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Barzal on Victor Hedman: "He's just so long and smooth." Barzal, Scheifele and P. Kane's thoughts on NHL opponents via Zoom call.

A transcription of the questions and answers presented here.
Face-off in your own zone with ten seconds left--who takes the face-off?
Barzal:
I'm thinking O'Reilly. I'm going to take O'Reilly, I don't even think I've won a draw against him in three years now, so...
Kane:
Yeah, I'd say O'Reilly maybe on the left side. I know Seguin is really good on the right side. He's maybe a little bit underrated, but it seems like we always kind of have a tough time against him in Dallas.
Scheifele:
I'm going to go with Bergeron on either side. You know, I actually have had some good night against him, unless you're in Boston, then you just get... uh, the stats guys give it to him a little bit. [laughs] I think when push comes to shove, you put him in a face-off dot, he's going to take it. Definitely not Barzy. [laughs]
Barzal:
[laughs] Aww, man. I had some bad nights this year.
Games on the line. One-on-one, pucks on your stick--which defender do you least want to see defending the one-on-one?
Scheifele:
I'm going to go with Ryan Suter. We play Minnesota a ton. I think his angles are so good. When you go one-on-one, you're going to try and back him down a little bit, probably try to beat him, and his angles are so good. His stick is so good. You're not going to be able to shoot through him, he can block shots. His angles and his feet are so good that he's just so hard to beat. Maybe you could take him wide, but his angles are so good you're not going to be able to get actually a good quality chance. I wouldn't want to see him.
Kane:
I'd go with Shea Weber. Especially when he was in Nashville, when we were playing those folks 8 times a year. He's just a bear to go against. So strong, he's so big. If you ever got in a corner with him, there's no way you're coming out with the puck--or if you do, you're going to take some pretty big punishment for making that happen. Even today, when we play Montreal, same type of thing. If I get over to that left side [...] and I'm against him, he's just so physically punishing. He'd always be a tough guy to go up against for me.
Barzal:
Those are two good picks, but I think Victor Hedman for me. He's just so long and smooth. His gap's always perfect, and if you try to take him wide, he's 6'6, so you're not really getting around him. He can just hold you off, his stick is always so good, it's just always in your face. There's just not much room out there against him. He's not going to physically punish you maybe like Weber will, but he's just always in your grille, just poking at the puck. Just in perfect position, just always battling. He's a tough one for me.
Okay, now there is a 2-on-1, who is the player you most want to have with you on the 2-on-1?
Barzal:
I'll put Ovi on the left side. Just 'cause it's an easy pass for me as a righty. If I was coming down on my left side, maybe throw Kaner over there, give him the one-T but I think down my right side, a little sauce to Ovi is probably going in.
Kane:
I know you said no teammates, but I guess this kind of counts for that, but I'd probably have to say Panarin. I know I played with him a couple of years. The way he sees the game and the way he plays it was very similar to the way that I saw the game. Just really, really fun hockey, you know? Just kind of playing off each other, kind of hanging out on our sides, and almost like mirror-ment of each other, what the other person was going to do. That was probably the funnest hockey I ever played was playing with him. I think if I'm coming down on a 2-on-1, same type of thing, throw him a little saucer pass, and he's going to bang it in the net most of the time.
Scheifele:
It wasn't that fun playing against you. [laughs] You just stood in the middle and just tried to whack it down, just try to knock it down, because they were just throwing seam sauces to each other. You didn't even go after them, you just sit in the middle and whack it.
Kane:
Well, that's like you guys now. We get these 2-0 leads on you guys, and then all of the sudden, the second period rolls around and we just can't get out of our own end. You know, Scheifs in the middle doing his little sweeper one-timers, and Wheels is feeding him in the middle, it's like, it's not that fun to play against you guys, so we feel the same way.
Okay, you're on you're off-wing, and your stick is cocked and one-timer is ready. Who's the guy you want to be with the puck on the 2-on-1?
Scheifele:
It has to be Blake Wheeler, but I can't say him. He's #1 though. You know, if I'm cocked and one-timer, I'm going to want a righty passing to me. A little better angle, he's able to manipulate that D a little bit better, and you know, the pass is a better angle for that one-timer, so I'm going to go with Stamkos. He's not known for his passing, but I've skated with him a lot over the years, and he does this little 2-on-1 pass that's pretty nifty. So, I'm going to go with him.
Barzal:
That's Oatesy's boy, eh? [laugh] Staying true.
Scheifele:
Actually, if Oatesy was still playing... he's probably the best passer of anyone. I don't know if he could keep up to the boys now. If he hears that, he's going to be pissed I said that. [laughs]
Kane:
I'm going to go with the best passer in the league right now, I'm going to go with McDavid. And he's got the speed coming down to kind of manipulate the defender, and maybe make him think he's going to the net as well. He's not a bad pick.
Best defenseman in the league keeping the puck in at the point?
Barzal:
I mean, I feel like Burns has a bunch back there. That's not really something I pick up on during a game if a D-man is doing a really good job holding the puck in on the blueline. Actually, John Carlson has a wicked stick picking pucks out of the air, he's picked a few of mine off that I thought were good. I'd say John Carlson out there.
Most fearless defenseman on a pinch?
Scheifele:
Roman Josi, by far. He's fearless back there. He'll spinorama two different times, he'll toe drag you, he'll go right down the middle. He's fearless, but he's pretty good at it. If he has just an inch on you, he's going to take advantage. He's by far the toughest.
Most annoying shot blocker?
Kane:
I'd probably have to say Hjalmarsson. I've seen this guy just eat pucks his whole career. Now he's in Arizona, and he's just like, that's how he plays the game, you know? He just wants to block shots. [laughs] That's how he plays. It's hilarious to see him. He'll block a couple of shots, and he'll be hobbling around, but he still gets up and blocks the next one and then hobbles back to the bench to be out there the next shift. The guy's a warrior.
Barzal:
I want to throw two of my teammates in that conversation. I think Scott Mayfield and Adam Pelech must block 7 or 8 a game. We don't play against each other to much, us, and Winnipeg, and Chicago, but those two guys, oh my god, I've never seen anything like that. Mayfield wants to eat shots in practice on my team, he loves it.
On a breakaway, which goalie do you not want to see in net?
Scheifele:
Carey Price for sure. He's so calm in the net. He outconfidences you. His confidence in the net in his abilities, he's #1 I definitely don't want to see.
Barzal:
I'm going to go with Pekka Rinne. I don't know why, we've had a tough time with Nashville scoring goals. He's had some good nights against us. I think I've had two breakaways against him now, and both I didn't score on.
Kane:
I was going to say Price as well. He's like, especially, we had that shootout in 2007 against Canada in the world juniors, and I went 0/2 on him. Same type of thing, he's so calm and patient in the net. I'd also throw Vasilevskiy in there. You think you have him beat, and he just kicks out his leg. You have to beat him, and then raise it, but you can't raise it too much because his body's over there as well. His legs are so long and athletic. I'd probably have to throw him in there.
Playoff berth is on the line, goes to OT 3-on-3. What other guys are in your line up?
Barzal:
McDavid, one. I'd go with three forwards. If we're trying to score on the first shift, I'm going to go with me, McDavid, and Kucherov. That could be lethal.
Kane:
I'd be on the wing, so I'd need someone to take a face-off. I'd say maybe Matthews as a centreman. He seems like he's pretty lethal in overtime, where he gets a chance and scores. Just to kind of round it out, we play with a defensive-defenseman--or somewhat defensive, but still has the offensive ability to make plays... I'd say Drew Doughty.
Scheifele:
I'm going to go McDavid and Draisaitl. [laughs] Those teammates. They'll probably just go and score themselves, so I'll be the defenseman. [laughs] It seems like every game they get into overtime, it's 30 seconds in, and Draisaitl's got a breakaway, or McDavid's got a breakaway, or a 2-on-1, maybe even a 2-on-0, and they're scoring. I'm going to go with those two guys.
What if you're not on the ice and you have all of NHL's historical players?
Kane:
The first three names that come to my mind would be Gretzky, Lemieux and Bobby Orr. If you had to bet against those guys. You look at Bobby Orr and the amount of points he had, his career as a defenseman--it's just unbelievable especially at that time. Maybe changed the way defensemen play the game. And watching some of those highlights with Lemieux and Gretzky playing on team Canada back in the day, it seemed like they had a lot of chemistry. Gretzky was feeding Lemieux a lot, so that would be fun to watch.
Scheifele:
I'm going to throw some of my heroes in there. Stevey Y was my favourite player, so I'm going to throw Yzerman out there, I'm going to throw Oatesy, my other hero--
Barzal:
[laughs] Oh my god.
Scheifele:
And then Dale Hawerchuk. Those three guys.
Barzal:
I really liked Datsyuk growing up. I'll throw him, Nik Lidstrom, and maybe Brett Hull. Get a sniper out there.
Best forward for tipping a puck or screening a goalie?
Barzal:
We got Anders Lee on our team so it's a no-brainer for me. Get to see him work in practice just tip pucks, he'll go 15/15 just like nothing. Makes it look easy, when it's not. I feel like Joe Pavelski has the title of best tipper in the league. I'll give it to him.
Kane:
Both of those guys are really good. I played with Anders at the world championships a couple years of ago, and he'd just stand in front of the net, screen the goalie, and guys would just pick their spots, and it was just so tough for the goalie to stop those shots because he was so good in front. I'm going to go with him in front of the net. It's hard to pick against Pavelski. You've seen that play so many times with San Jose--they get it back to Karlsson and Burns, Pavelski's coming through the slot and tips it in. It seems like he's incorporated that and brought that to Dallas as well. He's just really good at finding those open areas and getting a stick on it.
Scheifele:
Landeskog. Colorado. He's had a ton of tip goals against us, I've seen him tip a ton of goals in other games. He's also just such a moose in front of the net. You can't move him, he's strong, he's good at actually screening a goalie too.
Best comic relief on the bench?
Kane:
I'd had some hilarious teammates back in 2010. Guys like Ben Eager and Adam Burish were constantly chirping the other team. They were hilarious, especially Ben Eager. He seemed to have like, so many good chirps. Also, Dustin Byfuglien might be up there as well. He's just hilarious, like, I think even in the middle of games, especially when we were playing Winnipeg and he recently got traded there, he was coming by. He and Quenneville would be chirping each other and laughing and joking around in the middle of an NHL hockey game. He was always a good guy to bring some comic relief.
Scheifele:
Honestly, it's actually with the rules that I can pick Dustin Byfuglien. [laughs] It's gotta be him. He's by far the most relaxed guy in the game. No matter what's going on, no matter how the game's going, he definitely will make a joke and get you going. I could hear from the other side of the bench him yelling at someone, I don't even know who he's yelling at, he could be yelling at a fan, who knows. He's always joking around, so I'm going to go with him.
Barzal:
Anders Lee again. This guy is so funny, whether it's on the ice or off the ice. He's always got a quick one-liner, or something goofy that he says that's really funny at the time. I'd say him for me again.
Scheifele:
Anders Lee better be watching this later. [laughs]
Barzal:
I know, I'm getting some brownie points right now. Oh, or honestly, Jordan Eberle. He's pretty funny, we get into it sometimes too, but he's pretty light-hearted. We go back and forth sometimes. He brings some humour in there.
submitted by hellefuyck to hockey [link] [comments]

Breadispain's NHL DFS Primer 2019-20

The first (preseason) DFS content is available tomorrow on Draftkings! It's time to get back into the swing of things.
Introduction
Many people commented or PMed me last season saying that my posts helped them win more money, more frequently. I know I personally missed out on some big paydays by ignoring my own advice. (Sigh.) I’ve been playing DFS hockey since 2014 and have become gradually more invested in it over the past few seasons. I started playing $1 single entry tournaments and I’ve been hooked since my first entry placed 47/3448. You’ll generally find me in single entry tournaments on Draftkings and whichever site has the better tournament payout on the larger Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday slates.
I have the same username on Draftkings, Fanduel and Rotogrinders if you’re looking for me elsewhere.
Disclaimer
I would recommend that you only play DFS as a form of entertainment. Hockey is a volatile sport where anything can happen any given night: the underdog could win, your starting goaltender could be injured, etc. While under no circumstances should you hold me liable should you lose, please take me into consideration if you do happen to come upon a big payday as a result of my advice ;)
I’d advise restraint during the preseason and month of October while lines and systems are settling and the sample size is small. The whole point of using data to build your lineups is to reduce randomness, so your bankroll should be saved for when the league is more predictable. However, if you’re a degenerate like me, you likely have enough data about your personal habits to know that is unlikely.
Slates
The NHL schedule dictates larger slates on Tuesdays, Thursdays and Saturdays, with fewer games on days between. Larger slates tend to come with higher prize pools funded by more entries. Since a larger slate means more players are on the ice, that generally decreases specific player ownership. Though that increases your chance of your players having lower ownership if they go off, it also makes it more difficult to pick players that score more than the rest of the field, since there’s a higher probability more goals are scored. (And that’s what makes it fun!)
While there are also all day, afternoon, evening and late night slates, as well as Showdown and whatever else have been introduced lately, the payout for these contests tends to be less overall for the same entry fees, while the difficulty of winning them is comparable, so I tend to avoid them with few exceptions.
Contest Type
Whether you’re playing cash games (50/50, multipliers, head-to-head), satellites, or GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments will greatly affect your strategy. In GPP’s you’re looking for highest upside to get the most overall points possible to win the tournament. In cash, you’re looking for the highest floor to ensure you’re above the fold. In general, play cash games for security and GPP’s for the thrill.
I’m sure there are a lot of pros that play cash games regularly because you can easily double your wager any given night, which at minimum helps pad your bankroll to cover any GPP losses. I personally don’t like the upside when weighing risk/reward and therefore prefer to play GPP’s almost exclusively. However, cash strategies can also translate to smaller tournaments because you don’t need as much variance to set yourself apart from other lineups.
Single-Entry vs Multi-Entry
Daily fantasy hockey is always pitching itself as a game of skill while trying to distance itself from gambling for legal reasons. I contend that single entry tournaments are the truest test of skill here because each entry holds the same weight. These are my preferred contests by far, though there are rarely more than two any given night with a payout worth the ticket price.
While you technically have a better chance of placing first by maxing your entries in GPP’s every night, it’s impractical for most players, especially the novice. You can see in the Draftkings Results Database that even seasoned veterans rarely employ this strategy as well. For what it’s worth, some of my biggest paydays have also been ones where I made the fewest amount of entries. Your mileage may vary.
Rake
Rake is simply the house cut taken by whichever site you’re gambling on. Along with entry fees it has increased in recent years and stabilized around 9-13% depending on the contest. If all things are considered equal, target contests with a lower rake, as more prizes are being paid out to the contestants. That also means GPP’s and satellites that are not filling up before the deadline can offer you a slight advantage.
Bankroll Management
You should care about how much money you’re gambling because no one else is going to. Bankroll management doesn’t factor much into my decision making simply due to the scale I operate at, so I’ll only offer this advice: winnings are not winnings until you withdraw them, and only if you haven’t deposited more than that originally. It boggles my mind when people praise themselves for winning a grand after dumping two the month before. Set an amount you’re comfortable losing and don’t deposit more than that when it’s gone. There are free bankroll trackers available online if you want an overview of how you’re doing, such as Daily Fantasy Nerd, as well as restrictions on each site if needed.
Point Systems
This whole post was based around the 2018-19 point system for both Fanduel and Draftkings. However, it was Recently Announced that adjustments would be made to the Draftkings point system this coming season. Here’s what you need to know:
Prior to this year, there used to be relative parity between the Fanduel and Draftkings scoring systems. Aside a few discrepancies, like Fanduel awarding minor powerplay point bonuses, Draftkings accounting for goaltender points and hat trick bonuses, and a slight variation between block and shot values, Fanduel scores were basically 4x Draftking ones and the only significant differences were salary discrepancies and lineup construction.
No longer. Not only have the Draftkings points been bumped up overall but their relative values have changed. A goaltender win is now worth less relative to a goal. While it used to take 15 saves to make up a goal, it will now take about 12. There will also be two points awarded for overtime losses.
There are other minor changes to the basic scoring system, like assists and shots on goal are worth slightly less relative to a goal, but the real change will be in the new bonus system. Here you will see an additional three points awarded for hat tricks, 35+ saves, 5+ shots, 3+ blocks and 3+ point games. That 3 point modifier also stacks with the hat trick bonus, which is, frankly, ridiculous. This will significantly change the worth of playmakers, with two assists (10 points) now being worth less than a player with five shots on goal (10.5 points) without hitting twine.
Draftkings claims this makes the game “more exciting” but right now it just seems like it’ll be more random. I fail to see how anyone that regularly plays DFS with any volume benefits from this change, outside of possibly drawing in more inexperienced entries and increasing the overall player and prize pool. The NHL players gaining these bonuses are, for the most part, already the top performers in those categories. Additional incentives are hardly necessary to have Burns or Ovechkin any given night. For others, certain punt plays could see a significant boost, though it makes little sense to me why two blocked shots would be worth 2.6 points but a third bumps that up to 6.9.
Regardless, I still see linestacking being advantageous with these changes.
Linestacking
Outside of choosing a winning goaltender, using players on the same line is the most basic DFS advice you can give a beginner. Since there are so few goals scored in a hockey game and most of those goals correlate with an assist, you typically want to pick players with good linemates. The odds of stacking two corresponding lines and getting multi-point games that win you money is far greater than selecting six players who have standout individual performances on any given night.
Depending on whether you play on Fanduel or Draftkings will determine what kind of strategies are available to you, as there are tighter salary constraints on Draftkings but looser restrictions. For example, on Fanduel you’re capped at 4 players from each team. On Draftkings, you only need 3 different teams represented, so you can technically play the entire top six from one team instead. Despite that, you cannot do the 4-4-1 stack available on Fanduel, where you pick two lines with their corresponding defensemen and a goaltender. Instead, you have to opt for a 4-3-1 stack, either using the utility position for a punt play (typically not ideal) or alternating one of the defensemen from a different team (preferable).
I don’t like to break up line stacks because I’ve been playing long enough to see it come back to haunt me, but there’s always an argument for dropping an underperforming third wheel or due to salary constraints.
Powerplay Correlation
Roughly 20% of NHL goals are scored with the man advantage. Though not strictly necessary, players who have top powerplay minutes are more likely to score goals. If an entire line has full powerplay correlation, even better. There are few teams worth targeting for a powerplay stack where the players are not also linemates. However, last season the Lightning, Panthers, Sharks, Pens, Flames, Leafs and Caps all had great powerplay success with players combined from two or more lines. This can make a decent contrarian play against a weak penalty kill team or simply to deviate from the standard chalk on a smaller slate.
Percentage of Ownership
Generally speaking, whichever team(s) has the highest Vegas odds to win, and especially a high oveunder, will also be the favored teams, or chalk, for DFS. Since only 20% of GPP entries will profit and the chalk lines are likely to garner 20%+ ownership, if that line goes off it could break the slate (you’ll need that line to win).
Just because a team is a favorite to win does not mean they’re your safest option. Primarily because there are no safe options, it’s also crucial to maximize your success by differentiating your lineups from others. Use Vegas odds and “expert” predictions as a guideline for what you think other people will be targeting, and keep this in mind when building your own lineups. Looking for the lines that could produce but be underlooked (and therefore under-owned) is necessary for a big payday.
The larger the slate, the more likely you can profit from chalk. Likewise, the smaller the slate, the higher upside for contrarian options. On a 12 game slate there are likely to be several favorites, decreasing the overall ownership percentage of any given line. On a three or four game slate, more people are likely to gravitate to one or two lines. Whether you can actually afford to stack these lines together is another matter entirely. Sometimes the chalk lines are so prohibitively expensive that you have to make great sacrifices elsewhere in your lineup.
Salary Constraints
I don’t fully understand how either Fanduel and Draftkings come up with their player salaries because they often feel arbitrary. Kase was priced at floor on Fanduel for weeks, despite putting up solid production on the first line for the Ducks. There were thousands of dollars difference in Chabot’s salary when he was on a tear as well. Some players, like Shattenkirk, appeared to have inflated salaries solely due to name recognition. Occasionally there are straight up errors, like Keith Yandle was priced at floor by mistake for almost a week on Draftkings last January. Suffice to say that it’s worth analyzing the value of each player on a line when stacking, as well as exploring individual salary trends, as players are often propped up by things that don’t translate to DFS production.
It’s rare that you’ll pick two lines that fit so comfortably you can afford top defensemen and a goaltender as well. If you have the salary left over to flesh out your lineup with Burns, Letang and Vasilevskiy, it’s hard to make an argument not to. More likely you’re going to be looking for pivots, a line that has a value player that brings down the total cost, or ultimately sacrificing somewhere in your lineup.
A solid pivot for me was likely an outlier getting top powerplay time (ex. Pirri), an individual performer on a depth line (Ex. Donato; Perreault), an unrecognized rookie (ex. Svechnikov, Chabot), someone stepping in for an injury in a lineup, or a cheap defenseman with offensive upside (ex. Ekholm).
It’s also not uncommon for a star to have less talented linemates. Sometimes that artificially inflates the cost of those linemates, but sometimes it makes the line a decent budget option. You’ll likely find these players alongside McDavid, Matthews, Crosby or Stamkos, for example, when their lines are not loaded with their corresponding Kucherovs or Draisaitls.
Some lines are so prohibitively expensive they’re virtually unstackable at all, though these lines are also typically matchup proof. Because of the sacrifice required, these lines are often worth targeting on a larger slate or against tougher opposition where they’ll fetch lower ownership but still have the potential for a hat trick or more. Refer to COL1, BOS1, TBL2, etc.
Contrarian Play
Contrarian here simply means rejecting the consensus favorite, but it’s often confused with simply picking a line from a bad team to go against the grain. Note there’s rarely a good argument to pick a contrarian goaltender, outside of high upside for their salary. Keep in mind that Vegas odds, really even the best teams in the NHL, are roughly 60-65% likely to accurate project as a winner, and that winning alone is not always enough to make a goaltender valuable because they might not see a lot of shots.
So when should you play contrarian? One of my favorite contrarian options on Fanduel specifically is when a line’s players have the “wrong” position. This happens when a player was previously playing out of position, and Fanduel is notorious for being slow to respond to these changes. Since it’s more difficult to stack a CCW or WWW line, these picks are naturally contrarian because they’re harder to fit into a lineup.
Another option might be targeting secondary scoring on depth lines. Not only is this an option for affordability that’s easier to stack, but it’s a decent pivot off the chalk for a team that’s a favorite to win. It’s worth noting that a team playing on home ice has the advantage of last change and therefore can choose their deployment. If you’re targeting against a team with a solid shutdown line on home ice, a secondary scoring line might end up getting better deployment and production. Likewise, if you know a line will be forced to play a shutdown role, you might want to consider alternatives. This is called line matching and may differ on a nightly basis.
One option that’s often overlooked is a game stack. That is, picking one line from either teams in one game. When two teams are porous defensively or have a historic rivalry, chances are if a goal is scored early in the first period the ice could rapidly open up and the game will become a shooting gallery.
Finally, though this option is restricted only to Draftkings, you can stack two lines from the same team with each other. This could be the entire top six or a full five man powerplay stack. I would reserve this option only for high powered offenses against the weakest of opposition though.
Defensemen
I often consider defensemen an extension of linestacking, but in reality that’s not always feasible. Though there are technically points awarded for blocked shots, even the top shot blockers aren’t very DFS relevant on shot blocking alone, unless they are positioned against a high shot volume team and come at a reasonable price tag. It is worth considering a high floor from reliable shooters and/or blockers when looking for value if you’re stacking two expensive lines, especially in cash games. While it’s not uncommon to see rosters where people have two depth defenders squeezed into their lineup due to salary constraints, know that you’ll typically need at least another goal from your forwards to compensate for the backend unless they happen to get a lucky bounce.
There are only around forty defensemen capable of regularly generating at a half point per game every season. With so few of these players available any given night, their salaries are typically higher than a forward with a similar point pace. The most prolific point producers are often unattainable for this reason. If an inexpensive defenseman finds his way onto the first powerplay unit, you can guarantee he will see high ownership. It’s almost always recommended to upgrade your defensemen if your salary allows.
Goaltenders
More important than any other statistic is whether or not your goalie is starting, so make sure to confirm that before puck drop. Daily Faceoff is the defacto place to verify the starting goaltender for each team. It’s not infallible, but it’s the best resource available without refreshing Twitter constantly for updates.
While it’s rare this will haunt you, it’s important to note that the win is only attributed to the goalie that’s on the ice when the deciding goal is scored, and that’s not necessarily who’s in the net at the end of the game. This is especially pertinent if you’re considering playing preseason games, where there’s often split duty between two prospects.
Even the worst goaltender is going to take up a sizeable chunk of your salary cap. However, unless they’re pulled from the game, even a losing goalie at least generally has some positive impact on your overall score. On the flipside, a winning goaltender can easily be your MVP every night. That’s a lot of pressure on picking the right player in this position, and therefore it’s often the hardest.
Without consideration for quality of opponent, even the best goaltender on the first seeded team has generally won less than 70% of their games that season. Picking a winning team is already a gamble, let alone the challenge of picking a winner that also faces a lot of shots without giving up goals. Because of this, I don’t really have a strong inclination to any particular strategy here. Some nights I’ll single out a small handful of goalies I think will perform well and either correlate them with my stacks or disperse them based on their salaries. If I’m only targeting a few lines that night, maybe I’ll run the same stacks with several goaltenders and hope to see them all dispersed in the top fifty. Other times I’ll ride the same goaltender for every lineup in a boom or bust scenario. In any case, I would seriously caution against being contrarian here without knowing there’s high upside (the goaltender is cheapest on the slate and at least has a chance of winning, say).
Recent/Historical Performance
I’m not going to lie, I use DailyFantasyNerd to compare shooting and scoring trends amongst players, and I’m always dialled in to the hot hands as much as anyone. However, I feel like people might put too much weight on recent performance and too little on historical data and sustainability.
There’s no question that sometimes players just go on hot or cold streaks, and betting on a player who’s in a slump to miraculously break it that night is equal parts realistic and gambler’s fallacy, as much as banking on the hot hand continuing his run would be. If you’re willing to do further digging, it’s worth taking into account whether a player is seeing a change in deployment or ice time. Consider whether they’re shooting more or less and what percentage of those shots are converting. Also note the quality of competition in the previous games. If you’re not doing any additional research whatsoever, just know these stats are usually shown as an average over the last five games and can be heavily skewed by one good or bad game, or even an injury.
If I only have time for minimal research any given night, without fail I am checking ShrpSports and CBC Sports for the team matchup history. Providing other factors align, I will often trust historical data and narrative games over a lot of other metrics. Now, I’m often criticised for putting weight on either of these things whatsoever, but I’ll still argue that it’s foolish to ignore it.
Obviously rosters change from season to season, and sometimes very dramatically. You should definitely take offseason changes into account. However, there are some teams or specific players that consistently (and often unexpectedly) have another team’s number, and rivalries are sure to bring out the best of both teams despite what fancy stats and standings indicate. Because of this, I tend to look at the outcome of the previous two season’s play and include any games played this season, with a greater weight put on teams that matchup more frequently. Especially if there is a team that shouldn’t be victorious that’s been on a relatively consistent win streak versus their opponent, I’m making a note of the upside from their upset potential, both to avoid picking the opposing goaltender and to consider linestacks that might otherwise be overlooked. I generally ignore playoff performances though because the stakes are higher and roles tend to be different.
It also might seem silly to place any weight on things like personal milestones, birthdays or playing against your former team, but hockey players are human, and more often than not people step up to prove something to themselves or others, or help their teammates achieve personal goals.
Advanced Stats
I’ll consider advanced stats for our purposes as anything that isn’t already tracked for DFS points that might actually affect them. So, standard stats would be shots, goals, assists and blocks, and advanced stats would be metrics that affect that. Not all good hockey players are fantasy relevant, and therefore many advanced stats aren’t a good predictor of DFS production. I will say that advanced stats strongly suggested that Tampa Bay were not nearly as good as their record suggested headed into the playoffs. Either way, it’s worth understanding these terms as they’re becoming part of the narrative, and while player and puck tracking will soon be the norm, you can garner a slight edge over the competition with a bit of manual work if you’re so inclined. In any case, none of these stats should be considered in a vacuum, and hockey isn’t a science in that you’ll accurately predict an outcome via advanced stats alone, so don’t go crazy looking for a pattern that probably isn’t there.
You can find all these stats (and much more) listed below at Corsica Hockey and Natural Stat Trick.
Shooting Percentage
Shooting percentage is predictive of whether on a player’s ice performance is sustainable. It’s most useful as a comparison to league and individual averages weighed against current performance to determine whether it’s an outlier. Simply, whether a player is slumping or over-performing.
Scoring Chances
These are shots taken where goals are likely to be scored, weighed based on where on the ice they’re taken from. It’s fallible, but it’s one of the strongest predictors currently available. If a player has a high shooting percentage but is also taking high danger shots, it stands to reason why they’re converting into goals. It’s worth noting when a line is generating high danger scoring opportunities without producing, as they’ll likely fly under the radar in the meantime.
Expected Goals FoAgainst (xGF/xGA)
Expected goals is a measurement of unblocked shots that register on net in the offensive zone. xGF/xGA doesn’t have a strong correlation with actual goals scored, which seems easily explained because it doesn’t take into account individual talent or scoring probability. While there’s a chance any puck thrown toward the net could lead to a goal, without taking into account the shot quality or where it’s generated from, I don’t place much weight on this personally.
Expected Save Percentage (xSv%)
This stat takes into account shot quality (though not shooter quality) and quantity and ranks the goaltender against the league average performance. Again, this isn’t necessarily a fair indicator of how well the goaltender performed. It is worth considering for how well the team’s defense has played in front of him though, so it can be used in conjunction with other stats when picking a goalie for the win and save upside.
Corsi and Fenwick
Corsi is likely the most recognizable name in advanced stats. This was devised to account for goaltender workload and adjusts for every time they have to be in position to make a save, so it takes into account shot attempts that are blocked or go wide of the net. It’s sister stat, Fenwick, is identical, aside excluding blocked shots. >50% Corsi/Fenwick indicates more shots on net than against. Neither take into account shot quality. Therefore, rather than using positive metrics to determine whether a team will score, I consider this a determining factor for diminishing the opposition from scoring, as they’ll possess the puck less often. This is especially worth considering for linematching.
Note that Corsi/Fenwick will be influenced by zone starts. A player that gets more faceoffs in the offensive zone is more likely to put pucks on net than they are to have shots against theirs, and vice versa. A player that has negative percentage and >50% offensive zone starts represents poor ice performance.
PDO/SPSV%
This statistic is nothing more than shooting percentage added to the save percentage. Since this will always total 100% league-wide, variance higher than 100 supposedly indicates luck, or that a team is not as good as they seem, and anything lower indicates they may be better than they appear. Though this stat supposedly measures luck it can also indicate a significant skill gap (Kucherov and Matthews are dominant in this category). A line generating many high danger scoring chances without conversion should have a low PDO that regresses to the mean.
There are more advanced stats available than these, as well as derivatives of each, though I think this is enough of an overview for daily fantasy purposes. If there’s something you’ve found to be useful though, feel free to drop it in the comments.
Lineup Construction
Now that you have narrowed down your chosen lines based on which teams you want to target and have a handful of goaltenders and defensemen/utility players selected, you’re ready to construct your lineups.
This will likely be a very individual process based on system comfortability and how many entries you’re submitting. The default will be simply to load the corresponding app or website and do everything entirely on your device or browser, if not supplementing with pen and paper. Perfectly acceptable. However, this would be both cumbersome and time consuming for MME, so there’s also a bulk upload option available with .csv spreadsheets. This might be the approach you take if you’re using an optimizer too.
Optimizers
Free optimizers are basically designed to squeeze out every dollar per average point production or projection, which is very much not what I prefer to build my lineups on. Though there are better options if you’re willing to shell out some money, I don’t play enough volume to warrant a subscription and prefer a more hands-on approach anyway. I would highly recommend checking out Linestar though. I am not affiliated with them in any way, but they seem under-recognized in the market and are easily the best optimizer available for hockey in my opinion, utilizing a lot of the criteria I’ve mentioned here, including historical data, stacking and advanced stats, etc. which many other optimizers omit. There’s also an option for a brief trial based on ad views.
Line Stacker
I personally use a custom line stacker that I hobbled together with spreadsheets and the downloadable .csv files from Draftkings and Fanduel. You can access it here along with the basic instructions for how it works. Someone always comes along and messes it up somehow, so I would recommend downloading it to your desktop and using Excel to play around with it.
Late Night Swaps
Rosters lock when the first game of the night is slated to begin. If there are games on your slate starting later than that, keep in mind that changes can and do happen. Check for last minute line changes or which goaltender takes the ice even if things seemed certain at the morning skate. The worst thing that can happen is watching your first place entry plummet because it was a late reveal that someone has the flu and isn’t on the bench.
Additional Resources
Breadispain’s FREE Fanduel and Draftkings Line Stacker v1.1: My own hobbled together line-stacking tool for up to 24 lines. I don't know of a similar tool available right now and I find it handier than an optimizer. There’s also a rudimentary salary comparison tool between Draftkings and Fanduel implemented if that interests you.
ShrpSports: See how well teams have performed against each other historically.
CBC Sports: maybe it’s because I’m Canadian, but I think the CBC does the best overview of the slate with easy access to the latest game data.
Daily Faceoff: Your best source for lineups, injury news and starting goaltender information.
Daily Fantasy Nerd: I use this daily for an overview of who’s hot/cold in the last five games for shots on goal, ice time and points, though it’s worth making a deeper dive to see whether those points came from a single outlier game.
Corsica Hockey and Natural Stat Trick: I use both of these sites for advanced stats, and occasionally the latter for line-matching data and post-game analysis.
Linestar: Linestar comes closest to developing a DFS tool that actually correlates with how I build my lineups. They offer everything from analysis on value plays, recent performance in varying metrics, historical data vs opponent, change in salary, salary disparity between platforms, and much more.
Results DB: see the best and optimal lineups from previous nights and who came out ahead.
Awesemo, Rotogrinders and DFS Army: Since these are the more popular sites, I tend to review their postings and livestreams when time permits on the big slates for anything I might’ve overlooked and to get a better idea of where other people might be targeting. I personally place more weight on boggslite and Homercles, for whatever that’s worth to you.
Summary
It’s my opinion that Vegas odds and expert predictions should be used as a guide for chalk more than what you should target. It won’t take research to determine that good players with ideal linemates against weak opponents are more likely to score. Don’t ignore narrative games and historical performances. Advanced stats can be both helpful and distracting. Ideally you’ll always stack two or more players who are correlated on the powerplay with one or both of your defensemen, on teams with high GF/G and/or PP%, against teams with low CF% and/or a goaltender with high GAA, ideally with a low PK%. Consider whether these players have been under or overperforming and have any chemistry together. Players who shoot more often increase their point floor and probability to score. It’s advantageous to be on home ice for linematching but it’s rarely a dealbreaker. Round this out with a goaltender with a high expected SA/G and low GAA that fits within your salary constraints. Alternatively, build from the goaltender out or just hamfist whomever works.
And that’s always easier said than done.
Best of luck.
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NHL DFS Tuesday 11/12/19 - 9 Game Slate

Disclaimer: I don’t have the time to update this after I’ve submitted anymore, so make sure the lines are still together and there aren’t any late injuries/scratches/etc. If you reach me afterward, I’ll be replying via mobile.
I’m still kicking myself a bit for my Saturday picks. We had some company all day and I knew I wouldn’t have a chance for any changes, so I bet conservatively. I had all the right players (Nilsson, Makar, Weber) and lines (WSH2, STL2) but I’d stacked them with only the Hawks instead of each other as well like I normally would :( That’ll teach me to have a social life.
Tonight’s slate is quite manageable with only nine games. Fanduel has their $7 Super Crossbar going on, which means the Breakaway has terrible returns. I’d throw my money on Draftkings tonight, especially the $4 Forecheck with $5k to first that’s capped at 20 entries. You’re much more likely to get a decent win there with 20 lineups than $77 thrown at the Super Crossbar.
[email protected]: The Bruins at home should see BOS1 ownership near 20% on pretty much any slate. With fewer games to target, that seems like a reasonable expectation tonight. The team has cooled off a bit but they’re still one of the best teams in the league, especially on home ice. I’m hoping we see good Bob tonight and the Panthers stay out of the penalty box, where Pastrnak has collected a lot of his points. In seven of eight games, Florida has managed a floor of three goals against the Bruins. There’s always a high chance most of those goals are coming from FLA1, which is a far cheaper line than BOS1. Basically, there’s no reason not to pay up for both of these lines on a smaller slate, but obviously there’s no possibility of stacking both of them together without dropping Dadonov and Bergeron and finding some deep punts.
[email protected]: I still cringe whenever the Habs face the Blue Jackets after that 10-0 game three years ago, but there’s really no reason for it. Still, I was downtown Montreal yesterday and they were firing off cannons every minute for a Remembrance Day ceremony, and I’m pretty sure it triggered some PTSD. Elvis is in net, Columbus is on the road… if Weber is playing, he seems like a lot across the board. If he’s not, things are looking good for Petry. Lines haven’t been confirmed yet, but I would imagine Tatar takes his spot back on the top line and Drouin moves back down to L2. If not, I’d be hard pressed to do much linestacking here. There could be an argument to take Price, but he’s going to need to face a decent amount of rubber and/or get the shutout to really pay off his salary on either site. I have no interest in CBJ stacks, but you will certainly find some value there.
[email protected]: The Pens offense will either be consolidated to Malkin or all over the place tonight with Crosby out. Again, still waiting to see how the lines shake out in his absence. The Rangers powerplay has been surprisingly good, but so has the Pens PK. Plus, DeAngelo’s price tag is going up, I’m not high on these lines in general, and the Pens basically ruined most of my lineups last week, so I don’t feel very comfortable picking on them. That probably means I’ll fade New York and you’ll win a GPP on the backs of the Rangers tonight.
ARI(b)@STL: The Coyotes are on a back-to-back on the road and the Blues have had a seriously great run heading into tonight’s contest. Historically the Blues have choked more often than not against the Coyotes, but that was back when they had Allen in net and Arizona were the underdogs, so it seems less likely that happens tonight. I like O’Reilly and Perron as a mini-stack pretty much any night, with Pietrangelo whenever it feels appropriate. Outside of a Chychrun punt, I’m not high on much else here.
[email protected]: For the first time in forever, the Avs are finding depth scoring in the wake of the Landeskog and Rantanen injuries. Even with Hellebuyck performing extremely well lately, and he definitely has to with the completely depleted defensive group, I’m still on at least Makar tonight. This seems like a sneaky one tonight because Grubauer is still out and Hellebuyck could stand on his head, but we could definitely see a wonky hat trick come from out of nowhere. Probably just Makar for me, but I’m really not sure about this one.
[email protected]: The Preds still technically have the best offense in the league if you average over the season, though they’re slowly coming back to Earth. I’m not sure I’m putting much stock in any historical data here either, as the Canucks are the same team they were with the Sedins, and so on. For what it’s worth, Nashville has had a floor of three with a ceiling of seven goals against the Canucks over the last two seasons, and I have this stupid statistic stuck in my head from last season where Forsberg happens to score more often on Tuesdays (which is really reaching)... What I’m trying to say is that NSH1 has been reunited and will likely go underowned with the potential to go off tonight. It’s not often you get full powerplay correlation for the Predators this season. I like that Baertschi is on the top line and there is a chance we see some top six goals from the Canucks, especially because Rinne either seems to serve up Vezina performances or implode. Vancouver has had the highest xGF% so far this month and aren’t really having much trouble scoring either. I think I like this more for VAN1 upside as a value stack or NSH1 upside with lower ownership than I’m actually targeting anything here, but this game defnitely has potential for goals.
[email protected]: This isn’t a sexy matchup by any means with two bottom dwellers facing each other, but the Kings are still taking a lot of shots with the lowest xGF% in the league, and probably have a good 70% chance of losing this one even on home ice, so Dubnyk could be in play tonight if you’re not particularly risk averse. He’s certainly cheap enough on Fanduel. The top six from the Wild also offer some value but there’s no overlap with the powerplay and there’s always a chance the defense will step up and steal your points tonight, so that’s a tricky one. It’s quite impressive that I actually have less interest in ever playing the Kings than the Senators right now. There might be one night they happen to have the upside to win you a GPP, and LAK2 is basically free on Draftkings with full powerplay correlation, but it still feels gross to even consider it.
[email protected]: For me, this is projected to be the lowest scoring game on the slate. Gibson at home against the Red Wings should still see decent ownership, even though Detroit has managed to cause a few upsets lately. Fabbri came into the lineup with something to prove and has so far delivered. He could make a solid punt. DET1 is still together and they always have potential for a big game. ANA2 has full powerplay correlation, though they’ve cooled off a bit. It’s most likely this is only a target for goaltending and a punt (Kase, Fabbri) but anything can happen.
[email protected]: If we get to this point in the evening and feel like we’re securely in the money, there’s a good chance this game is going to ruin your night. It’s all going to depend on what Sharks team we see though. McDavid and Draisaitl are a given on the smaller slate, however you want to fit them in. Couture and Karlsson did a lot of damage against the Oilers last season, and SJS1 has full correlation with him tonight. I’m not sure you really want to fade Hertl either, and even Goodrow has been doing more damage than Labanc recently. I’m scratching my head a little bit on this one because this is the sort of game where I’d expect the Sharks to show up, but the Oilers have also (somehow) had a fantastic penalty kill and that’s where I’d expect San Jose to deal the most damage. The Sharks have had a solid 58% Corsi for while the Oilers have had around 47% this month at five on five, but they’ve also given up scarcely more than a goal a game. What the Oilers lack in overall Corsi, they’ve made up for in high danger scoring chances (thanks pretty much entirely to McDavid and Draisaitl). I’m definitely finding it difficult to trust anything right now and the results of this game will be interesting to see if they’re an aberration or confirmation of what should be reliable data. San Jose has to be due for some positive regression and I’m hoping for them to show up tonight.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Probable chalk: BOS1, EDM1, MTL
Top pivots: SJS1, FLA1, NSH1
Value lines: VAN1, STL2, MIN
Defense: Makar, WebePetry, Wild and Preds defensemen in general (Spurgeon/Hunt, Josi/Ellis/Ekholm, etc.), Grzelcyk (quarterbacking in Krug's absence)
“Safest” goaltenders: Dubnyk, Price, Gibson
If you’re new to DFS, check out My 2019-2020 NHL DFS Primer.
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NHL Tuesday: 7 Game Slate

Disclaimer: I don’t have the time to update this after I’ve submitted anymore, so make sure the lines are still together and there aren’t any late injuries/scratches/etc. If you reach me afterward, I’ll be replying via mobile.
Saturday was a really sad night for me. I loaded up on Binnington hoping for shot upside from the Habs. Betting against the Habs is already difficult enough for me, but he got absolutely torched and MTL1 ended up being the best line on the slate with barely 1% ownership. Threw away all my winnings from the previous night. Oops.
Happy belated Thanksgiving to my fellow Canadians, and Columbus Day to my neighbors down south.
Matchups
I unfortunately don’t have a lot of time for today’s slate, but at least it’s a smaller one. Pretty much anyone other than the Wild or Coyotes is projected to score at least three goals tonight, so it should be a fun one.
[email protected]: Even with the Leafs and Jets on the slate, if Tampa’s top line stays loaded they should see decent ownership tonight on a smaller slate. If you’re looking at a powerplay stack, Maroon is still listed on PP1, though note that Cirelli seemed to pick up all the additional points when they destroyed the Leafs despite that. Not sure if it was an alternating role or what. The Habs penalty kill has only been 65% so far this season. The Lightning advanced stats are among the worst on the slate. I’m going to have a few shares of MTL1 and MTL3 tonight and hope the hockey gods forgive and repay me for the weekend blunder. Both have had solid performances so far this season. MTL3 is particularly accessible on Draftkings tonight.
MIN(b)@TOR: The Wild are the only team on a back-to-back tonight, though they did play yesterday afternoon in Ontario, so I’m not sure that will really affect their game much. Also: not sure it will matter, as the Leafs offense has been basically unstoppable. Even on a small slate I don’t think MIN1 will see much ownership tonight, so you could take a stab there for upside while what little offense is left on this team is saddled up with one another. There’s also a chance Dumba, Spurgeon or Suter could do some damage from the point, but I’m not putting much stock on it. It’s the Leafs top six or a powerplay stack here for me tonight. You could also make a case for Andersen in net, though he’s expensive in both formats.
[email protected]: On paper, this is an interesting matchup. The Jets have the worst expected goals against on the slate and have been fairly porous without, well, their entire defensive core from last season. On the other hand, the Coyotes have the worst goal production so far this season. The Jets also have historically dominated the Coyotes with a 5-1 record over the last two seasons. I want to say that makes Hellebuyck the best value goalie on the slate, but it’s definitely with reservations. The Coyotes aren’t even cheap enough for me to want to punt them with some of the higher priced lines tonight. Not only are they barely scoring, there isn’t even one line that seems to be shooting much. I’m off them entirely until they figure things out. The top six for the Jets are in play, though I don’t expect Copp to really light the lamp if you want to keep him off L2, though he does add value if you need it. Connor has been averaging almost five shots a game since the start of the season and is bound to have a big night soon. If you need a one off from this game for cash, he also gets powerplay correlation and should have a solid floor. Pionk and Morrissey are getting closer to parity, so take your pick there if you want a four man stack.
[email protected]: Another matchup that’s difficult to analyze tonight. In games where Hart was in net, the Flames were basically stifled. In games where Hart wasn’t in net, however, they scored at least six. They’ve decided the Oilers are the bigger scoring threat and are throwing Elliott in the cage tonight. If people do tend to gravitate to the Leafs tonight, I honestly prefer this matchup. CGY1 + Tkachuk or Giordano, no use messing around with depth tonight, especially because there literally hasn’t been a goal from a forward other than those mentioned yet this season. PHI2 has been the better line for the Flyers so far this season, and will likely fly under the radar because Konecny and Lindblom don’t have the name recognition of Giroux and Voracek. It’s not a cheap line, but it’s worth considering. Pair with Provorov for a powerplay stack.
[email protected]: Outside the two main lines, there are tons of guys you hardly see mentioned having a great start to the season. Dekeyser is almost a point per game with solid peripherals. Pearson is leading the team in shots and almost a point per game as well. Both of these are quite unsustainable, mind you, but they’re cheap enough for now. Tanev is priced at floor on Fanduel and has solid back to back games if you need a punt. This is a risky fade for me tonight, but I’m hoping the Canucks can contain DET1 on home ice and Pettersson/Boeser stay quiet for now.
[email protected]: Somehow the Preds are leading the league in goals right now, though expect that to dip as they’re near the bottom of this slate for expected goals delivered and it’s unlikely they dominate the Golden Knights at home. Still, they wanted to improve on goalscoring this offseason, and so far it’s working. You could make a case for the top four defense and top nine forwards if you like this matchup, though I’d likely stick to NSH2 and Josi/Ekholm/Ellis. Stastny delivered a four point performance after being reunited with Stone and Pacioretty, and offers about the same value Glass did with higher upside. Marchessault only has one goal on his last 19 shots. Like Kyle Connor, he should be due for some positive regression soon. Perhaps tonight, as the Preds are also giving up over four goals a game right now. The Vegas powerplay has been great at 30% so far, against the Preds PK that’s at only 71%.
[email protected]: If the advanced stats are to be believed, the Kings have had incredibly strong possession play and extremely poor goaltending. These two teams have the highest expected goals, shots and Corsi on the slate and seem to be rather weak between the pipes. I love the Canes as a team but they’re so awkward for DFS purposes because they often score by committee. For that reason, I prefer to use them as plugs to fill holes than linestacking most of the time, with Haula, Svechnikov and/or Hamilton wedging themselves in there right now. CAR1 could definitely break out here though. Outside Kovalchuk and Toffoli as one offs, LAK1 and Doughty would be the main pick here. I know nothing about Sean Walker, but dude has five points in his last five games with fifteen shots. Undrafted standout or early season fluke? I have no idea. He’s playing decent minutes and is getting points at 5v5 though.
TL;DR: I don’t feel like I have a particularly strong read on this one. Probable chalk are the Leafs, based on Vegas odds and people loving the Leafs, though the Flames offense is more predictable and also have a great matchup if they can get it together. There are other big lines on the slate, such as TBL1 and WPG1, and to a lesser extent DET1, VGK2, NSH2, VAN1 and MTL1. That’s not to discount the Canes or Kings. WPG2 and VGK1 are also “due” for some positive regression. MIN1, MTL3 and PHI2 deserve an honorable mention. Yes, I am generally mentioning everybody. There are more goals than ever right now ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
If you’re new to DFS, check out My 2019-2020 NHL DFS Primer.
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NHL Thursday 8 Game Slate

Disclaimer: I don’t have the time to update this after I’ve submitted anymore, so make sure the lines are still together and there aren’t any late injuries/scratches/etc. If you reach me afterward, I’ll be replying via mobile.
Last Night Review
I believe we saw this at the beginning of last season as well, but there wasn’t a lot of full line correlation for scoring last night. Lots of two man stacks or defensemen would’ve set you apart more than usual, even for a small slate. I happily rode Edler in all my Draftkings picks and he managed to hit both the block and SOG bonuses for best defenseman on the slate. I decided to go with Barrie over Rielly just to differentiate with my Leafs stacks, and it turns out it really didn’t matter because both were viable options. Anderson had almost exactly the same DFS points on Draftkings as Andersen due to the difference in shot volume and with the new bonus. The thing that really bit me was otherwise fading the Oilers/Canucks game. Pearson came up huge with an 11 shot night and Draisaitl had three points. I had a ton of Markstrom, assuming the Canucks would be on the 3-2 side of that win. Even WSH2 panned out for me apart from that. Overall that would’ve turned out a lot better had Matthews not scored a second goal last night and Markstrom got the W. I knew going into it that I had overcommitted, but that was pretty much a given on opening night. Nothing hit high enough for a large win, think I dropped $30 overall.
A few people messaged me and said they doubled their money, and nearly everyone who entered their first contest (ever!) profited. Nicely done. Looking forward to winning my money back and then some tonight :)
Contests
Draftkings is doing another $10 tournament with $25k top prize, but I’m only doing the two single entries there ($5 and $12) with a handful of entries in the Fanduel Breakaway. $20k vs $25k, much cheaper entry fee.
Matchups
[email protected]: The Lightning won six straight contests and have only scored less than five in one of those matchups. It’s unlikely they’ll hit the same ceiling tonight with Bobrovsky in net and Point out of the lineup, but TBL1 is enticing as always, especially without too many of the loaded lines on the slate tonight. One of the other big lines being FLA1: Barkov and Huberdeau are debatably the best duo for cash games on any given slate and keep improving each year. Though this isn’t an ideal matchup for them, that also means they might go overlooked tonight.
[email protected]: The Rangers have a very light schedule to start the season and should be looking to have a very good home opener. With one of the most improved rosters in the offseason and the addition of Trouba for the revenge narrative, I might take a stab at the top two lines there tonight, though it’s worth noting the Rangers have not had much success scoring against the Jets in general. Morrissey should see huge minutes tonight with Byfuglien still deciding his future, and could easily hit value through peripherals and picking up a point or two here. I’m not confident Ehlers will stay on the top line if things don’t go well early, so while WPG1 has the potential to bash home a 3+ points tonight, I’m a little scared off it right now. Connor also gets the powerplay correlation over Ehlers, if you wanted to gamble on him as LW instead. You might also consider Pionk at only $3700/$3900 (the other side of the revenge narrative, he also comes with some offensive upside).
[email protected]: As a Habs fan, I find it incredible that Galchenyuk didn’t secure a PP1 spot after Kessel left, seeing that his greatest strength with us was one timers from the dot. Perhaps in time. Tanev on the second line isn’t exactly sexy, though it does bring the total price down a lot. PIT1 would be the obvious target here with full powerplay correlation, with either Schultz (who tends to rotate in and is a lot cheaper) or Letang. Splitting up Skinner and Eichel likely won’t last very long, though Olofsson is going to drop the pricetag of BUF1 a lot tonight and they’re seeing top powerplay duties. It looks like Dahlin will be starting on PP1 with them, but Ristolainen probably has a safer floor right now if you’re targeting the Pens for cash games, especially on Draftkings. Colin Miller could also provide some offense as a punt. As much as the Sabres seem to be getting better every year, there seems something seriously wrong with that locker room and it hasn’t translated sustainably to the ice. The Pens have scored a floor of three here over the last two seasons, so if I had to choose one, I’d personally go with PIT1 over BUF1 here, especially on home ice.
[email protected]: I don’t think a lot of people will be looking at this game, but I only see two possible outcomes here. Both of these teams love to shoot and rarely convert on their xGF%, so Price or Mrazek could easily be one of, if not the top goaltender tonight. On the flipside, the Habs have historically had Mrazek’s number, including lighting him up for 10 goals with the Red Wings. I wouldn’t put much stock in that though. There’s a lot of depth scoring here as well, making it harder to pinpoint where the goals are coming from. MTL1 would be the safest pick, always a strong 5v5 contender on home ice, or CAR2, simply for value and the greater likelihood of full line correlation should they score. Rookies seem to have got a huge salary bump this year, with Kotkaniemi unreasonably over $5k like Kakko. Gardiner and Petry have reasonable value in the $4kish mark.
[email protected]: The Preds have won five close games in a row. I think a lot of people will overlook this game, but Josi’s value should increase now that he’s the #1 PP guy with Subban gone and Rinne might be a safe bet for cash. Ekholm isn’t a flashy player, but he’s insultingly cheap on Draftkings for $3600 if you need a punt play there. NSH2 with Forsberg/Duchene/Granlund could really light it up if they find some early chemistry. On the Wild side, well, Dumba’s back, that’s a major boon to their offense, but they’ve questionably traded away so many of their good pieces (Niederreiter, Coyle, the aforementioned Granlund) that their scoring threats are consolidated to the top line, I suppose. It’s a reach but they’ll see low ownership if they do manage to go off.
[email protected]: From what I’ve gathered listening to fantasy league podcasts during the offseason, it’s that people are really high on Ben Bishop this season. Hopefully that keeps people off BOS1 tonight, because I always love the opportunity for those guys going under-owned. This is projected as being the lowest scoring total by all the metrics I follow, so I might also just look here for goaltenders. I’m not sure if I like Radulov being bumped off DAL1. I don’t really feel like I’ve got a good read on this one. There’s serious offensive potential here that could also just be squelched by tight defenses.
[email protected]: If you’re riding into the 10pm slot feeling good about your place in the ladder, this game could be a rude awakening. It goes without saying that COL1 on home ice could break the slate regardless of competition. Makar is priced a bit higher than I’d like but he’s definitely in a good spot. I like that Kadri is getting a chance on the first powerplay unit too, just like when he was with the Leafs. On the other side, CGY1 + Giordano also aren’t coming cheap. I think I might take a look at CGY2 correlated with Gio tonight in a few places.
[email protected]: This isn’t exactly a glamorous matchup, though I’m sure a few people will be intrigued by the Kessel addition or look here for value in general. There’s also a case for Kuemper or Gibson, as either goaltender won’t break the bank and could steal the show.
Full disclosure: I’m withholding a wee bit of information today because a) you’ll think I’m nuts anyway and b) if it pans out, I want to be the one that benefits from it :P
If you’re new to DFS, check out My 2019-2020 NHL DFS Primer.
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OFFSEASON DIGEST/SEASON PREVIEW

It’s that time of the year again. Maybe you took a few months off from thinking about hockey and might have missed a few things this offseason. Maybe you’re a fellow miserable Steelers fan trying to switch gears and think of something else. Maybe you just want a 10 min refresher. In any case, I thought I’d make a little cliff notes recap of everything involving the Pens and the NHL from this offseason and sprinkled a few takes in at the end. But let’s start with the one thing that nobody missed...
Phil Kessel to Arizona for Alex Galchenyuk and Pierre-Olivier Joseph - The deal also sent prospect Dane Birks and a 4th to the Coyotes. We will probably never know the full extent of the reported tension Kessel had with Sullivan or Malkin and how much of that was overblown, but it was pretty clear that things got to a point where there was no way around moving him. And considering those circumstances, Rutherford did about as well as he could.
Galchenyuk is coming off a 19/22/41 season in 72 games, but has several 50+ seasons under his belt. Way too early reports out of camp suggest he’s taking some drills with Malkin and he’s also a strong candidate to slide into Kessel’s place on the top power play unit. Joseph is a 2017 first round pick who possesses great skating, passing, and power play experience. The only consistent criticism of him through his whole juniors career is that for some inexplicable reason he can’t put on weight. It will be a situation worth monitoring as he begins his pro career in WBS.
Olli Maatta to Blackhawks for Dominik Kahun - After being healthy scratched for the last 3 games of the Islanders series, the writing was on the wall that Maatta could be the odd man out. In return, the Pens get a versatile (albeit undersized) 24 year old winger in Kahun who is coming off a 13/24/37 stat line in his first NHL season. Think “Dominik Simon with better hands” and that should give you a benchmark of how Kahun plays. He figures to start the year in a bottom 6 role but I have a sneaking suspicion that it might not be long before he gets a look with Crosby and Guentzel. His game seems to fit the mold of what Sullivan likes in that role.
Penguins Sign Brandon Tanev - Ok, lets get the obvious out of the way. The 6 year 3.5M AAV contract is not good. You never want to tether yourself to a bottom 6er for that long, especially when you’re strapped on the cap. But with all that being said, I actually really like the fit here. Tanev is coming off a career high 14/15/29 season where he was 3rd in the league in hits (278) and 3rd among forwards in blocked shots (81). Most importantly, he wins puck battles, which is something the Penguins sorely lacked while being eviscerated by the Islanders last spring.
RFA Roundup - The Penguins took care of business with their 4 main RFAs: Marcus Pettersson (1 x 875k), Teddy Blueger (2 x 750k), Zach Aston-Reese (2 x 1M) and Jusso Riikola (1 x 800k). The Penguins would have liked to get a longer term deal done with Pettersson but it was simply not feasible given their cap situation. Blueger and ZAR return looking to claim every night spots in the lineup, which Riikola showed enough promise in an up and down first North American season to warrant another look. AHL tweeners Adam Johnson and Joseph Blandisi also return on RFA deals.
Odds and Ends - 7th defenseman Chad Ruhwedel returns for another year, as do AHL defensemen Zach Trotman and Kevin Czuzman (2 years each). Familiar face David Warsofsky also returns for his 3rd stint with the Pens organization on a 2 year deal. On the forward side, AHLers Thomas Di Pauli and Ben Sexton return on 1 year deals while Andrew Agozzino comes over from the Avs organization as well. Departing the organization are Garrett Wilson (TOR), Ethan Prow (FLA), Chris Wideman (ANA), Chris Summers, and Jimmy Hayes.
Cullen Retires - Matt Cullen also returns to the Penguins, but this time he won’t be on the ice. Shortly after announcing his retirement, Cullen immediately rejoined the Penguins in a front office player development role. Given his popularity within the organization as a mentor for younger players, it’s a pretty safe bet to think he’ll excel in this new role.
Depth Goaltending - The Penguins top tandem of Murray and DeSmith remains unchanged. Tristan Jarry is back as well, but after a “just ok” 2.66 GAA and .915% season in WBS, he has some competition now. The Penguins added 22 year old Finnish goalie Emil Larmi, who backstopped his team to a championship in Finland’s top league with a stellar 18 game playoff run that saw him go 12-6 with a 1.72 GAA and .932 save percentage. Alex D’Orio also begins his first pro season, and although he struggled last year in the QMJHL, he’s coming off a great prospect camp and figures to be in the mix for playing time as well. WBS also added 9 year vet Dustin Tokarski on an AHL contract, who most recently served as backup for the Calder Cup winning Charlotte Checkers.
All of this really seems like writing on the wall that Jarry’s time with the organization could be numbered. He doesn’t have much standalone trade value, but could be an intriguing piece of a larger deal should one materialize.
Mike Vellucci - The least talked about but potentially incredibly significant organizational shakeup happened in WBS. After Clark Donatelli resigned as coach, the Penguins swooped in and hired Vellucci, who is coming off a season in which he just guided the Checkers to a Calder Cup. Then, when Billy Guerin left to become the Wild’s GM, Vellucci also assumed his responsibilities as the GM of the WBS Penguins. While this “double duty” may at first seem odd, it’s nothing new for Vellucci who served as assistant GM for the Hurricanes for 5 years and the last 2 of those as the Checkers head coach.
Guerin and Donatelli left WBS in a state of disarray, and it’s hard to think of anyone better suited to turn things around than the man who played an important role in both building the Hurricanes back into playoff contenders and building the Checkers into AHL champions. The only major question here is why Vellucci, whose name would surely have been in the mix soon for both NHL coaching and front office jobs, would want to make a lateral move like he did. Maybe he’s just loyal to his old boss Rutherford. Maybe he’s preparing to be his eventual successor? Maybe he feels Sullivan’s seat is getting hot? All fair questions but whatever his reason may be this is a huge get for the organization.
Sullivan Extended - While the Vellucci hire may have raised some suspicions about the Penguins confidence in Sullivan, Rutherford did his best to quiet those when he gave the 2 time champion coach a 3 year extension. No problems with this. Coaches salaries don’t count against the cap, so there was no reason to string things along.
Draft Recap - The Penguins actually made a first round selection this year, taking 6’2’’ 207 lbs power forward Samuel Poulin. Poulin projects as a “safe floor” pick with nice size and playmaking ability, although he does need to improve his skating. If safe and solid doesn’t get you excited, then maybe 3rd round pick Nathan Legare will. Possessing one of the best pure shots of the draft class and nice size and speed to match, Legare could develop into quite the player if he can improve on his ability to create for himself rather than just rely on the setup. But seriously, this guy shoots bombs and I suspect he will be a strong candidate to become the “hype bunny” of the preseason. The Pens also added big 6’3’’ defensive-minded forward Judd Caulfield out of USA development team in the 5th, and a pair of Finns in the 7th with selections of overage but speedy forward Valtteri Puustinen and defenseman Santeri Airola.
Prospect Pipeline - All of the above selections will return to their respective junior teams, but WBS will also be seeing an intriguing influx of first year pros. PO Joseph may have been the prized acquisition of the offseason, but it was his playing partner John Marino that was getting the buzz out of prospect camp. The Penguins acquired Marino from the Oilers for a 6th, and he projects to be a “jack of all trades” defenseman who doesn’t really have any overwhelming strengths or weaknesses to his game. He should make a splash in WBS. The Penguins also signed 27 year old Finn Oula Palve, who may not be a prospect anymore but will be treated as such as he enters his first North American season. Palve was a very productive player his past few seasons, although some of that may have been due to being line mates with Kappo Kakko.
The Pens also have an intriguing crop of home grown first year pros ready to make their WBS debuts. Most notable of those is 2017 preseason darling Jordy Bellerive, who is now a full year removed from his scary burn injuries and looking to bring his intriguing blend of speed and playmaking to the pro level. Joining him will be Justin Almeida, who is AHL eligible despite being drafted only last year as an overager. Almeida was an absolute scoring machine in the WHL, posting 111 points in 64 games last season. Kasper Bjorkqvist is perhaps the least flashy but also the most pro ready of the new crop, and while he may not have a history of scoring a lot, he’s a responsible 2 way forward with the kind of freakish conditioning routines that rival those of Kris Letang. Speedy Slovenian forward Jan Drozg will also be likely turning pro, as will defenseman Niclas Almari, who would have likely been the consensus choice for 2nd best D prospect behind Addison before the additions of Joseph and Marino. It will be interesting to see how those 3 are able to carve out playing time in WBS among the veterans.
AROUND THE METRO
Rangers- The clear “on paper” winners of the offseason, the Rangers kicked the rebuild into overdrive and went for broke. They signed Artemi Panarin to a massive 7 year 11.6M AAV contract, traded for Jacob Trouba, traded for prized Hurricanes defenseman prospect Adam Fox, and drafted young Finnish superstar Kappo Kakko with the 2nd overall pick. While it’s unclear just how all these pieces will fit together, this influx of talent at least gives them a seat at the table. How far they can go likely depends on the development of young goalie Alexander Georgiev and whether or not Henrik has any juice left in the tank.
Devils - If the Rangers were the offseason winners, Ray Shero’s Devils come a close 2nd. They drafted Jack Hughes #1 overall, made a blockbuster trade with the Preds for PK Subban, and won the trade sweepstakes for heavily hyped Russian defenseman Nikita Gusev. Like the Rangers, these additions put them in the conversation, but they have some serious question marks in net. Expect them to roll with a tandem of the promising but inconsistent young Mackenzie Blackwood and the oft-injured Cory Schneider.
Blue Jackets - For as good as things went for the Rangers and Devils, that’s as bad as things are in Columbus. After pushing all their chips to the middle last year, CBJ has parted ways with Panarin, Sergei Bobrovsky, Matt Duchene, and Ryan Dzingel and didn’t really bring in much aside from Gustav Nyqvist to replace that production. It’s back to the drawing board for these guys.
Hurricanes - They dodged a major bullet when they were able to match Montreal’s offer sheet for Aho, but continued to stay busy throughout the offseason. The Canes swapped out Calvin de Haan, Michael Ferland, and the retiring Justin Williams for Jake Gardiner (on a steal of a contract), Erik Haula, and Ryan Dzingel. They are also actively shopping Justin Faulk. It’s hard to say yet whether they got better or worse with this shuffle of players, but they’ll look to avoid statistical regression after their unexpected run to the ECF.
Capitals - Not too much change for Todd Reirden’s second year behind the bench. They’ll look to replace the departures of Brett Connolly, Andre Burakovsky, and Brooks Orpik largely from within, but the core remains intact, and we should expect to see more or less the same looking team as we have been accustomed to the past few years.
Islanders - Another team that (after losing the Panarin sweepstakes) didn’t have a lot of movement in the offseason, save for a potentially very significant development between the pipes. Robin Lehner is out after his breakthrough season last year, and replacing him will be journeyman vet Semyon Varlamov, who should figure to split about a 50-50 workload with Greiss. It’s puzzling that the team didn’t make a stronger effort to keep Lehner after he played so well for them last year, but they’ve proven before that they are willing to part with top talent and rely on their system to carry them.
Flyers - The biggest change here comes behind the bench, as Alain Vigneault returns to the metro division along with a pair of former Penguins Michel Therrien and Mike Yeo as assistants. They also made one splash signing in Kevin Hayes, who received a whopping 7 year 7.14M AAV deal. They also added Matt Niskanen, swapping Radko Gudas to the Caps. I feel like we already know what these guys are gonna be. They’ll go on some crazy mid season win streak, come crashing back to earth by losing 10 out of 12, and ultimately settle somewhere around the playoff bubble.
Make no mistake about it. This division is the Thunderdome now. With everyone but the Jackets projected to be in the playoff mix, there will be some talented teams that will miss the playoffs. Gone are the days where a second round Pens-Caps series is a foregone conclusion, and a slow start simply cannot be afforded in this suddenly wide open division.
Rest Of The East - In the Atlantic Division, the big 3 seem poised to continue their dominance. The Conference Champion Bruins remain mostly unchanged because, hey, if it’s not broke than don’t fix it. Coming off their historic regular season and inexplicable playoff exit, the Lightning mostly stood pat as well, making a minor alteration in the defense by bringing in Kevin Shattenkirk to replace Anton Stralman. They also still have some business to take care of with star RFA Brayden Point, although that is expected to be done at some point. The Maple Leafs opened their pocket books to give Marner his massive extension, and they now have a staggering 40.5M of cap space allocated to their top 4 players. They also had some considerable overturn with the rest of the roster, bringing in defenseman Tyson Barrie and forward Alex Kerfoot in a trade that sent Nazem Kadri to Colorado, and also adding Cody Ceci from the Sens.
The biggest movers in this division were the Panthers, who may have missed out on Panarin but made the biggest coaching hire in landing 3 time cup winner Joel Quenneville. Joining him will be Bobrovsky, Stralman, and Connolly. Does this get them closer to the top 3 in the division? Yes. Does it get them all the way there? Probably not. After whiffing on the offer sheet with Aho, the Canadiens came up empty handed with pretty much everyone else too. The Red Wings biggest change comes in the front office, as they finally parted ways with Ken Holland and brought in franchise legend Steve Yzerman who is largely responsible for assembling the juggernaut in Tampa. Jason Botterill’s Sabres, on the other hand, find themselves searching for answers after having to sacrifice Phil Housley at coach and replace him with Ralph Krueger. They also stayed active, adding Colin Miller, Jimmy Vesey, Henri Jokiharju, and Marcus Johansson. These all, on paper at least, seem like pretty shrewd moves but another underperforming season could see Botterill’s seat getting red hot. And the Senators...well, let’s just say that’s still a train wreck.
The Wild Wild West - Defending champion Blues return largely intact after locking up their young stud goalie Binnington, and like Boston, why wouldn’t they? The biggest movers in the entire conference have to be the Stars, who added veteran star Joe Pavelski as well as high upside reclamation project Corey Perry to an already star studded top 6. The PK Subban era is over for the Predators, but they still made a splash in signing Matt Duchene, who joins a core of centers that already included Ryan Johansen, Kyle Turris, and Nick Bonino. The Avalanche were also very active, adding Burakovsky, Kadri, and Joonas Donskoi while losing Barrie as they look to take the next step towards becoming major players in the west. Most of the Jets offseason has revolved around the potentially concerning RFA stalemate with superstar Patrik Laine, but it’s worth noting that they lost Trouba as well. The Blackhawks look to infuse more youth into their core of forwards, but they got some needed insurance on the back end in Robin Lehner, who should join a tandem with the oft-injured Corey Crawford. And the Wild pretty much spun their wheels after the failed Kessel-Zucker trade, and ended up going with vet forward Mats Zuccarello.
In the Pacific, the top points finishing Flames remain mostly intact, although it seems now they have committed to young David Rittich between the pipes following the departure of Mike Smith. The Golden Knights nightmare cap situation forced them to offload Miller, Haula, and Gusev, but the core of the team remains the same and primed for another deep playoff run. The Sharks moved on from one face of the franchise in Pavelski, but locked up another when they gave Erik Karlsson a huge 8 year extension. The Coyotes showed that they believe they are ready to contend with the big Kessel trade, but did little else to improve their forward depth. The Canucks accelerated their rebuild with major veteran signings of Michael Ferland, JT Miller, and Tyler Myers, and when you combine these with their promising young core and the league’s thinnest division, they could be a sleeper playoff team this year. The Kings and Ducks continued their rebuilds with coaching changes, bringing on Todd McLellan and Dallas Eakins respectively. And the Oilers latest attempt to fix their issues involves James Neal and 37 year old Mike Smith, so expect them to once again go exactly as far as McDavid can carry them.
SEASON STORYLINES
Salary cap trade - The dirt cheap Pettersson contract allows the Penguins to go into the season cap compliant without having to make any major trades, but that doesn’t mean one still isn’t coming at some point. Ideally, you’d love to get Jack Johnson’s 3.25M off the books but that would involve another team actually agreeing to that, so the Pens may have to look elsewhere to open up some space. Bryan Rust is another popular name in these discussions, as the additions of Kahun and Tanev make his role a bit more crowded.
Schedule Difficulty - Once again the schedule maker did the Pens no favors, hitting them with 17 back to backs (tied for the most). In addition, 14 of their last 16 games of the season will come against metro division opponents (including all 4 against Carolina in the month of March) so expect everything to still be on the line deep into the year.
Sullivan’s System - While I don’t yet think Sullivan’s seat is hot (nor should it be), the Isles series exposed some glaring flaws that need to be addressed. The 2019 playoffs as a whole were a case study on how bigger, more structured teams are becoming increasingly effective in countering free-flowing speed and skill teams, and now it’s on teams like the Pens to adjust. The challenge for Sullivan will be finding a way to add some additional structure without suffocating the playmaking abilities of his best players.
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NHL DFS October 24, 2019 - 10 Game Slate

Disclaimer: I don’t have the time to update this after I’ve submitted anymore, so make sure the lines are still together and there aren’t any late injuries/scratches/etc. If you reach me afterward, I’ll be replying via mobile.
Tuesday’s slate was a decent one, though I’m pretty sure I cursed my goalies. Lehner and Hellebuyck faced a lot of shots but ended up losing their games. Kuemper got the W but barely broke a sweat. My longshot was MIN1 with Dubnyk and MIN2 went off with Dubnyk getting injured in the first when the Wild got a shutout. Outside going a little heavy on CHI2 with only Dach getting his first of the season, at least I don’t feel like the results were a total crapshoot, which is more than I can say for most of this season so far.
Matchups
Overview of Tonight's Slate
This is a pretty manageable ten game slate and I’m hoping some of the predictability from Tuesday carries forward tonight.
[email protected]: The Habs have not had a good time with the Sharks historically, being unable to beat them since a 2-0 victory in 2015 (after being shut out several times) and netting two or less in every game since. They have been outscored 17-6 over the last two seasons. Their penalty kill has been awful. Assuming SJS1 matches up with MTL1 (which has been a solid possession line), SJS2 with full powerplay correlation is likely in play tonight, though I wouldn’t ride this to the bank and throw Jones Dell in net under the assumption the Canadiens net him a 35+ save shutout or anything. That’s definitely a higher risk play, no matter what’s happened in the past. Jones has faced more high danger chances this season than any other goalie (in fewer games) and he’s a sub .900 goalie. Still waiting for the Canadiens lines to shake out and they’ve been doing a lot of different line rushes lately. If Drouin/Domi/Suzuki Armia shakes out for tonight, I’m definitely interested in that line. Petry is significantly cheaper than Weber and has been involved in a lot more offensive plays. Take him as a one off or as part of that stack.
[email protected]: The Coyotes are leading in goals against and have strong possession numbers, against a team that’s not exactly known for scoring in the post-Tavares era. In the last four games played the Islanders have actually had a floor of two goals here, but it is highly improbable this matchup in general wins you a tournament, except maybe on Draftkings where the entirety of NYI1 with Lee and Bailey priced way down could enable you to pay up on defensemen for Carlson and Burns or whatever. It is worth noting that the Isles powerplay has been clicking at 33% so far this season and scoring is mostly consolidated to these guys. Boychuk (priced at floor on FD) has been shooting, blocking and chipping in a few points, if you’re desperate for a punt. If I’m not excited about the Islanders, I’m even less excited about the Coyotes, though ARI2 still offers insane value on Fanduel. Basically, you’ll find value stacks here if you need to pay up, but nothing should end up a must own without good fortune.
[email protected]: BUF1 will clearly see high ownership tonight, if not for the matchup then just from recency bias after Eichel’s four point night. The Sabres are in the top three for powerplay, goals and goals against, and the Rangers are… definitely not. They are firing a lot of shots though, so that could put the Sabres goaltender in play as well. One caveat: the Sabres have struggled with the Rangers historically, going 1-5 over the last two seasons, and the Rangers can score in bunches when they click. Still, the Sabres are as safe a bet as any, with high powered offense versus the worst defense in the league. That the Rangers keep juggling their lines only makes their side an easier fade right now. To differentiate, try to include Skinner in your stacks, as he’s still getting top powerplay time and has over double the amount of shots on goal than anyone else on the team and most in the league. He’s also leading the league in individual high danger chances. If you’re playing only one Sabre for cash, it should be him over Eichel in my opinion.
[email protected]: This isn’t a particularly sexy matchup on paper. Korpisalo is not a good goalie and the team knows it, so they’re playing more defensively. They’re also probably scoring less just from losing Panarin. Very few players have the green light to do anything interesting here, it seems, and it’s unlikely Columbus is going to break the slate in any of their games this season. There could be value upside for their goalie if he manages to get the win (and they did win their last game, on a back-to-back versus Reimer, but still). Otherwise, Aho’s obviously better than his point total would suggest, and he’s going to break out sooner or later. Take CAR1 if you think tonight’s the night and you want to cash in on that instead of chasing points once that breakout occurs. PP2 with Hamilton, Haula and Svechnikov could also pan out, though with some injury concerns and lack of even strength correlation, that’s a bigger gamble on a large slate, and it doesn’t even fit with any four man forward stacks I’d be looking at (BUF powerplay, for instance).
[email protected]: If I asked you which team leads the slate for expected goals, Corsi and shots this season, I doubt you'd say the Kings, but here we are. And this is also why you should take advanced stats with a grain of salt. Maybe that makes Binnington more enticing tonight, but like Hellebuyck burned me the other night for the same reason, he might get peppered with shots and ultimately lose the game in the end. The Blues have been giving up a lot of high danger scoring chances. The Kings definitely aren’t as bad as they were last season and the Blues have yet to hit their stride outside of STL1. I’m not picking anyone on the Kings side and I’m not sure the Blues pay themselves off tonight, but it might be worth a stab or two in GPP’s.
[email protected]: The Preds have beat the Wild six games in a row and are leading the league in goals. The Wild are... somewhat starting to be less awful, but I think the best you can hope for tonight is that the stymy the bleeding and only give up three. The Preds penalty kill has not been pretty if you want to target against that, but don’t be surprised if it doesn’t work out for you. I’ll probably just be on the Preds defensemen tonight because these lines don’t really do it for me, but I do expect a fair amount of goals to be scored, wherever they’re coming from. Jarnkrok is cheap enough as a punt, if you want to go there. Expect a lot of people to be on Rinne with the best Vegas odds and this being a solid home matchup.
[email protected]: The Flyers have won four in a row versus Crawford, though I do like Lehner’s upside if he’s in net again with Philly firing a lot of shots and Chicago giving up a lot as well. Not sure what to think of this one. CHI3 is still shooting a lot and offers value on Fanduel at least. I still like Dach as a one off (though he's only scored one goal on a single shot) and CHI2 offers exposure to Kane on the cheap, who is shooting well beyond his expected percentage right now. Not sure I’m banking on him putting a few past Elliott, but stranger things have happened. I’m mostly worried about the line blender in this matchup, as even if the goals do come, they could be coming from anywhere. Farabee could also be a solid punt (firing a lot and on the top powerplay at the moment). Niskanen is making the most of his top line deployment right now as well.
[email protected]: I’m probably targeting this game unreasonably high tonight, but I don’t think the Ducks are going to see a lot of ownership and I think this is a decent matchup for them, both for Gibson and their top two lines. That’s definitely more of a GPP-upside play though, so don’t go crazy hammering those two and blaming me when it doesn’t deliver. Hintz will likely see decent one-off ownership but he’s been shooting at a ridiculously unsustainable rate and this isn’t an ideal situation for him. Lines keep getting juggled around, I can’t imagine many people are on the Stars tonight at all.
[email protected]: I’m not sure how I feel about either of these two teams tonight. Sure, FLA1 and CGY1 are two of the stronger full line powerplay correlation offenses on the slate, and either could certainly go off, but it hasn’t quite come together lately and there are lingering injuries to worry about. CGY2 has been strong here historically, but they’ve been slumping as well. Bobrovsky should stop bleeding goals as systems adjust. That Yandle is playing fewer minutes and taking almost exclusively offensive-zone starts should help out in that regard. I’m not going to talk anyone off either side of this but I’m not sure I’m paying up for either (aye-thr) either (ee-thr).
[email protected]: This is a fun late night hammer to speculate on. Holtby was hung out to dry on a lot of his goals against (a whopping 14 high danger goals in 8 games), and who better to capitalize on future high danger chances than McDavid and Draisaitl? On the other hand, the Oilers offense has dried up since a very hot start to the season, getting blanked in back-to-back games. It’s also safe to say their defensive numbers were completely unsustainable, as neither Koskinen nor Smith are particularly strong netminders and, though a healthy Klefbom and Nurse aren’t terrible defenders, losing Larsson is definitely a hit, and Bear and Russell aren’t top four RD on most teams. So, will the Capitals continue their defensively poor play and give up a hat trick to the slumping Oilers, or will the Oilers break the seal on their unsustainable defense and WSH1 will break the slate? The answer to that is a resounding and unconfident: maybe? So, I’ll cover both, just in case. Carlson is definitely worth paying up for regardless.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
If you’re new to DFS, check out My 2019-2020 NHL DFS Primer.
submitted by breadispain to dfsports [link] [comments]

/r/hockey NHL Power Rankings Week 20 Feeling the Blues Edition

/Hockey NHL Power Rankings Week Feb 11, 2019 - Feb 17, 2019

Thank You

Thank you to all of the volunteers doing the power rankings. Each ranker has their own system and have their own reasonings and analyis. It truly is a lot of work.

Rankers

Spoiler

Organizers

Spoiler

Visualization

The visualization contains historical data, so you can see how your team has done over time. Hopefully, we can run this for many years in hopes that we can see the rise and fall of teams by /hockey opinion.
It automatically updates so feel free to bookmark. You can find it here

Process

How does this work? Throughout the course of the week rankers are able to access an app that will allow them to rank teams. At the end of the period we calculate the average ranking for every team and collate all of the analysis provided by rankers.
The app then generates a post that is first proofread and then posted to /hockey!

Rankings (26/31 Rankers Reporting)

Ranking (avg) Team Delta Overall Record Record This Week Comments
1 (1.07) Tampa Bay Lightning - 44-11-4 3-0-0 I think everyone else in the hockey world has taken care of describing how incredible this season has been or how amazing Vasy is or how Kucherov is on pace to the first player to yada yada yada. The real question that lightning fans are wondering is if they should anyone at the deadline. We have loads of assets and could go for any of the top rentals however that could come at the cost of negatively effecting team chemistry.
2 (3.44) San Jose Sharks - 35-17-7 2-1-0 Moving forward I am curious about Deboers strategy on resting players. We know this team in making the playoffs but there is stark difference in how this team plays when guys like Karlsson and Vlasic are injured. At least Jones is starting to round into form as that has been key a part that has yet to show up this season.
3 (4.78) Calgary Flames 0 35-16-7 1-1-1 I am starting to question Bill Peters handling of Rittich. Young goalies don’t have the breadth of experience veteran goalies have and if they lose their confidence it can be a hard thing to regain. Pulling Rittich during the San Jose game after two goals was awful. For better or worse I think you let them play and see if they can bounce back. Pulling them that early gives the impression that you just don’t trust them to come back and that can be shattering to the goalies confidence. Then to not play them against Pittsburgh shows that you don’t even have confidence in them as a starting goalie. This team needs goaltending to perform at the consistent level they have been.
4 (5.33) Toronto Maple Leafs - 36-19-3 2-1-0 The bounceback continues as the Leafs move to 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Unfortunately they somehow always manage to find new ways to shockingly (albeit briefly--thank god) disappoint. A really solid performance against a #ActuallyGood Vegas team (despite their recent slump, VGK are elite in shot share #s) was followed up with one of the wettest farts the Leafs have ripped this season. Scrappy not-so-good teams like ARI (no offense and we'll always love you for creating Papi) seem to be a weird Achilles heel for this group as they frequently look like they just don't care in those matchups. Here's a nice visual aid. Thankfully the playoffs shouldn't even offer them the opportunity to "play down" as every team is good so hopefully this isn't anything more than a weird regular season quirk. Oh and speaking of the playoffs, MTL is slipping (as was expected) while BOS is surging so I guess we can start penciling in our first round exit now :-/
5 (5.33) New York Islanders 1 35-17-6 2-1-0 While offense has been underwhelming for a few weeks now their defending and gogaltending continues to help them win games. Biggest news is Ladd and Hickey being activated with a conditioning stint in Bridgeport set to end right after the trade deadline with the roster expanding. Hopefully Ladd can have success on Barzal's wing like he did at points last year, and be a shot on the powerplay that threatens to score if left undefended. At this point the biggest thing for the team is to stay healthy and not have any distractions, as they hunt their first division title in over 30 years. Also of note, they are done in Brooklyn until (if they make) the second round of the playoffs. They have played very well in Nassau and this should be a great advantage for the home stretch.
6 (6.56) Winnipeg Jets -1 36-19-4 1-1-1 A limerick, for the Winnipeg Jets in their most cursed week of the season: Now, Winnipeg cries out in pain, "Our team simply can't win a game!" They're first in the central, Still buying a rental, "Please, God, don't let it be Duchene!" See, Winnipeg's just outta luck "Watch Laine go bobble the puck!" The defense imploding, The Cup-hopes eroding, "Why won't PoMo bench Hellebuyck?!" The Hockey News prophecy said That Canada's cup drought will end Give us back Ehlers, Good health for our Wheeler And let us make good of their bet!
7 (7.3) Boston Bruins 1 34-17-8 3-0-0 The Bruins currently have tied their longest winning streak of 5 games this season as they temporarily creep into second place in the Atlantic and Eastern Conference; ahead of the Maple Leafs. The team is still playing its usual style of hockey which is concerning but the Bruins are managing to win games in regulation instead of collapsing in the 3rd; especially in the Ford F-150 Final Five®, and going to OT. Jake DeBrusk is on a hot streak right now after not scoring for 13 games. Sean Kuraly is also being fed points since he is on the top line in place of Pastrnak who was injured in an accident and will be out for around a fortnight. It has also been weird to see Marchand evolve from a pure goal scorer to more of a playmaker, considering he currently has more than twice as many assists as goals and leads the Bruins in points now. Now if only the rest of the secondary could keep showing up on the scoresheet :stares daggers at Backes in the press box:.
8 (8.3) Nashville Predators -1 34-22-5 1-2-0 Juuse Saros, literally the entire game against the Golden Knights.
9 (10.81) Carolina Hurricanes 4 31-22-6 3-0-0 LIMBO!!
10 (11.19) St. Louis Blues 5 31-22-5 4-0-0 The St. Louis Blues will never lose again. We haven't lost in 27 days. The boys are playing for each other and both 'tendies look amazing. Tarasenko is the hottest player in the League right now. Even Mike Milbury is saying nice things about us. Everything's coming up Blue Note.
11 (11.26) Columbus Blue Jackets - 33-21-3 2-1-0 Who knows which Jackets team will show up? The team that blanked Washington 3-0 that held them to 6 shots TOTAL in the first two periods and played probably the most complete game I have ever seen them play, or, the team that got blanked by the Islanders that couldn't keep up with a team that was playing better. But, 5-1-0 since the 5 game losing streak is definitely how you bounce back.
12 (11.33) Montreal Canadiens -3 31-21-7 0-3-0 Two games, two losses against two contenders. Both rough losses, where we had solid periods only to let it slip away. As I write this, time ticks down on a Panthers game that we have lost control of. Add to that the fact that the Pens and Canes, Just WON'T STOP WINNING and Habs fans definitely feel like the sky is falling, and well, I guess we will see next week when we have our rematch against the Leafs. In the meantime please enjoy this clip of Max Domi, doing what he does best, the antagonistic little hyena.
13 (11.67) Washington Capitals -3 32-20-7 2-2-0 Things are starting to get tight in the eastern conference race and that Anaheim game is one we can’t afford to lose. Against one of the worst teams in the league we drop a dud and against one of the best we actually put in a great effort. At this point in the season .500 hockey is not going to be enough to get us into the playoffs. We need much more.
14 (13.37) Vegas Golden Knights -2 32-24-4 1-2-0 I have to wonder if Fluery is getting tired from playing the amount of games he has. The last three games haven’t been the best granted his defense still needs to help him out.
15 (13.74) Pittsburgh Penguins -1 31-21-7 3-1-0
16 (16.15) Philadelphia Flyers 2 28-24-7 3-1-0 Flyers are 12-1-1 in the last 14, losing to the Pens for that one loss. Dont even @ me that we aren't on fire rn. We have recently been not playing our best and our Good boy(Tm) Carter Hart has kept us in every game. We had a two good games against detroit, Hart in his first back to back, showing his resiliency. Lost to the pens, and beat the Wild somewhat handedly. Acquired Talbot for stolarz, so Hart could have a friend and veteran mentor for his development. In the West, we'd be in a wildcard with a few point buffer. But in the East, we are 6 points out. We need to win this next weeks games, and then we are right back in the race for the playoffs. Hail Gritty.
17 (16.78) Dallas Stars -1 29-24-5 1-2-0 https://i.imgur.com/gvHlJfN.gif
18 (18.26) Buffalo Sabres 1 28-23-7 1-2-0 Playoff dreams are slowly drifting away. If only we were in the Western conference we would actually be in a playoff spot.
19 (19.37) Minnesota Wild -2 27-26-6 0-2-1 Dear Western Conference opponents: Can you please hurry up and bury the Wild in the standings so we can blow this team up and start over? $200 Million of Suter and Parise and an underachieving group of malcontents didn't even result in a WCF appearance in what is now Year 7 of the Brothers Albatross. Hell, give Seattle this franchise in expansion and they could be the Seattle (Rime of the Ancient) Mariners. I don't even know if Fentonyl is the right man for the job but anything is preferable to this. The only thing worse than a bad team being bad is a good team being bad. The 2018-2019 Minnesota Wild are the latter.
20 (20.78) Chicago Blackhawks 1 24-26-9 1-2-0 Patrick Kane has 13G, 24A on his current 17-game point streak. His current 16-game assist streak is tied for 6th longest all-time (with Jaromir Jagr). Those above him are Wayne Gretzky (23, 17x2), Adam Oates (18), and Paul Coffey (17). He is doing his best to will the Blackhawks into the playoff race. Also, since the Winter Classic, Alex DeBrincat and Jonathan Toews each have 11G, 11A. In other news, Dominik Kahun (a rookie, signed out of the DEL) has played every game this season and has recorded 0 PIM. Corey Crawford has been taken a full practice, bringing excitement for those who wish him to play again, and fear (of re-injury) from those who do not.
21 (22) Arizona Coyotes 3 26-27-5 2-1-0
22 (22.15) Vancouver Canucks -2 26-27-7 1-3-0 The Canucks offended the goalie gods by sacrificing their 19-year old third stringer to the San Jose Sharks on Tuesday. In return, they were forced to make amends by gifting the Ducks' Kevin Boyle a shutout on his first NHL start. The injuries are piling up once again, exposing the team's lack of depth in every category. Pettersson continues to be a cool NHL player that I like, and it's nice to see some other rookies (Gaudette, MacEwan) making an impact as well. But some proprietary data I've been working with suggests this last week is the beginning of a serious slide for the young team.
23 (22.19) Florida Panthers -1 25-24-8 2-1-0
24 (22.96) Colorado Avalanche -1 23-24-11 1-2-0 Well Last week was a sort of must win. The Avs are likely not making the playoffs this year, and it is time to take account of our assets. Sakic appears to feel the same way as immediately news is out we might trade Zadorov. We have a lot of UFA players so we can certainly make some noise in the draft it just depends how much we don't want to sign a lot of these guys. Wilson, and Nemeth are probably the most valuable UFA pieces we have and we should find a buyer for both, even if its a 4th round pick. As for the team the good news is they showed life in Winnipeg. The hope is the team keeps competing though cause some of these guys are playing for their jobs still. Would really like to see Rantanen scoring again as he has really fallen off the past few weeks, but has looked much better the past few games.
25 (23.63) New York Rangers - 25-25-8 1-2-0 A close game against Winnipeg started off this week. Wasn't the best game we've played this season, but to come within one goal of a serious contender is impressive for this team. Next we have the Buffalo game. Oh boy was this a treat. Not only did we win by 4 goals, Tony D (who is good) one-punched Okposo. I love Okposo and I hope he's ok, but jeez that was something. To close off this week we had a 6-5 loss to the Pens. The boys showed that they had fight in them after going down 6-3. Zucc played a great game and our top line in general has been on fire. Here's to hoping for another exciting week.
26 (25.41) Los Angeles Kings 1 23-29-6 0-2-1 Kings traded Nate Thompson and a 5th rounder to the Canadiens for a 4th round pick. Despite moments of inspiration over the past month or so- it looks like the Kings are set to get a solid draft pick in the first round next year.
27 (26.81) Detroit Red Wings 1 23-29-8 2-1-1
28 (27.19) Edmonton Oilers -2 24-29-5 0-3-0 Bruh. End me.I'll summarize our last week: we lost.
29 (27.33) New Jersey Devils - 23-28-8 2-2-0
30 (29.3) Ottawa Senators - 22-31-5 1-2-0 Random rant of the week: Can fans of rebuilding western teams stop acting like still being in the playoff race is an actual accomplishment this year? There's absolutely nothing special about being in a playoff race where a team 1 game under .500 is only 1 point back. Good lord.
31 (30.22) Anaheim Ducks - 23-27-9 2-1-0 As I sit here astounded at a 5-2 victory on Neidermeyer’s jersey retirement night I can’t help but feel that the video clips they played should not have included New Jersey. Anyway, the Ducks sandwiched a lackluster performance against Boston with a great first start for Kevin Boyle(shutout in first start) with an excellent performance against Washington. In other news, GMEVPIHCMOD has had a good start to his head coaching career.
submitted by HockeyPowerRanker to hockey [link] [comments]

/r/hockey NHL Power Rankings Week 22 I'm Stuck In A Winter Storm Edition

/Hockey NHL Power Rankings Week Feb 25, 2019 - Mar 3, 2019

Thank You

Thank you to all of the volunteers doing the power rankings. Each ranker has their own system and have their own reasonings and analyis. It truly is a lot of work.

Rankers

Spoiler

Organizers

Spoiler

Visualization

The visualization contains historical data, so you can see how your team has done over time. Hopefully, we can run this for many years in hopes that we can see the rise and fall of teams by /hockey opinion.
It automatically updates so feel free to bookmark. You can find it here

Process

How does this work? Throughout the course of the week rankers are able to access an app that will allow them to rank teams. At the end of the period we calculate the average ranking for every team and collate all of the analysis provided by rankers.
The app then generates a post that is first proofread and then posted to /hockey!

Rankings (26/31 Rankers Reporting)

Ranking (avg) Team Delta Overall Record Record This Week Comments
1 (1) Tampa Bay Lightning - 50-12-4 3-1-0 Tony Forecheck or Anthony Cirelli as most other fans probably know him as is probably the most underrated part of the Lightning’s success this season. We would not be able to roll 4 lines without him. This kid is relentless and an absolute nuisance to play against. He is large part of why we have the #1 penalty kill in the league and with his dominance in both ends of the zone he may well be Bergeron lite. He has a higher faceoff win % than Bergeron had his rookie season, has 4 SHG (13 goals overall), 27 points, and is a plus 20. Seriously if you ever get a chance watch some game film of this kid.
2 (2.71) Calgary Flames - 41-17-7 2-1-0 What Mark Giordano is doing at his age as a defensemen really is something special considering he has never cracked 60 points before. If this isn’t the year he picks up the Norris I don’t know what year is
3 (3.71) Boston Bruins 1 39-17-9 3-0-0 :Dons Felger's mic: Did :you: see the softie Rask let in against Tampa‽ Couldn't even get a shutout against them; trade him back to Toronto! At least he saved himself against the Devils with the shutout. Still, a 1-0 victory‽ So happy Mike Milbury approves of his fellow townsman, Chris Wagner. We need more local boys representing the spoked-B that know its meaning and not :these: phonies! Send :those: down to Florida with the retirees! :Finally:, Backes is earning his pay with 2 FIGHTS this week! He had a good tussle with Haley from the Sharks and then completely wrecked Erne to show Tampa why the Bruins are the better team. He needs to keep up that grit if he wants to keep his minutes. Chara set a good example for the kids when he laid down the law on that punk Kane. Kane should know better after Chara one-punched Paquette a few years back. Mad that Chara didn't wreck him again. That's why Chara is still Captain and not that powderpuff Bergeron. Chara is why you: "don't poke the Bear!
4 (4.96) San Jose Sharks -1 39-19-8 2-1-0 Not too much to say this week with only 3 games, 1 was bad, 1 was ok and 1 was great. The Sharks seem to be cooling off after a very hot start to the year, and being more comfortably in a playoff spot it may be time to consider resting the team as the season comes to a close. Karlsson can't seem to get over his groin injury, and Kane's been out following an intense game with Boston, so it might be time to take a break from the scrappy play and keep the games less physical to keep the team healthy. Labanc has been playing well recently, and I'm excited to see Nyquist develop some chemistry with the team. Also looking forward to watching Burns and Giordano down the stretch, should be an exciting Norris race.
5 (5.17) Toronto Maple Leafs 1 40-21-4 3-1-0 "ASS-HOLE ASS-HOLE" scream the fans throwing shit on the ice and at a player. "WE DON'T NEED YOU" sob the fans at the #4 goal scorer in the league while cheering on the 10th worst goal scoring team in the NHL which is finding a lot of success on the back of an insanely unsustainable save%. Not sure I understand some of that umm...logic being passed around on Long Island, but oh well. Credit to their actual team for embarrassing the Leafs on Thursday. Was that a "blueprint" to beating the Leafs? If you can guarantee that you'll always be rested against a "tired" (i.e. 2nd half of b2b) Leafs group with Sparks in net, one of their best forwards missing, and 2 of their Top 4D injured--then uh sure. Go nuts with that blueprint. That said, thankfully the Leafs also throttled a couple of weak teams in BUF & EDM so that the Isles loss didn't set us too far back. Consistency is the never-ending issue for this team and they better figure it out soon or it'll be a real short playoff run.
6 (7.46) Washington Capitals 4 38-21-7 3-0-0 That game on Tuesday against Ottawa felt like we were beating up kids. We are starting to heat up at the right time though.
7 (8.17) Winnipeg Jets - 39-22-4 2-1-0 I made a big move this week in my rankings regarding the Winnipeg Jets--they are jumping up the rankings in a big way after squandering their lead all of February. The Jets had a very good game this week. "What? Just ONE good game, and you do this?! Their record is 2-3-0 in the past two weeks!" You bet. They played the best game of their year against the Nashville Predators and showed the level of compete the Jets displayed all last year. Is it just one game? The Jets have showed up in this capacity every time they play the Predators... and, lets see, Golden Knights, and the Lightning. #1, Jets fans can say that the Jets of last year still exist in this team--which we couldn't say before--and #2, the theory that the Jets might just be playing relaxedly for a long playoff push seems plausible when the team becomes this exciting monster whenever a big game is in town. You never like to see a team resting on its laurels or lose regularly, but this is also the team that sputtered out disastrously against Vegas.
8 (8.46) New York Islanders -3 37-21-7 1-3-0 The Islanders win on Thursday night was the best moment of the year they will have barring winning a Stanley cup (or knocking TML out in the playoffs). However their play the rest of the week left a lot to be desired, getting 0 of 6 points. They have not been playing well as of late, and will need to have a dominant week against weaker opposition to prove they are a contender for the division, and not a team who had a hot run earlier in the year only to regress to their norm now. They do not have a playoff spot locked up and if they do not improve they could easily miss the playoffs entirely.
9 (8.92) Carolina Hurricanes 3 36-23-6 3-0-0
10 (10.17) Nashville Predators -2 38-25-5 2-2-0 Well the new acquisitions haven't immediately set the world ablaze for the Preds, but they have been making solid contributions nonetheless. Granlund picked up an assist in his first outing, Boyle and Simmonds have brought along more physicality and some spark to the PP that will hopefully light up soon, and McLeod has... kept the bench and press box warm? Overall, this team is so up and down it's hard to judge how good they actually are. They're a dead even 5-5-0 in their past 10, and the cliche "beat or lose to any given team" fully applies here. This has led to a growing amount of discontent amongst the fanbase, but in retrospect that's almost exactly where the fanbase was heading into the 2017 Stanley Cup Final run.
11 (11.5) Vegas Golden Knights 4 36-26-5 4-0-0 I have to say I don’t know why people knock on the Stone age. Seems to going pretty well so far.
12 (12.29) St. Louis Blues -1 34-25-6 1-2-0 Armstrong is one of the best GMs in the League, but it's gonna be a bad look if Perron and Schenn don't bring some offense when they return and he didn't get any forwards at the deadline. We did get Michael Del Zotto for some reason though, so our DMs/60 is way up!
13 (12.46) Columbus Blue Jackets -4 36-26-3 1-3-0 Rough week for the Jackets. I am not sure why this team doesn't do well in front of big home crowds. All of the trade deadline drama has brought in a lot of fans into the stadium, and several eggs were laid. There is still time to iron out the kinks in the roster -- but not much.
14 (12.58) Montreal Canadiens -1 35-24-7 2-2-0 What do I even write this week? it really felt like a game of one step forward, one step back. This team is in do or die mode but we are aren't winning the necessary games against tougher teams. Or New Jersey apparently. Same old hits, only playing well 40 minutes out of 60, out-shooting the opponent but lacking both luck and snipers and not being about to tie up a score, the power play being absolutely diarrhea. Now we are also playing Price on b2b which is worrying... Is this only until he beats Jacques Plante record, or has the coaching staff, perhaps justifiably, lost faith in Antti Niemi? At least we got the boys adventures in New York, I hope they enjoyed the Book of Mormon!
15 (13) Pittsburgh Penguins - 34-22-9 2-0-1 Despite being anti-clutch this week, the Penguins did knock back two wins against teams directly competing for a playoff spot with them, which are the most important games to win, and games of which we have no shortage this month. Crosby had one of his best games of the year against Montreal as well, and despite how much I hate the Gudbranson deal he's had a respectable 0.80 Game Score since joining the team (his season average is -0.05). The sooner we get back our top pairing, though, the better.
16 (16.58) Dallas Stars - 33-27-5 2-1-0 Wildcard race is getting real spooky. 4 teams within 3 points. The team looked strong this week despite injuries, and we seemingly match up well against the teams around us. A very important game coming up this week against Colorado who's competing for one of the wildcards.
17 (18.13) Minnesota Wild 1 32-27-7 2-0-1 A tidy five-game win streak for the Wild heading into Sunday night's tilt against the Predators, after getting out of a certain Canadian city without any injuries (not for a lack of trying on the opposition's part). The WC race is still a total logjam and the schedule-makers have not done any favors with 2 games in less than 24 hours; only two of the remaining 17 games are against a team outside of the playoff picture' and four back-to-back games in the month of March alone. The Wild dug this hole themselves so they have no one to blame but themselves. Oh, and Ryan freaking Donato is a godsend. It's Not Delivery, It's Donato.
18 (18.13) Philadelphia Flyers 2 32-26-8 3-0-1 we do good except for CBJ, Elliott returns in good shape, we arent dead yet so dont you dare fade me fam. Hail Gritty.
19 (18.21) Arizona Coyotes 2 32-28-5 3-0-0 It’s amazing what one Brad Richardson can do for your team. Since he has come back the team has only lost two games and those were against the Blues and Flames. Hopefully we can continue playing this well down the stretch and into the promise land.
20 (19.63) Colorado Avalanche -3 28-26-12 1-2-1 The Avs are young and streaky. Though one important note on this weeks play is apparently the team was dealing with the flu in San Jose and Anaheim. Hopefully they will get healthy quick. Brassard has been ok so far, not lighting it up, but not a liability either. Fine for a swap of picks, right now he should not be re-signed. The Avs are just outside the playoff picture and all they need is to get hot to make 3rd in the division. goaltending has been good since mid February. I would say I like our lines better with the top line split up, as we just don't have the depth otherwise. This week starts with Red Wings coming back to Colorado, so those of us who remember can relive the old days. We also have a crucial 4-point game with the stars and finally the Sabres come to town. It is a winnable week and we must get at least 4 of 6 points, if 2 of those are against the Stars.
21 (20.92) Buffalo Sabres -2 30-27-8 1-3-0 I don't believe anybody saw the Montour deal coming, but it should improve our defense a lot. Now all we need are a second line center, a middle six winger, a top pairing defenseman, and maybe a top line RW? We for sure need an upgrade on Sobotka, and Pominville should be done after this year. Next year we should have Alex Nylander joining the club to fill one of those roles. Dahlin is ideally our #1 D moving forward, which leaves Risto, Montour, McCabe, and Bogosian as our bottom 4, which isn't bad. We still have two first round picks in this upcoming draft, so now I wouldn't be surprised if one gets moved as part of a package to fill a need. Don't be fooled by this weekend's events, however; we still won't be making the playoffs this year.
22 (21.75) Florida Panthers - 28-26-11 1-1-3 Why does this team only start to play well towards the end of the year
23 (22.67) Chicago Blackhawks - 27-30-9 1-2-0 Corey Crawford returned and earned assists in back-to-back games. He leads all goalies in points at 4. However, he has been rusty in his own net, saving 48 of 57 shots (.842 SV%). Loses in 4 of the last 5 have all but dashed out playoff hopes. In that 5-game stretch, Patrick Kane had 2G, 0A on 34 SoG. The Hawks are now 0-12-2 when Kane fails to record a point (including the 1 game he missed). In other news, Duncan Keith has been using Erik Gustafsson's stick for the last 10 games and has 1G, 9A in that stretch. Gustafsson has 9G, 28A - 37P in 36GP since being a healthy scratch on 12/02/18.
24 (24.17) New York Rangers - 27-27-11 0-1-2 Not a great week in terms of W's, but not a terrible week in terms of the games themselves. A decent showing against the most dominant team in the league, bringing the game to OT. Vesey looked solid and Zibby keeps playing great. On to Montreal. Names looked fantastic this game and somehow only had one goal. It seemed like he was creating chances every time he was on the ice. Lemieux scored his first as a Ranger and informed Domi that he bumped some uglies with his sister. Loving the kid so far. It seems like this season we've had really exciting games against the Caps. This one was no exception. Georgiev stood on his head all game, but as a Chytil fanboy, his assist on Buch's game-tying goal was the highlight in this one for me. It went to shootout and we all saw what happened there. Looking forward to next week.
25 (24.42) Edmonton Oilers 1 28-30-7 2-1-1 Oilers are riding high. Only 2 losses this week, one to the Preds in the SO and to the Maple Leafs. Strong wins against the Sens and the Blue Jackets have us surging. Drai has hit 40g and 40a for the season and is playing even better than McDavid at the moment. Regarding playoffs though, it's too little too late. The Oilers above been hot for the past 2 weeks on the back of Koskinen, but the point difference to a playoff position remains at 6 points. With too many teams to leapfrog, the season is likely done barring a miracle. I still want this team to finish strong though, and it's very likely to happen.
26 (25.29) Vancouver Canucks -1 27-30-9 1-2-1 For the first half of the season, much was written about how it was a matter of time until the bottom fell out of this team. Well, we haven’t just witness the bottom fall out: the whole guts, ribs and torso have come loose, leaving nothing but a lonely heart dangling from a severed head. At the beginning of February, it was going to take the team going around 1 and 2 for the rest of the season for them to match last year’s dismal 73 points. A tall order, but certainly possible. They’ve been on pace since then, going 4 and 11. With 16 games remaining, you wonder how many wins this team has left in them. Broberg/Byram here we come.
27 (27) New Jersey Devils - 25-33-8 1-3-0 Someone put the tank into 4th gear, we're going down. Business as usual this week, poor defense and injuries galore, making Yakolev (a dman) our 4th line LW for a night. Every game just makes me more impressed with how Blackwood can come out and play so well. He even took the blame in a 1-0 game, I mean come one. Marchand was left open on his backdoor and you can't leave a player with that much talent (barf) all alone. The kid could be the goalie of the future, and it's looking more like Schneider-Blackwood is our tandem for the next few years. Another rough and tumble flyers game this week too. This goal pretty much summarized our luck that night though.
28 (27.92) Los Angeles Kings 1 24-33-8 1-1-2 The ten game losing streak finally came to a halt against Chicago. Quick lost his cool with Willie, and the Kings continue to be a hot mess.
29 (28.79) Detroit Red Wings -1 23-33-9 0-2-0
30 (28.88) Anaheim Ducks - 25-32-9 1-3-0
31 (31) Ottawa Senators - 23-38-5 1-3-0 Since scratching and eventually trading Stone, Duchene, and Dzingel: Record: 1-6-0 GF: 9 (1.29 per game) GA: 27 (4.857 per game) Shots for: 204 (29.14 per game) Shots against: 235 (33.57 per game) You might point out that the shot differential is improved, but the stats are inflated due to a game being played against the Edmonton Oilers.
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Not only will any of these NHL betting sites be easy to use, but you will enjoy spending time on it. Customer Service. Last but not least, high-quality customer service is a must in the world of online gambling. These online NHL betting sites provide a variety of contact options and are available to help 24/7. Help for Odds Archive page: This page serves to display archive odds / historical odds of NHL which is sorted in USA category of OddsPortal odds comparison service. Find out what chances and odds the teams had in historical matches, browse through historical odds archive of previous matches in NHL. Do the same with NHL playoff odds. Grasping NHL betting lines may not be as overwhelming as you think at first. NHL playoff and Stanley Cup odds. Betting on hockey can feel like a walk in the park for people who study. Dig in to the universe of hockey lines and hockey odds. Zero in on teams that pique your interest. The MLB and NHL databases begin in 1995. And the college sports databases are 1996 to present, so if you are looking for a college football game from 1994, it won’t be here. The databases were established primarily for betting and contest purposes to give handicappers a huge archive that they could sort through. The NHL Betting Trends is a great snapshot to see what bettors are playing. The percentages always add up to 100% based on both sides (teams) or the over/under (total). Our NHL Matchups page show the total amount of money wagered on a game.

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