitching staff has a 10.1 WAR, and about 8 coming from the starters. Outside of Castro and Rizzo, there is no offense to speak of, with most of them hitting under .200. Hope is on the horizon with Alcantara, Bryant and Baez all lighting up AAA in the recent weeks. 34-46 (-1)
29. Padres 1) The Padres TEAM batting splits in June: .176/.241/.264. 2) In 25 games played, 57 runs scored 3) In 774 ABs, 136 hits v. 204 Ks, which is good for a K% of 26.3. 4) In fact, the Padres have 204 total bases in June, equal to their number of strikeouts. 4) 11 HRs v. 15 GIDPs. 5) The Padres OPS+ in June compared to the league's OPS+ in June is 45. That's right, for the month of June, the Padres AS A TEAM have an OPS+ of 45 35-47 (-1)
30. D'Backs The Diamondbacks looked marginally better in their last week of play, splitting a hard-fought series with the Indians and taking two of three from the lowly Padres. Still, this is a team that will be selling at the deadline--expect to see moves involoving veterans like Brandon McCarthy, Aaron Hill, Brad Ziegler and perhaps even Martin Prado. 35-49 (+0)
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